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Rustavi vs Kutaisi Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Projected 85-83
Projected total 167.9
Final 90-76
18-22 15-8 34-15 23-31
Position#2
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game86.6
Rustavi 🏆
Georgia
Vs
55%
45%
■ RUST 55%■ KUT 45%
Pythia win probability
Position#10
Record1-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game83.8
GeorgiaSuperleagueRound 7· Chemicals Gym
Other2026-27
Meetings · Rustavi v Kutaisi
13 Nov 2026
RUST90
KUT76
17 Oct 2025
RUST67
KUT81
20 Jan 2025
RUST84
KUT72
14 Oct 2023
RUST103
KUT86
11 Dec 2022
RUST83
KUT85
05 May 2022
RUST81
KUT97
01 Nov 2021
RUST69
KUT90
12 Jan 2021
RUST93
KUT83
01 Nov 2019
RUST69
KUT72
14 Dec 2018
RUST87
KUT94
17 Feb 2017
RUST81
KUT73
28 Oct 2016
RUST77
KUT88
01 Apr 2016
RUST95
KUT91
15 Dec 2015
RUST71
KUT63
07 Feb 2014
RUST87
KUT81
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Rustavi host Kutaisi on 13 November 2026 in the Superleague, a contest that feels almost evenly matched as both sides have shown contrasting fortunes yet remain within striking distance. Rustavi enter the game with a 4-1 record, averaging 87.2 points and conceding 86.6, and they are third in the league; at home they are unbeaten 2-0, scoring 89.5 and allowing 85.0, with four wins in their last five outings including a 95-92 victory over Orbi. Kutaisi, meanwhile, sit 10th with a 1-5 record, 79.0 points for and 83.8 against, and they have lost all four road contests, averaging 74.0 points and surrendering 85.2; their last five games yielded only one win, a 98-81 triumph over TSU. Historically, Kutaisi has edged Rustavi 7-3 in ten meetings, most recently defeating them 84-81 on 9 February 2026. Pythia rates Rustavi as the favourite with a 55% chance of victory versus 45% for Kutaisi, projecting an 85-83 score and a total of 167.9 points; the home team's line is -1.0 with a 54% probability of covering, while the total line of 166.0 carries a 54% chance of an over.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rustavi winWon
55.3%fair 1.81
Best odds2.12
Implied49.2%
Edge+6.1pp
Kutaisi winLost
44.7%fair 2.24
Best odds1.84
Implied50.8%
Edge-6.1pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 18:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RustaviGeorgiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRustavi
Date
Competition
Orbi
#5
L
86-89
86
89
-3
71avg 79
H19/04
Superleague
Griffin
#11
W
108-72
108
72
+36
104avg 79
H22/04
Superleague
Griffin
#11
W
93-62
93
62
+31
95avg 79
H24/04
Superleague
Griffin
#11
L
88-90
88
90
-2
78avg 79
A27/04
Superleague
Griffin
#11
W
89-77
89
77
+12
no box
A29/04
Superleague
TSU
#6
L
77-88
77
88
-11
42avg 79
A03/10
Superleague
Telavi
#7
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
86avg 79
H09/10
Superleague
Orbi
#3
W
95-92
95
92
+3
88avg 79
A18/10
Superleague
Margveti
#9
W
82-76
82
76
+6
79avg 79
H30/10
Superleague
Black Fortress
#11
W
85-83
85
83
+2
no box
A07/11
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-31
17-19
19-17
23-22
25-21
28-17
24-19
31-15
22-17
27-11
13-18
31-16
12-22
15-24
28-21
33-23
21-25
30-20
21-16
17-16
22-19
23-22
15-24
17-23
21-24
24-14
27-25
16-25
30-15
18-22
23-27
24-28
22-13
24-24
21-15
15-24
25-16
17-16
19-23
24-28
172.3Avg total
90.0Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.286.6173.8+0.680%
Season at home (2)89.585.0174.5+4.5100%
Season away (3)85.787.7173.3-2.067%
Last 10 (10)90.082.3172.3+7.770%
Last 5 (5)87.286.6173.8+0.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.795.7180.3-11.00%
vs Similar (14)81.686.6168.2-5.121%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.379.2167.5+9.277%
This opponent (Kutaisi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KutaisiGeorgiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKutaisi
Date
Competition
Batumi
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
74avg 80
A10/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
79-96
79
96
-17
70avg 80
H13/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
58avg 80
H15/05
Superleague
Orbi
#5
L
80-86
80
86
-6
73avg 80
H22/05
Superleague
Batumi
#4
L
77-80
77
80
-3
66avg 80
A02/10
Superleague
CIU
#1
L
65-97
65
97
-32
46avg 80
A09/10
Superleague
Iverioni
#8
L
74-75
74
75
-1
58avg 80
A16/10
Superleague
TSU
#6
W
98-81
98
81
+17
100avg 80
H25/10
Superleague
Telavi
#7
L
80-89
80
89
-9
67avg 80
A01/11
Superleague
Orbi
#3
L
80-81
80
81
-1
no box
H06/11
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
14-14
29-25
28-31
22-25
21-23
18-20
18-28
26-13
23-21
10-27
11-22
25-28
21-15
16-19
18-24
14-26
26-13
18-16
19-25
23-20
16-19
12-31
14-27
14-23
27-12
14-15
19-25
20-26
23-18
29-16
26-21
18-20
22-27
20-16
20-26
14-20
24-18
22-19
20-24
164.3Avg total
78.5Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.083.8162.8-4.817%
Season at home (2)89.081.0170.0+8.050%
Season away (4)74.085.2159.2-11.20%
Last 10 (10)78.585.8164.3-7.310%
Last 5 (5)79.484.6164.0-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)75.790.8166.5-15.217%
vs Similar (11)79.581.7161.2-2.336%
vs Weaker (13)92.583.2175.6+9.377%
This opponent (Rustavi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 163.5Actual: Over 163.5
Over 163.5
59.7%
Under 163.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168.5 · main lineActual: Under 168.5
Over 168.5
47.7%
@ 1.89-1.8pp
Under 168.5
52.3%
@ 1.85+1.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.89
WilliamHill
1.85
SBO
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Under
WilliamHill
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
1.83
SBO
1.80
Over/Under 173.5Actual: Under 173.5
Over 173.5
36.1%
Under 173.5
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Rustavi total 79.5Actual: Rustavi over 79.5
Over 79.5
69.1%
Under 79.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rustavi total 83.5 · main lineActual: Rustavi over 83.5
Over 83.5
54.4%
@ 1.86+4.5pp
Under 83.5
45.6%
@ 1.85-4.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.80
Under
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Rustavi total 87.5Actual: Rustavi over 87.5
Over 87.5
39.1%
Under 87.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kutaisi total 80.5Actual: Kutaisi under 80.5
Over 80.5
59.9%
Under 80.5
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kutaisi total 84.5 · main lineActual: Kutaisi under 84.5
Over 84.5
44.7%
@ 1.83-5.1pp
Under 84.5
55.3%
@ 1.83+5.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
Kutaisi total 88.5Actual: Kutaisi under 88.5
Over 88.5
30.3%
Under 88.5
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Rustavi -2Actual: Rustavi -2
RUST -2
50.2%
@ 2.11+6.2pp
KUT +2
49.8%
@ 1.70-6.2pp
Best 5 market prices
RUST
Pinnacle
2.11
SBO
1.98
KUT
SBO
1.70
Pinnacle
1.66
Spread Rustavi +1 · main lineActual: Rustavi +1
RUST +1
56.9%
@ 1.88+7.3pp
KUT -1
43.1%
@ 1.91-7.3pp
Best 5 market prices
RUST
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.75
KUT
SBO
1.91
Pinnacle
1.85
Spread Rustavi +4Actual: Rustavi +4
RUST +4
67.7%
@ 1.55+8.0pp
KUT -4
32.3%
@ 2.30-8.0pp
Best 5 market prices
RUST
Pinnacle
1.55
KUT
Pinnacle
2.30

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -6.0-6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -6.0-6.0
RustaviKutaisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RustaviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orbi
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H19/04
Superleague
Griffin
#11
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H22/04
Superleague
Griffin
#11
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H24/04
Superleague
Griffin
#11
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A27/04
Superleague
Griffin
#11
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A29/04
Superleague
TSU
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A03/10
Superleague
Telavi
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/10
Superleague
Orbi
#3
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A18/10
Superleague
Margveti
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H30/10
Superleague
Black Fortress
#11
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A07/11
Superleague
84.2Avg total
45.0Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 84.5
Last 30 (30)42.741.884.5+0.857%40%
Last 30 at home (14)43.742.586.2+1.250%36%
Last 30 away (16)41.841.283.0+0.562%44%
Last 10 (10)45.039.284.2+5.880%50%
Last 5 (5)45.237.082.2+8.2100%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.054.098.0-10.033%67%
vs Similar (14)41.042.183.1-1.143%43%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.238.782.8+5.577%31%
This opponent (Kutaisi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KutaisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Batumi
#1
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A10/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H13/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H15/05
Superleague
Orbi
#5
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H22/05
Superleague
Batumi
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A02/10
Superleague
CIU
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A09/10
Superleague
Iverioni
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A16/10
Superleague
TSU
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/10
Superleague
Telavi
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A01/11
Superleague
Orbi
#3
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H06/11
Superleague
80.5Avg total
40.4Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 84.5
Last 30 (30)42.642.084.6+0.743%53%
Last 30 at home (14)45.741.487.1+4.343%57%
Last 30 away (16)39.942.482.4-2.544%50%
Last 10 (10)40.440.180.5+0.340%40%
Last 5 (5)40.240.680.8-0.420%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.745.582.2-8.817%50%
vs Similar (11)41.040.481.4+0.645%45%
vs Weaker (13)46.841.788.5+5.154%62%
This opponent (Rustavi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Rustavi win
RUST win
no forecast
@ 2.05
KUT win
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Spread Rustavi +1.5 · main lineActual: Rustavi +1.5
RUST +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
KUT -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
1st half Over/Under 84.5 · main lineActual: Under 84.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
Rustavi 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Rustavi under 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Kutaisi 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Kutaisi under 42.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half: RUST + total 84.5
RUST & over
no forecast
@ 4.10
RUST & under
no forecast
@ 3.90
1st half: Draw + total 84.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 31.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half: KUT + total 84.5
KUT & over
no forecast
@ 3.50
KUT & under
no forecast
@ 3.30
1st half Spread Rustavi +0.5Actual: Rustavi +0.5
RUST +0.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
KUT -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Over/Under 82.5Actual: Under 82.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Spread Rustavi -0.5Actual: Rustavi -0.5
RUST -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
KUT +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Rustavi (regulation)
RUST
no forecast
@ 2.05
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
KUT
no forecast
@ 1.87

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
RUST win + total 168.5
🔒 Pro
KUT win + total 168.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: RUST leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: KUT leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Rustavi +571.2%1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
----+10.6ppWon
Overtime: no94.6%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+3.5ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rustavitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rustavi: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.724.0
52.5%
48.2%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.9
32.8%
31.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.910.6
56.1%
64.0%10.6
They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kutaisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kutaisi: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.616.5
41.7%
48.2%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.0
30.2%
31.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.917.3
72.4%
64.0%17.3
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rustavi
WWWWLWLWWL
Kutaisi
LLWLLLLLLL
#2
League position
#10
+4.9
Net rating
-7.7
90.2
Offensive rating
82.6
85.4
Defensive rating
90.3
51.3%
Effective FG%
43.2%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
15.3%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.8%
3-point %
30.2%
66.9%
Assist %
69.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence90.2 · 82.6Defence85.4 · 90.3Shooting51.3% · 43.2%3-point %32.8% · 30.2%Ball care15.3% · 14.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Rustavi   ■ Kutaisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Rustavi wins
7
Kutaisi wins
DateGameScore
09/02/26Kutaisi v Rustavi84-81
17/10/25Rustavi v Kutaisi67-81
24/01/25Kutaisi v Rustavi108-86
20/01/25Rustavi v Kutaisi84-72
03/02/24Kutaisi v Rustavi97-90
14/10/23Rustavi v Kutaisi103-86
18/03/23Kutaisi v Rustavi80-89
11/12/22Rustavi v Kutaisi83-85
05/05/22Rustavi v Kutaisi81-97
02/05/22Kutaisi v Rustavi102-89 OT
Rustavilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ABlack Fortress85-83
30/10/26HMargveti82-76
18/10/26AOrbi95-92
09/10/26HTelavi97-94 OT
03/10/26ATSU77-88
29/04/26AGriffin89-77
27/04/26AGriffin88-90
24/04/26HGriffin93-62
22/04/26HGriffin108-72
19/04/26HOrbi86-89
Kutaisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HOrbi80-81
01/11/26ATelavi80-89
25/10/26HTSU98-81
16/10/26AIverioni74-75
09/10/26ACIU65-97
02/10/26ABatumi77-80
22/05/26HOrbi80-86
15/05/26HBatumi70-83
13/05/26HBatumi79-96
10/05/26ABatumi82-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rustavi
Superleague 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game87.289.585.7
Allowed / game86.685.087.7
Point differential+0.6+4.5-2.0
Avg total173.8174.5173.3
Over 168.540%50%33%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %20%50%0%
Kutaisi
Superleague 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%50%0%
Points / game79.089.074.0
Allowed / game83.881.085.2
Point differential-4.8+8.0-11.2
Avg total162.8170.0159.2
Over 168.533%50%25%
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CIU660100%95.377.7+17.7
2 Orbi54180%84.082.4+1.6
3 Rustavi54180%87.286.6+0.6
4 Batumi43175%77.877.2+0.5
5 Akhaltsikhe53260%76.078.8-2.8
6 Telavi63350%83.881.7+2.2
7 TSU73443%85.185.9-0.7
8 Iverioni52340%79.483.2-3.8
9 Margveti51420%77.681.0-3.4
10 Kutaisi61517%79.083.8-4.8
11 Black Fortress6060%79.887.8-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rustavi1815342390
Kutaisi228153176
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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