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Russia U18 vs Italy U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Jul 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 63-56
12-18 22-16 17-10 12-12
Position#7
Record1-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Position#5
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game59.0
Allowed / game60.0
Meetings · Russia U18 v Italy U18
29 Jul 2019
RUSS63
ITAL56
01 Aug 2018
RUSS79
ITAL66
02 Aug 2017
RUSS64
ITAL82
24 Jul 2015
RUSS54
ITAL63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Russia U18 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy U18 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Russia U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Finland U18
#10
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A06/08
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#6
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#13
W
65-56
65
56
+9
A31/07
EuroBasket U18
Italy U18
#11
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#3
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#4
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#8
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H05/08
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#10
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Montenegro U18
#11
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
17-13
17-20
24-20
26-20
23-24
21-16
12-20
18-20
22-12
23-19
9-24
23-14
13-16
14-15
15-11
24-19
19-16
20-17
16-14
12-18
26-18
22-18
19-23
28-22
15-20
18-23
19-26
14-11
24-15
22-28
10-25
21-12
14-17
21-9
18-22
19-22
14-18
21-20
25-21
148.9Avg total
75.5Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.570.5147.0+6.050%
Season at home (1)74.060.0134.0+14.0100%
Season away (1)79.081.0160.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)75.573.4148.9+2.160%
Last 5 (5)76.477.6154.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)69.077.4146.4-8.425%
vs Similar (13)68.568.8137.2-0.346%
vs Weaker (9)77.662.7140.2+14.978%
This opponent (Italy U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France U18
#6
W
79-55
79
55
+24
A06/08
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#9
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#10
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#4
L
68-90
68
90
-22
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#7
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#16
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#13
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#1
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H05/08
EuroBasket U18
Montenegro U18
#11
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#10
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
14-12
21-9
19-16
19-22
13-15
16-21
17-23
10-20
24-13
15-15
25-19
17-18
19-35
9-9
23-28
19-24
16-19
17-20
14-16
23-16
17-20
10-23
25-16
25-14
18-23
15-19
21-13
16-23
10-14
15-26
21-17
13-18
9-10
11-13
21-21
8-17
28-12
20-18
8-11
144.6Avg total
70.9Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)59.060.0119.0-1.050%
Season at home (1)54.062.0116.0-8.00%
Season away (1)64.058.0122.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)70.973.7144.6-2.850%
Last 5 (5)71.473.0144.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.780.2148.8-11.517%
vs Similar (7)67.463.7131.1+3.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)74.562.2136.7+12.288%
This opponent (Russia U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +1.4+1.4
Russia U18Italy U18
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Russia U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Finland U18
#10
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A06/08
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#8
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#6
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#13
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A31/07
EuroBasket U18
Italy U18
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#8
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H05/08
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#10
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Montenegro U18
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
73.2Avg total
38.9Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.233.068.3+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.432.069.4+5.473%-
Last 30 away (15)33.134.167.1-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)38.934.373.2+4.690%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.672.0+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.834.270.0+1.575%-
vs Similar (13)33.532.866.4+0.754%-
vs Weaker (9)37.232.269.4+5.056%-
This opponent (Italy U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France U18
#6
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A06/08
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#9
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#16
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#13
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#1
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H05/08
EuroBasket U18
Montenegro U18
#11
L
22-28
22
28
-6
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#10
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
70.6Avg total
34.3Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.531.867.3+3.870%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.633.266.9+0.462%-
Last 30 away (14)37.730.167.8+7.679%-
Last 10 (10)34.336.370.6-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)33.433.466.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.842.276.0-8.317%-
vs Similar (7)35.730.466.1+5.386%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)36.128.664.7+7.482%-
This opponent (Russia U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Russia U18 wins
3
Italy U18 wins
DateGameScore
01/08/18Russia U18 v Italy U1879-66
02/08/17Russia U18 v Italy U1864-82
01/08/15Italy U18 v Russia U1867-82
24/07/15Russia U18 v Italy U1854-63
21/07/11Italy U18 v Russia U1889-48
24/07/10Italy U18 v Russia U1886-87
Russia U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/07/19AMontenegro U1879-81
27/07/19HLithuania U1874-60
05/08/18HFrance U1870-79
04/08/18ALatvia U1880-91
03/08/18HLithuania U1879-77
01/08/18HItaly U1879-66
31/07/18ATurkey U1865-56
29/07/18AGermany U1872-75
28/07/18HFrance U1882-80
06/08/17AFinland U1875-69
Italy U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/07/19ALithuania U1864-58
27/07/19HMontenegro U1854-62
05/08/18HSpain U1862-80
04/08/18ATurkey U1879-69
03/08/18HBosnia & Herzegovina U1898-96 OT
01/08/18ARussia U1866-79
31/07/18HLatvia U1868-90
29/07/18HCroatia U1874-67
28/07/18AGreece U1865-81
06/08/17AFrance U1879-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Russia U18
EuroBasket U18 2019
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game76.574.079.0
Allowed / game70.560.081.0
Point differential+6.0+14.0-2.0
Avg total147.0134.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Italy U18
EuroBasket U18 2019
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game59.054.064.0
Allowed / game60.062.058.0
Point differential-1.0-8.0+6.0
Avg total119.0116.0122.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spain U18220100%89.555.0+34.5
2 Turkey U18220100%82.057.5+24.5
3 France U18330100%73.056.7+16.3
4 Montenegro U1832167%67.069.7-2.7
5 Russia U1821150%76.570.5+6.0
6 Serbia U1821150%80.077.5+2.5
7 Italy U1821150%59.060.0-1.0
8 Slovenia U1821150%62.568.5-6.0
9 Greece U1821150%68.577.0-8.5
10 Croatia U1821150%61.576.5-15.0
11 Germany U1831233%69.367.7+1.7
12 Lithuania U1831233%64.765.3-0.7
13 Netherlands U1831233%72.073.3-1.3
14 Finland U1831233%53.064.7-11.7
15 Great Britain U1831233%71.391.0-19.7
16 Latvia U183030%69.376.0-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Russia U181222171263
Italy U181816101256
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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