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Rogaska vs Celje Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 107-78
31-16 24-28 23-18 29-16
Position#10
Record2-0
FormLWLLL
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game67.0
Rogaska 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#15
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game82.5
SloveniaSlovenian Cup· SD Rogaska Slatina
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rogaska winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Celje winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 72
A27/09
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
86-94
86
94
-8
81avg 72
A04/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#26
W
82-63
82
63
+19
no box
A07/10
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
89avg 72
H11/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
L
91-98
91
98
-7
83avg 72
A20/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
71-78
71
78
-7
60avg 72
H25/10
Liga Nova KBM
Celje
#15
W
101-71
101
71
+30
no box
A28/10
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
71avg 72
H03/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
L
81-84
81
84
-3
75avg 72
H08/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
74-77
74
77
-3
66avg 72
H12/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
15-26
18-25
27-13
26-21
19-22
13-15
28-36
20-17
22-12
22-16
18-18
28-32
21-15
23-22
23-20
22-30
24-23
26-19
19-26
11-20
25-15
15-27
20-16
24-18
15-23
33-16
29-14
13-25
23-25
24-19
20-22
20-24
22-17
16-22
23-21
14-19
17-19
22-16
21-23
167.8Avg total
84.9Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.567.0158.5+24.5100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)91.567.0158.5+24.5100%
Last 10 (10)84.982.9167.8+2.040%
Last 5 (5)81.480.2161.6+1.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.784.8160.5-9.223%
vs Similar (8)78.477.6156.0+0.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)85.081.5166.5+3.550%
This opponent (Celje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CeljeSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCelje
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#6
L
83-100
83
100
-17
no box
A20/11
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#20
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A20/10
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#12
L
71-90
71
90
-19
no box
H19/10
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#12
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
A27/10
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
68-81
68
81
-13
no box
H19/10
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
65-72
65
72
-7
no box
A25/10
Slovenian Cup
Vojnik
#8
L
62-74
62
74
-12
no box
A17/10
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
no box
H09/10
Slovenian Cup
Ljubljana
#23
W
75-64
75
64
+11
no box
H07/10
Slovenian Cup
Rogaska
#10
L
71-101
71
101
-30
no box
H28/10
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
26-22
15-21
21-30
–
–
–
–
17-12
18-18
21-26
15-34
17-23
17-13
24-27
22-12
12-25
18-19
16-20
22-17
19-26
14-10
15-15
17-21
8-26
16-12
19-19
19-17
15-27
22-21
25-18
13-21
23-21
27-10
14-17
11-16
18-24
23-15
16-33
14-29
141.4Avg total
65.0Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.082.5155.5-9.550%
Season at home (2)73.082.5155.5-9.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)65.076.4141.4-11.420%
Last 5 (5)69.679.6149.2-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)71.487.2158.6-15.811%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (7)85.474.0159.4+11.486%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -6.8-6.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -4.8-4.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -6.8-6.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -4.8-4.8
RogaskaCelje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A27/09
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A04/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#26
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A07/10
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#8
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H11/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A20/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H25/10
Liga Nova KBM
Celje
#15
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A28/10
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H08/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H12/11
Liga Nova KBM
83.2Avg total
40.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.482.3-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.641.683.2+0.067%-
Last 30 away (15)40.141.381.3-1.240%-
Last 10 (10)40.942.383.2-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.841.077.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.443.382.7-3.931%-
vs Similar (8)41.839.080.8+2.888%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.142.484.5-0.250%-
This opponent (Celje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CeljeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A20/11
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#12
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H19/10
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#12
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A27/10
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H19/10
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A25/10
Slovenian Cup
Vojnik
#8
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A17/10
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H09/10
Slovenian Cup
Ljubljana
#23
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H07/10
Slovenian Cup
Rogaska
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H28/10
Slovenian Cup
75.8Avg total
36.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.941.579.4-3.628%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.639.879.4-0.138%-
Last 30 away (13)35.843.679.4-7.815%-
Last 10 (9)36.839.075.8-2.233%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.475.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.743.278.8-7.516%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (7)44.338.082.3+6.357%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.722.0
56.8%
55.7%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.1
32.7%
36.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.912.7
70.9%
78.7%12.7
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Celjetheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rogaska wins
0
Celje wins
DateGameScore
28/10/25Celje v Rogaska71-101
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25HPerspektiva Ilirija74-77
08/11/25HHelios Domzale81-84
03/11/25HKK Krka Novo mesto80-91
28/10/25ACelje101-71
25/10/25HKK Triglav Kranj71-78
20/10/25ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek91-98
11/10/25HPolzela95-89
07/10/25AVojnik82-63
04/10/25AZlatorog Lasko86-94
27/09/25ATajfun Sentjur88-84
Celjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/25HRogaska71-101
07/10/25HLjubljana75-64
09/10/24HZlatorog Lasko75-87
17/10/23AVojnik62-74
25/10/22ATajfun Sentjur65-72
19/10/22HTajfun Sentjur68-81
27/10/21APolzela80-75
19/10/21HPolzela71-90
20/10/20ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek0-20
20/11/18ATajfun Sentjur83-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rogaska
Slovenian Cup 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game91.5-91.5
Allowed / game67.0-67.0
Point differential+24.5-+24.5
Avg total158.5-158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Celje
Slovenian Cup 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game73.073.0-
Allowed / game82.582.5-
Point differential-9.5-9.5-
Avg total155.5155.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zlatorog Lasko330100%103.061.3+41.7
2 KK Triglav Kranj330100%94.059.7+34.3
3 Sencur330100%97.063.0+34.0
4 Ajdovscina330100%95.363.0+32.3
5 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek330100%102.772.3+30.3
6 Polzela330100%103.777.0+26.7
7 Rogaska220100%91.567.0+24.5
8 Gorica32167%84.069.7+14.3
9 Plama P.32167%73.066.7+6.3
10 Celje21150%73.082.5-9.5
11 Elektra Sostanj31233%79.794.0-14.3
12 Cedevita Olimpija mladi31233%69.384.7-15.3
13 Vrani Vransko31233%85.0101.0-16.0
14 Ipros Vrhnika31233%72.791.0-18.3
15 Cerknica31233%71.390.7-19.3
16 LTH Castings31233%64.790.0-25.3
17 Crnomelj1010%84.088.0-4.0
18 Nagode Postojna1010%81.088.0-7.0
19 Bistrica Kety Emmi1010%78.087.0-9.0
20 Ljubljana1010%64.075.0-11.0
21 Branik Maribor1010%74.088.0-14.0
22 Jezica1010%63.081.0-18.0
23 Vojnik1010%63.082.0-19.0
24 Jance1010%73.093.0-20.0
25 Tolmin1010%67.088.0-21.0
26 Zoltasti Troti1010%63.086.0-23.0
27 Misel1010%50.076.0-26.0
28 Hrastnik1010%66.0100.0-34.0
29 Hidria1010%66.0102.0-36.0
30 Litija1010%61.0100.0-39.0
31 Prebold1010%45.085.0-40.0
32 Gorenja vas1010%59.0102.0-43.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rogaska31242329107
Celje1628181678
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