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Rytas vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 56-71
14-20 25-13 9-24 8-14
Position#11
Record8-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#1
Record15-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game75.4
EuropeEurocupEurocup - Quarter-finals
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RytasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A12/01
LKL
Alba Berlin
#4
L
86-94 OT
86
94
-8
H16/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
75-96
75
96
-21
H19/01
LKL
Alba Berlin
#4
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A22/01
Eurocup
Partizan
#15
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A30/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
H02/02
LKL
Monaco
#8
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H06/02
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A08/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
99-83
99
83
+16
A02/03
LKL
Valencia
#1
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A05/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
19-20
21-16
18-17
15-13
21-20
21-22
22-24
21-32
24-21
19-21
11-22
27-25
30-14
13-27
15-21
30-28
14-12
20-17
14-20
31-23
20-21
30-16
12-22
25-14
21-15
26-24
18-15
19-16
14-16
25-20
17-22
29-26
26-20
24-14
20-23
20-12
10-14
13-22
21-27
163.8Avg total
82.7Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.678.6157.2+0.147%
Season at home (8)79.476.4155.8+3.062%
Season away (9)78.080.6158.6-2.633%
Last 10 (10)82.781.1163.8+1.660%
Last 5 (5)84.276.4160.6+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)79.788.8168.5-9.20%
vs Similar (9)81.179.2160.3+1.956%
vs Weaker (15)85.975.3161.2+10.793%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#18
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A20/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
82-81
82
81
+1
A23/01
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
94-92
94
92
+2
H26/01
ACB
Unicaja
#6
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A30/01
Eurocup
Manresa
#8
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A03/02
ACB
Limoges
#17
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H06/02
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
87-94
87
94
-7
H09/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A14/02
Spanish Cup
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A02/03
ACB
Rytas
#11
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H05/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
15-13
30-19
12-16
21-17
21-27
22-14
18-23
29-21
19-27
30-26
16-18
14-19
21-26
19-15
18-9
9-13
21-21
16-14
20-27
22-19
27-24
21-23
21-18
21-14
25-25
22-25
19-30
21-13
18-24
19-21
21-28
14-14
19-15
15-23
19-14
12-20
14-10
22-13
27-21
156.6Avg total
79.0Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.675.4159.0+8.388%
Season at home (9)87.974.3162.2+13.6100%
Season away (8)78.976.5155.4+2.475%
Last 10 (10)79.077.6156.6+1.470%
Last 5 (5)79.878.8158.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.077.0133.0-21.00%
vs Similar (3)77.085.0162.0-8.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)83.274.8158.0+8.388%
This opponent (Rytas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
RytasValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A12/01
LKL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H16/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H19/01
LKL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A22/01
Eurocup
Partizan
#15
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A30/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H02/02
LKL
Monaco
#8
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H06/02
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A08/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A02/03
LKL
Valencia
#1
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A05/03
Eurocup
82.4Avg total
44.0Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.838.481.3+4.477%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.539.582.0+3.162%-
Last 30 away (17)43.137.680.7+5.488%-
Last 10 (10)44.038.482.4+5.690%-
Last 5 (5)43.035.478.4+7.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)42.036.278.2+5.883%-
vs Similar (9)41.640.081.6+1.667%-
vs Weaker (15)43.938.482.3+5.580%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#18
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A20/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A23/01
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#12
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H26/01
ACB
Unicaja
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A30/01
Eurocup
Manresa
#8
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A03/02
ACB
Limoges
#17
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H06/02
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H09/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A14/02
Spanish Cup
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A02/03
ACB
Rytas
#11
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H05/03
Eurocup
76.2Avg total
38.3Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.779.0+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.838.381.1+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)37.939.177.0-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)38.337.976.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.674.2+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.045.077.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (3)36.045.081.0-9.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.237.879.0+3.564%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.0
47.2%
51.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.1
34.6%
36.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.114.3
74.9%
74.9%14.3
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.5
53.3%
51.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.5
37.4%
36.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws13.610.8
79.4%
74.9%10.8
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas
LWWWWWLLLW
Valencia
WWLLWLWWWW
#11
League position
#1
-2.5
Net rating
+5.1
105.4
Offensive rating
115.3
107.9
Defensive rating
110.2
49.0%
Effective FG%
54.5%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
14.9%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.6%
3-point %
37.4%
59.8%
Assist %
65.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 115.3Defence107.9 · 110.2Shooting49.0% · 54.5%3-point %34.6% · 37.4%Ball care16.5% · 14.9%Off. rebounds30.9% · 30.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Rytas   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rytas wins
2
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
05/03/19Valencia v Rytas75-64
14/04/12Valencia v Rytas80-70
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/19AValencia64-75
02/03/19APieno Zvaigzdes99-83
08/02/19ANevezis75-74
06/02/19HMonaco90-68
02/02/19HJuventus93-82
30/01/19APartizan78-77
22/01/19AAlba Berlin85-87
19/01/19HLietkabelis75-96
16/01/19HAlba Berlin86-94 OT
12/01/19ASiauliai82-75
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/19HRytas75-64
02/03/19AGipuzkoa67-66
14/02/19ABarcelona79-86
09/02/19HObradoiro CAB87-94
06/02/19HLimoges91-84
03/02/19AManresa66-75
30/01/19AUnicaja72-69
26/01/19HSan Pablo Burgos94-92
23/01/19ACrvena zvezda82-81
20/01/19ABreogan77-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL47%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%62%33%
Points / game78.679.478.0
Allowed / game78.676.480.6
Point differential+0.1+3.0-2.6
Avg total157.2155.8158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %12%12%11%
Valencia
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game83.687.978.9
Allowed / game75.474.376.5
Point differential+8.3+13.6+2.4
Avg total159.0162.2155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%67%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)-80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan1715288%85.273.8+11.5
2 Valencia1715288%83.675.4+8.3
3 Lokomotiv Kuban1713476%82.575.0+7.5
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne1713476%77.472.1+5.3
5 Alba Berlin1712571%87.681.9+5.6
6 Unicaja1712571%86.480.8+5.6
7 MoraBanc Andorra1711665%83.881.3+2.5
8 Monaco169756%75.975.9+0.0
9 Crvena zvezda168850%82.278.3+3.9
10 Ulm168850%83.481.6+1.8
11 Rytas178947%78.678.6+0.1
12 Tofas104640%90.993.7-2.8
13 Turk Telekom104640%76.681.9-5.3
14 Zenit Petersburg1661038%82.182.6-0.5
15 Partizan1661038%74.977.0-2.1
16 Frankfurt1661038%71.877.9-6.1
17 Limoges1651131%79.282.9-3.7
18 Cedevita1651131%82.986.7-3.8
19 Brescia103730%78.084.2-6.2
20 Galatasaray103730%78.585.3-6.8
21 Trento103730%75.884.0-8.2
22 Mornar Bar102820%77.290.5-13.3
23 Gdynia101910%75.587.0-11.5
24 Torino100100%82.089.8-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rytas14259856
Valencia2013241471
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