PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Rutgers vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 77-75 (OT)
33-35 34-32 10-8
Position#267
Record8-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game73.1
Rutgers 🏆
USA
vs
Northwestern
USA
Position#251
Record8-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Rutgers v Northwestern
11 Jan 2026
RUTG77
NORT75
15 Feb 2024
RUTG63
NORT60
05 Mar 2023
RUTG53
NORT65
13 Feb 2021
RUTG64
NORT50
09 Feb 2020
RUTG77
NORT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rutgers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RutgersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#269
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A25/11
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H27/11
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
65-81
65
81
-16
H03/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
60-101
60
101
-41
A06/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A14/12
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H21/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
65-50
65
50
+15
H30/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H03/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
55-81
55
81
-26
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-36
39-32
33-39
47-26
27-40
38-41
25-50
35-51
21-35
38-46
29-33
41-36
31-24
34-26
41-37
32-43
37-45
39-31
16-43
39-38
143.9Avg total
67.8Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)69.373.1142.4-3.850%
Season at home (11)73.868.5142.3+5.473%
Season away (5)59.483.2142.6-23.80%
Last 10 (10)67.876.1143.9-8.340%
Last 5 (5)70.273.0143.2-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)68.879.4148.2-10.722%
vs Similar (10)80.777.5158.2+3.270%
vs Weaker (2)73.051.5124.5+21.5100%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#278
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A04/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H06/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
93-53
93
53
+40
H13/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H17/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A20/12
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H30/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-34
43-43
40-39
41-47
32-55
41-30
44-40
38-46
41-24
52-29
39-30
47-40
23-29
35-32
31-28
49-32
34-34
44-50
35-28
31-48
151.4Avg total
77.6Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.470.8150.2+8.653%
Season at home (10)83.567.8151.3+15.770%
Season away (5)71.276.8148.0-5.620%
Last 10 (10)77.673.8151.4+3.840%
Last 5 (5)73.670.2143.8+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.576.5148.0-5.010%
vs Similar (15)74.369.0143.3+5.360%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)84.263.8148.0+20.480%
This opponent (Rutgers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.8-9.81st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +2.4+2.4
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.8-9.81st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +2.4+2.4
RutgersNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
RutgersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#269
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A25/11
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H27/11
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H03/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A06/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A14/12
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H21/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H30/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H06/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
16-43
16
43
-27
A09/01
NCAA
66.6Avg total
28.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.237.571.7-3.440%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.433.868.3+0.650%-
Last 30 away (12)33.843.176.8-9.325%-
Last 10 (10)28.438.266.6-9.820%-
Last 5 (5)30.836.467.2-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)32.339.872.1-7.617%-
vs Similar (10)37.836.173.9+1.770%-
vs Weaker (2)33.024.057.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#278
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A04/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H13/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H17/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A20/12
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H30/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A08/01
NCAA
69.6Avg total
35.5Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.233.067.2+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.730.567.2+6.282%-
Last 30 away (13)30.936.267.1-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)35.534.169.6+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)32.429.862.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.436.268.6-3.850%-
vs Similar (15)34.031.765.7+2.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)38.430.268.6+8.280%-
This opponent (Rutgers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Rutgers wins
2
Northwestern wins
DateGameScore
30/01/25Northwestern v Rutgers72-79
15/02/24Rutgers v Northwestern63-60
06/03/23Rutgers v Northwestern53-65
12/01/23Northwestern v Rutgers62-65
02/02/22Northwestern v Rutgers79-78 OT
13/02/21Rutgers v Northwestern64-50
01/02/21Northwestern v Rutgers56-64
09/02/20Rutgers v Northwestern77-73 OT
Rutgerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26AIllinois55-81
06/01/26HOregon88-85 OT
03/01/26HOhio State73-80
30/12/25HDelaware State65-50
21/12/25HPenn70-69
14/12/25ASeton Hall59-81
06/12/25AMichigan60-101
03/12/25HPurdue65-81
27/11/25HUNLV80-65
25/11/25ANotre Dame63-68
Northwesternlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26AMichigan State66-76
03/01/26HMinnesota78-84
30/12/25HHoward80-60
20/12/25AButler58-61
17/12/25HValparaiso86-70
13/12/25HJackson State93-53
06/12/25HOhio State82-86
04/12/25AWisconsin73-85
28/11/25HOklahoma State81-86
23/11/25HSouth Carolina79-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rutgers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %50%73%0%
Points / game69.373.859.4
Allowed / game73.168.583.2
Point differential-3.8+5.4-23.8
Avg total142.4142.3142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%9%0%
Northwestern
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL53%
HomeLWWWL70%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %53%70%20%
Points / game79.483.571.2
Allowed / game70.867.876.8
Point differential+8.6+15.7-5.6
Avg total150.2151.3148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nebraska16160100%81.266.4+14.8
2 Purdue1615194%86.468.1+18.4
3 Michigan1514193%94.668.5+26.1
4 Michigan State1614288%78.964.5+14.4
5 Illinois1613381%86.067.4+18.6
6 USC1613381%84.376.5+7.8
7 Iowa1612475%79.161.7+17.4
8 Indiana1612475%84.568.0+16.5
9 Ohio State1511473%83.771.3+12.4
10 UCLA1611569%78.969.1+9.8
11 Wisconsin1611569%83.175.0+8.1
12 Minnesota1610662%73.066.1+6.9
13 Washington159660%81.773.1+8.7
14 Penn State169756%78.175.4+2.8
15 Northwestern158753%79.470.8+8.6
16 Oregon168850%76.773.2+3.4
17 Rutgers168850%69.373.1-3.8
18 Maryland167944%73.477.4-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Rutgers33341077
Northwestern3532875
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.