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Rwanda vs Nigeria Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 62-106
14-25 15-24 15-31 18-26
Position#84
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Nigeria 🏆
Position#35
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game77.2
EuropeWorld CupRound 6· Pavilhao Multiusos de Luanda
Other2027
Meetings · Rwanda v Nigeria
05 Jul 2026
RWAN62
NIGE106
30 Jun 2018
RWAN70
NIGE111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rwanda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nigeria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RwandaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cameroon
#54
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H26/02
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A27/02
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H01/07
World Cup
Cameroon
#54
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A02/07
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H03/07
World Cup
Guinea
#24
L
70-82
70
82
-12
H27/11
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A29/11
World Cup
Nigeria
#35
L
69-75 OT
69
75
-6
A30/11
World Cup
Guinea
#24
L
63-89
63
89
-26
A02/07
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
67-83
67
83
-16
H03/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-9
8-11
12-11
13-26
16-22
9-16
10-16
16-11
13-22
12-20
23-10
15-21
19-7
15-8
14-20
11-17
11-16
18-23
15-22
22-15
18-18
12-26
17-18
23-20
16-16
15-24
11-21
24-18
21-12
6-13
9-20
25-16
14-26
27-19
12-18
10-26
15-22
20-15
16-22
16-24
135.0Avg total
61.9Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)67.081.6148.6-14.60%
Season at home (2)68.582.5151.0-14.00%
Season away (3)66.081.0147.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)61.973.1135.0-11.210%
Last 5 (5)67.081.6148.6-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)63.377.7141.0-14.412%
vs Similar (4)75.077.0152.0-2.050%
vs Weaker (2)75.070.0145.0+5.050%
This opponent (Nigeria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NigeriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guinea
#59
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H27/08
World Cup
Angola
#19
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A28/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H24/02
World Cup
Guinea
#59
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A25/02
World Cup
Angola
#19
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H26/02
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
78-88 OT
78
88
-10
H27/11
World Cup
Guinea
#24
L
55-69
55
69
-14
A29/11
World Cup
Rwanda
#84
W
75-69 OT
75
69
+6
H30/11
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A02/07
World Cup
Guinea
#24
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H03/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
20-20
32-15
13-20
16-18
13-9
16-23
22-20
16-15
14-19
23-14
19-15
13-13
18-22
8-13
23-11
15-18
14-18
9-19
21-10
15-12
17-23
21-18
20-20
16-22
10-13
15-17
14-17
12-21
13-6
20-9
16-25
23-21
20-23
21-19
20-18
23-17
23-23
16-28
18-11
143.4Avg total
72.1Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.477.2151.6-2.860%
Season at home (3)77.778.7156.3-1.067%
Season away (2)69.575.0144.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)72.171.3143.4+0.860%
Last 5 (5)74.477.2151.6-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.281.3153.5-9.217%
vs Similar (6)71.074.2145.2-3.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)75.768.9144.6+6.867%
This opponent (Rwanda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.9+1.9
RwandaNigeria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RwandaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cameroon
#54
D
20-20
20
20
+0
H26/02
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A27/02
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H01/07
World Cup
Cameroon
#54
W
34-15
34
15
+19
A02/07
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H03/07
World Cup
Guinea
#24
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H27/11
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A29/11
World Cup
Nigeria
#35
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A30/11
World Cup
Guinea
#24
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A02/07
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H03/07
World Cup
64.2Avg total
29.7Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.237.569.8-5.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.537.467.9-6.921%-
Last 30 away (16)33.837.671.4-3.950%-
Last 10 (10)29.734.564.2-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)32.838.271.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)31.837.068.8-5.238%-
vs Similar (4)32.843.075.8-10.225%-
vs Weaker (2)36.532.569.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Nigeria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NigeriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guinea
#59
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H27/08
World Cup
Angola
#19
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A28/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H24/02
World Cup
Guinea
#59
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A25/02
World Cup
Angola
#19
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H26/02
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H27/11
World Cup
Guinea
#24
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A29/11
World Cup
Rwanda
#84
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H30/11
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A02/07
World Cup
Guinea
#24
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H03/07
World Cup
68.3Avg total
33.5Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.937.173.9-0.238%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.738.074.7-1.333%-
Last 30 away (14)37.136.173.1+1.043%-
Last 10 (10)33.534.868.3-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)34.436.270.6-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.241.280.3-2.017%-
vs Similar (6)33.236.369.5-3.217%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)37.435.973.2+1.553%-
This opponent (Rwanda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rwanda wins
3
Nigeria wins
DateGameScore
30/11/25Nigeria v Rwanda75-69 OT
30/06/18Rwanda v Nigeria70-111
24/02/18Nigeria v Rwanda108-53
Rwandalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/26HTunisia67-83
02/07/26AGuinea63-89
30/11/25ANigeria69-75 OT
29/11/25ATunisia66-79
27/11/25HGuinea70-82
03/07/22HTunisia66-76
02/07/22ACameroon59-52
01/07/22HSouth Sudan63-73
27/02/22ATunisia51-65
26/02/22HCameroon45-57
Nigerialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/26HGuinea80-79
02/07/26ATunisia84-81
30/11/25HRwanda75-69 OT
29/11/25AGuinea55-69
27/11/25HTunisia78-88 OT
26/02/23HAngola59-65
25/02/23AGuinea62-59
24/02/23HIvory Coast72-63
28/08/22AAngola67-70
27/08/22HGuinea89-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rwanda
World Cup 2027
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.068.566.0
Allowed / game81.682.581.0
Point differential-14.6-14.0-15.0
Avg total148.6151.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%0%33%
Nigeria
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game74.477.769.5
Allowed / game77.278.775.0
Point differential-2.8-1.0-5.5
Avg total151.6156.3144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %40%67%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
2 Australia550100%94.670.8+23.8
3 Spain550100%87.467.2+20.2
4 Canada550100%101.682.6+19.0
5 Brazil550100%91.674.4+17.2
6 Poland550100%94.878.4+16.4
7 Turkey550100%87.274.0+13.2
8 Mali550100%82.071.6+10.4
9 Croatia98189%96.969.8+27.1
10 Jordan54180%80.858.6+22.2
11 South Sudan54180%84.462.8+21.6
12 Ivory Coast54180%90.269.8+20.4
13 Senegal54180%88.068.6+19.4
14 Argentina54180%84.265.8+18.4
15 Lebanon54180%87.872.4+15.4
16 Uruguay54180%80.467.8+12.6
17 Guinea54180%77.065.0+12.0
18 Italy54180%87.475.4+12.0
19 Japan54180%84.073.8+10.2
20 Iran54180%75.865.8+10.0
21 Germany54180%88.680.2+8.4
22 France54180%81.473.6+7.8
23 Cameroon54180%76.471.4+5.0
24 Finland54180%79.876.6+3.2
25 Mexico43175%92.882.8+10.0
26 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
27 Ukraine96367%80.075.2+4.8
28 Romania138562%77.877.5+0.4
29 Angola53260%84.072.2+11.8
30 Greece53260%75.467.4+8.0
31 Lithuania53260%91.884.6+7.2
32 New Zealand53260%86.079.6+6.4
33 Qatar53260%80.874.6+6.2
34 Estonia53260%87.281.6+5.6
35 Tunisia53260%77.672.2+5.4
36 Slovenia53260%86.882.6+4.2
37 Saudi Arabia53260%77.674.0+3.6
38 Serbia53260%85.081.4+3.6
39 Nigeria53260%74.477.2-2.8
40 Montenegro53260%69.274.0-4.8
41 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
42 Netherlands95456%79.975.7+4.2
43 Switzerland158753%73.271.3+1.9
44 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
45 Colombia42250%79.284.5-5.2
46 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
47 Austria136746%84.382.8+1.5
48 Hungary94544%80.478.4+2.0
49 Philippines52340%83.277.0+6.2
50 Israel52340%80.674.8+5.8
51 Bosnia & Herzegovina52340%78.673.8+4.8
52 Portugal52340%82.878.6+4.2
53 Egypt52340%77.874.4+3.4
54 Bahamas52340%90.289.2+1.0
55 South Korea52340%77.477.8-0.4
56 Latvia52340%78.079.8-1.8
57 Georgia52340%78.881.6-2.8
58 Sweden52340%81.284.8-3.6
59 China52340%82.487.0-4.6
60 Chinese Taipei52340%77.883.0-5.2
61 Czech Republic52340%82.688.8-6.2
62 Iceland52340%83.290.4-7.2
63 Cape Verde52340%76.285.0-8.8
64 Panama52340%76.885.8-9.0
65 Syria52340%68.879.4-10.6
66 Jamaica52340%88.0100.2-12.2
67 D.R. Congo52340%67.081.2-14.2
68 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Venezuela41325%80.586.2-5.8
71 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
74 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Denmark92722%73.685.4-11.9
77 Puerto Rico51420%84.492.2-7.8
78 Chile51420%71.079.4-8.4
79 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
80 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
81 Great Britain51420%79.091.0-12.0
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium5050%72.279.0-6.8
84 Rwanda5050%67.081.6-14.6
85 Libya5050%66.684.4-17.8
86 Iraq5050%69.891.4-21.6
87 Cuba5050%66.088.0-22.0
88 Nicaragua3030%70.794.3-23.7
89 India5050%58.683.8-25.2
90 Madagascar5050%68.093.6-25.6
91 Uganda5050%62.888.4-25.6
92 Guam5050%63.299.6-36.4
93 Cyprus5050%56.496.6-40.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rwanda1415151862
Nigeria25243126106
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