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Flamengo vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 102-73
19-25 22-18 33-13 28-17
Position#4
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game78.0
Flamengo 🏆
Brazil
vs
Cearense
Brazil
Position#19
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game79.0
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho
Other2025-26
Meetings · Flamengo v Cearense
23 Oct 2025
FLAM102
CEAR73
13 Feb 2025
FLAM84
CEAR79
03 May 2024
FLAM79
CEAR71
21 Dec 2023
FLAM77
CEAR74
25 Oct 2022
FLAM80
CEAR60
21 Dec 2021
FLAM91
CEAR74
26 Jan 2021
FLAM77
CEAR74
03 Feb 2020
FLAM78
CEAR71
26 Mar 2019
FLAM100
CEAR82
25 Mar 2018
FLAM87
CEAR85
20 Dec 2016
FLAM88
CEAR94
17 Feb 2016
FLAM66
CEAR67
18 Dec 2014
FLAM106
CEAR73
13 Jan 2014
FLAM72
CEAR69
15 Dec 2012
FLAM86
CEAR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
W
107-93
107
93
+14
105avg 82
A24/05
NBB
Franca
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
64avg 82
H27/05
NBB
Franca
#2
W
86-75
86
75
+11
80avg 82
H29/05
NBB
Franca
#2
L
86-102
86
102
-16
81avg 82
A01/06
NBB
Franca
#2
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
86avg 82
H03/06
NBB
G League United
#3
L
91-93
91
93
-2
79avg 82
A18/09
Intercontinental Cup
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
84-82 OT
84
82
+2
71avg 82
A19/09
Intercontinental Cup
Al Ahli Tripoli
#2
L
82-91
82
91
-9
74avg 82
A21/09
Intercontinental Cup
Bauru
#10
W
102-86
102
86
+16
96avg 82
A18/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
66avg 82
H21/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
33-23
21-27
27-18
21-26
15-14
23-24
19-21
24-25
19-14
17-22
26-14
14-27
31-27
14-20
27-28
27-31
20-7
24-28
15-20
16-19
13-19
27-29
35-26
20-13
8-18
25-19
20-23
22-26
22-13
21-25
17-27
32-24
28-15
20-32
22-15
19-16
16-17
23-17
22-20
176.6Avg total
89.1Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.078.0169.0+13.0100%
Season at home (1)80.070.0150.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)102.086.0188.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.187.5176.6+1.650%
Last 5 (5)87.884.4172.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.086.5169.5-3.550%
vs Similar (8)88.092.1180.1-4.125%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.375.0162.3+12.390%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#12
W
87-84
87
84
+3
87avg 65
A06/03
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
66-74
66
74
-8
59avg 65
H11/03
NBB
Franca
#2
L
74-83
74
83
-9
65avg 65
H28/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
71-84
71
84
-13
63avg 65
A31/03
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
63-75
63
75
-12
48avg 65
A02/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
79-67
79
67
+12
70avg 65
H07/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
73-82
73
82
-9
65avg 65
H10/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
81-73
81
73
+8
79avg 65
H17/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
88-78
88
78
+10
74avg 65
A18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
84-80
84
80
+4
84avg 65
A20/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
23-20
10-26
29-26
18-19
18-24
13-17
17-14
17-21
21-18
21-24
15-20
24-20
16-16
18-26
13-22
13-16
15-31
26-11
9-17
15-10
22-13
25-25
17-19
19-17
23-21
13-16
18-28
17-20
17-16
29-17
18-20
19-17
23-15
20-20
26-26
22-26
14-19
27-13
21-22
154.6Avg total
76.6Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.678.0154.6-1.450%
Last 5 (5)81.076.0157.0+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)73.579.3152.8-5.925%
vs Similar (10)77.376.2153.5+1.160%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
FlamengoCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A24/05
NBB
Franca
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H27/05
NBB
Franca
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H29/05
NBB
Franca
#2
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A01/06
NBB
Franca
#2
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H03/06
NBB
G League United
#3
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A18/09
Intercontinental Cup
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A19/09
Intercontinental Cup
Al Ahli Tripoli
#2
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A21/09
Intercontinental Cup
Bauru
#10
W
60-39
60
39
+21
A18/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H21/10
NBB
82.5Avg total
42.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.739.383.0+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.137.379.4+4.857%-
Last 30 away (16)45.141.186.2+4.062%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.982.5+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.075.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.035.071.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (8)44.144.989.0-0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.337.581.8+6.865%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A06/03
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H11/03
NBB
Franca
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A31/03
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A02/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H07/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H10/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H17/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A20/10
NBB
75.2Avg total
38.1Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.439.275.6-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.837.273.0-1.333%-
Last 30 away (18)36.840.577.3-3.728%-
Last 10 (10)38.137.175.2+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.234.873.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)36.538.575.0-2.035%-
vs Similar (10)36.340.576.8-4.220%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.2
54.5%
52.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.613.6
37.2%
32.5%40.8
🏀 Free throws15.810.7
67.7%
72.8%10.7
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.516.8
46.0%
52.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.5
37.4%
32.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.313.5
73.8%
72.8%13.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WWLWLLLWLW
Cearense
WWWLWLLLLW
#4
League position
#19
+0.7
Net rating
-2.2
115.5
Offensive rating
103.2
114.9
Defensive rating
105.3
55.1%
Effective FG%
50.2%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
13.3%
Turnover %
18.5%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.2%
3-point %
37.4%
61.6%
Assist %
67.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 103.2Defence114.9 · 105.3Shooting55.1% · 50.2%3-point %37.2% · 37.4%Ball care13.3% · 18.5%Off. rebounds28.3% · 28.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Flamengo   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Flamengo wins
0
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
13/02/25Flamengo v Cearense84-79
29/10/24Cearense v Flamengo56-78
09/05/24Cearense v Flamengo68-83
07/05/24Cearense v Flamengo66-86
03/05/24Flamengo v Cearense79-71
02/04/24Cearense v Flamengo73-93
22/12/23Flamengo v Cearense77-74
31/01/23Cearense v Flamengo64-99
25/10/22Flamengo v Cearense80-60
29/03/22Cearense v Flamengo91-94
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/25HUnifacisa80-70
18/10/25ABauru102-86
21/09/25AAl Ahli Tripoli82-91
19/09/25AIllawarra Hawks84-82 OT
18/09/25AG League United91-93
03/06/25HFranca95-98 OT
01/06/25AFranca86-102
29/05/25HFranca86-75
27/05/25HFranca78-85
24/05/25AFranca107-93
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/25ABotafogo84-80
18/10/25AVasco88-78
17/04/25HUnifacisa81-73
10/04/25HPinheiros73-82
07/04/25HCorinthians Paulista79-67
02/04/25AMogi63-75
31/03/25ASao Jose71-84
28/03/25HFranca74-83
11/03/25HBauru66-74
06/03/25APaulistano87-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.080.0102.0
Allowed / game78.070.086.0
Point differential+13.0+10.0+16.0
Avg total169.0150.0188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cearense
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game86.0-86.0
Allowed / game79.0-79.0
Point differential+7.0-+7.0
Avg total165.0-165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca220100%96.064.5+31.5
2 Flamengo220100%91.078.0+13.0
3 Caxias do Sul110100%70.063.0+7.0
4 Cearense220100%86.079.0+7.0
5 Paulistano110100%66.059.0+7.0
6 Brasilia110100%77.074.0+3.0
7 Minas220100%85.583.5+2.0
8 Sao Jose21150%85.575.0+10.5
9 Corinthians Paulista21150%81.074.0+7.0
10 Botafogo21150%82.580.0+2.5
11 Pinheiros21150%78.586.5-8.0
12 Rio Claro1010%86.088.0-2.0
13 Pato1010%63.070.0-7.0
14 Vasco2020%77.086.5-9.5
15 Unifacisa1010%70.080.0-10.0
16 Bauru2020%72.584.0-11.5
17 Cruzeiro2020%63.583.0-19.5
18 Osasco2020%67.091.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo19223328102
Cearense2518131773
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