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Cearense vs Mogi Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 76-80
21-17 16-27 19-13 20-23
Position#19
Record2-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game88.6
vs
Mogi 🏆
Brazil
Position#8
Record4-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game66.2
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cearense v Mogi
09 Nov 2025
CEAR76
MOGI80
06 Dec 2024
CEAR76
MOGI69
24 Jan 2024
CEAR93
MOGI75
04 Mar 2022
CEAR82
MOGI75
14 Dec 2020
CEAR85
MOGI88
09 Dec 2019
CEAR67
MOGI71
13 Apr 2019
CEAR69
MOGI77
17 Jan 2019
CEAR60
MOGI73
24 Feb 2018
CEAR82
MOGI80
22 Feb 2017
CEAR77
MOGI85
21 Apr 2016
CEAR63
MOGI64
19 Apr 2016
CEAR76
MOGI55
04 Nov 2015
CEAR83
MOGI76
14 Jan 2015
CEAR80
MOGI91
18 Jan 2014
CEAR71
MOGI69
26 Jan 2013
CEAR71
MOGI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mogi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
71-84
71
84
-13
63avg 67
A31/03
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
63-75
63
75
-12
48avg 67
A02/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
79-67
79
67
+12
70avg 67
H07/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
73-82
73
82
-9
65avg 67
H10/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
81-73
81
73
+8
79avg 67
H17/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
88-78
88
78
+10
74avg 67
A18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
84-80
84
80
+4
84avg 67
A20/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
73-102
73
102
-29
61avg 67
A23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
71-85
71
85
-14
66avg 67
A31/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
82-98
82
98
-16
59avg 67
H05/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
16-16
18-26
13-22
13-16
15-31
26-11
9-17
15-10
22-13
25-25
17-19
19-17
23-21
13-16
18-28
17-20
17-16
29-17
18-20
19-17
23-15
20-20
26-26
22-26
14-19
27-13
21-22
25-19
18-22
13-33
17-28
12-29
24-18
19-17
16-21
24-27
14-24
22-30
22-17
158.9Avg total
76.5Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.688.6168.2-9.040%
Season at home (1)82.098.0180.0-16.00%
Season away (4)79.086.2165.2-7.250%
Last 10 (10)76.582.4158.9-5.940%
Last 5 (5)79.688.6168.2-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)74.783.2157.9-8.520%
vs Similar (10)77.376.2153.5+1.160%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Pato
#14
W
90-76
90
76
+14
92avg 67
H16/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 67
H26/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
65-88
65
88
-23
51avg 67
A29/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
57-76
57
76
-19
45avg 67
A01/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
60avg 67
A23/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
103-84
103
84
+19
93avg 67
A25/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
87-45
87
45
+42
83avg 67
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
79-57
79
57
+22
72avg 67
H01/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
67-69
67
69
-2
59avg 67
H03/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
74-63
74
63
+11
60avg 67
A06/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
27-14
18-27
18-14
20-22
15-17
14-22
23-24
21-22
14-23
13-24
17-19
22-17
12-21
13-18
10-20
17-12
15-24
18-22
21-21
20-20
26-26
29-13
28-25
24-9
19-18
28-8
16-10
18-17
25-14
23-12
13-14
11-14
16-17
14-14
26-24
16-14
14-18
16-21
28-10
148.7Avg total
76.5Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.266.2146.3+14.067%
Season at home (3)77.757.0134.7+20.767%
Season away (3)82.775.3158.0+7.367%
Last 10 (10)76.572.2148.7+4.350%
Last 5 (5)82.063.6145.6+18.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)75.082.3157.2-7.329%
vs Similar (6)74.876.7151.5-1.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)89.762.0151.7+27.7100%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
CearenseMogi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A31/03
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A02/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H07/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H10/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H17/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A20/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A31/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H05/11
NBB
77.2Avg total
37.6Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.239.877.1-2.630%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.238.875.0-2.725%-
Last 30 away (18)37.940.578.4-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)37.639.677.2-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.282.2-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.739.577.2-1.835%-
vs Similar (10)36.340.576.8-4.220%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#14
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H16/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H26/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A29/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A01/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A23/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A25/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H01/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H03/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A06/11
NBB
73.9Avg total
37.9Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.576.9-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.336.575.8+2.854%-
Last 30 away (17)35.941.877.7-5.818%-
Last 10 (10)37.936.073.9+1.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.833.471.2+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)37.341.278.6-3.929%-
vs Similar (6)34.335.770.0-1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)44.034.778.7+9.367%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.616.8
45.9%
52.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.4
35.9%
32.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.113.5
74.6%
72.8%13.5
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.6
52.2%
52.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.59.4
28.9%
32.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.712.1
72.5%
72.8%12.1
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
LLLWWWLWLL
Mogi
WLWWWLLLLW
#19
League position
#8
-8.8
Net rating
+5.7
101.9
Offensive rating
100.8
110.7
Defensive rating
95.1
49.2%
Effective FG%
47.9%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.7%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.9%
3-point %
28.9%
65.6%
Assist %
62.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 100.8Defence110.7 · 95.1Shooting49.2% · 47.9%3-point %35.9% · 28.9%Ball care18.9% · 16.7%Off. rebounds28.9% · 29.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Cearense   ■ Mogi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cearense wins
5
Mogi wins
DateGameScore
02/04/25Mogi v Cearense75-63
06/12/24Cearense v Mogi76-69
24/01/24Cearense v Mogi93-75
25/10/23Mogi v Cearense63-65
04/03/22Cearense v Mogi82-75
03/12/21Mogi v Cearense86-79
26/02/21Mogi v Cearense84-94
14/12/20Cearense v Mogi85-88
27/01/20Mogi v Cearense78-73
09/12/19Cearense v Mogi67-71
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/25HCorinthians Paulista82-98
31/10/25AUnifacisa71-85
23/10/25AFlamengo73-102
20/10/25ABotafogo84-80
18/10/25AVasco88-78
17/04/25HUnifacisa81-73
10/04/25HPinheiros73-82
07/04/25HCorinthians Paulista79-67
02/04/25AMogi63-75
31/03/25ASao Jose71-84
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/25AUnifacisa74-63
03/11/25HFlamengo67-69
01/11/25HVasco79-57
29/10/25HBotafogo87-45
25/10/25ACruzeiro103-84
23/10/25AMinas71-79
01/05/25AMinas57-76
29/04/25AMinas65-88
26/04/25HMinas72-85
16/04/25HPato90-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeL0%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%0%50%
Points / game79.682.079.0
Allowed / game88.698.086.2
Point differential-9.0-16.0-7.2
Avg total168.2180.0165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mogi
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game80.277.782.7
Allowed / game66.257.075.3
Point differential+14.0+20.7+7.3
Avg total146.3134.7158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo880100%91.671.9+19.8
2 Minas770100%86.376.1+10.1
3 Franca75271%84.673.9+10.7
4 Corinthians Paulista75271%87.678.1+9.4
5 Pinheiros75271%79.773.6+6.1
6 Brasilia64267%84.768.8+15.8
7 Mogi64267%80.266.2+14.0
8 Uniao Corinthians53260%76.878.6-1.8
9 Paulistano74357%75.974.0+1.9
10 Sao Jose63350%75.373.2+2.2
11 Unifacisa63350%77.080.3-3.3
12 Caxias do Sul63350%70.778.0-7.3
13 Bauru73443%71.073.1-2.1
14 Cearense52340%79.688.6-9.0
15 Botafogo72529%71.982.0-10.1
16 Cruzeiro72529%73.683.9-10.3
17 Pato71614%71.979.6-7.7
18 Rio Claro71614%78.493.7-15.3
19 Osasco71614%75.791.4-15.7
20 Vasco7070%68.178.3-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense2116192076
Mogi1727132380
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