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Valencia vs Limoges Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 91-84
22-19 27-24 21-23 21-18
Position#1
Record13-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#17
Record5-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game82.4
EuropeEurocupRound 6
European cup2018
Meetings · Valencia v Limoges
06 Feb 2019
VAL91
LIM84
19 Jan 2016
VAL72
LIM92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Limoges winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
121avg 108
H02/01
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
101avg 108
A06/01
ACB
Limoges
#17
W
79-74
79
74
+5
110avg 108
A09/01
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#11
W
83-67
83
67
+16
108avg 108
H13/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
92-76
92
76
+16
120avg 108
H16/01
Eurocup
Breogan
#18
W
77-65
77
65
+12
109avg 108
A20/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
82-81
82
81
+1
114avg 108
A23/01
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
94-92
94
92
+2
125avg 108
H26/01
ACB
Unicaja
#6
W
72-69
72
69
+3
101avg 108
A30/01
Eurocup
Manresa
#8
L
66-75
66
75
-9
90avg 108
A03/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
23-25
21-20
19-16
12-22
19-24
22-19
21-18
28-18
18-19
18-13
15-24
19-21
22-20
16-14
26-12
21-23
21-14
25-20
25-19
20-17
15-13
30-19
12-16
21-17
21-27
22-14
18-23
29-21
19-27
30-26
16-18
14-19
21-26
19-15
18-9
9-13
21-21
16-14
20-27
156.0Avg total
80.4Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.775.5159.3+8.287%
Season at home (7)89.374.4163.7+14.9100%
Season away (8)78.976.5155.4+2.475%
Last 10 (10)80.475.6156.0+4.880%
Last 5 (5)78.276.4154.6+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.581.5152.0-11.00%
vs Similar (3)77.085.0162.0-8.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)83.475.3158.7+8.088%
This opponent (Limoges) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LimogesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimoges
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
no box
H27/12
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
71-83
71
83
-12
99avg 106
A02/01
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
L
74-79
74
79
-5
101avg 106
H09/01
Eurocup
Chalon/Saone
#14
W
77-73
77
73
+4
no box
A12/01
LNB
Unicaja
#6
L
72-79
72
79
-7
97avg 106
A15/01
Eurocup
Elan Bearnais
#5
W
81-68
81
68
+13
no box
H20/01
LNB
Unicaja
#6
L
77-78
77
78
-1
105avg 106
H23/01
Eurocup
Antibes
#18
W
86-63
86
63
+23
no box
H26/01
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
72-71
72
71
+1
102avg 106
H29/01
Eurocup
Fos-sur-Mer
#17
L
72-87
72
87
-15
no box
A02/02
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
24-18
22-22
21-22
16-25
16-15
21-18
18-25
18-28
19-18
13-18
24-15
15-16
21-23
27-20
14-14
18-24
13-17
24-23
17-15
26-20
15-13
21-13
19-22
18-21
20-19
23-18
16-20
20-13
16-13
19-17
31-20
15-16
25-19
8-25
24-11
24-21
10-16
20-24
18-26
153.6Avg total
77.1Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.982.4161.3-3.533%
Season at home (8)81.879.8161.5+2.050%
Season away (7)75.785.4161.1-9.714%
Last 10 (10)77.176.5153.6+0.650%
Last 5 (5)77.673.4151.0+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)72.681.7154.4-9.19%
vs Similar (11)80.476.8157.2+3.573%
vs Weaker (8)88.983.5172.4+5.462%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
ValenciaLimoges
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#6
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H02/01
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A06/01
ACB
Limoges
#17
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A09/01
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H13/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H16/01
Eurocup
Breogan
#18
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A20/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A23/01
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#12
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H26/01
ACB
Unicaja
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A30/01
Eurocup
Manresa
#8
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A03/02
ACB
79.5Avg total
39.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.879.8+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.838.981.7+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)37.740.578.2-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)39.540.079.5-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.278.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.544.077.5-10.50%-
vs Similar (3)36.045.081.0-9.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.138.879.9+2.356%-
This opponent (Limoges) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LimogesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#10
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H27/12
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A02/01
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H09/01
Eurocup
Chalon/Saone
#14
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A12/01
LNB
Unicaja
#6
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A15/01
Eurocup
Elan Bearnais
#5
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/01
LNB
Unicaja
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H23/01
Eurocup
Antibes
#18
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H26/01
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H29/01
Eurocup
Fos-sur-Mer
#17
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A02/02
LNB
74.8Avg total
37.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.079.2-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.138.378.5+1.873%-
Last 30 away (15)38.341.780.0-3.527%-
Last 10 (10)37.137.774.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.272.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.441.678.0-5.327%-
vs Similar (11)40.539.379.7+1.264%-
vs Weaker (8)41.438.980.2+2.562%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.0
55.2%
51.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.7
35.4%
36.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws12.810.1
78.9%
74.9%10.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Limogestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limoges: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.6
48.7%
51.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.99.6
40.2%
36.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws13.810.8
78.3%
74.9%10.8
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWWWWWWWLW
Limoges
LWWLWLWLLW
#1
League position
#17
+5.8
Net rating
-5.3
115.6
Offensive rating
106.4
109.7
Defensive rating
111.6
54.3%
Effective FG%
53.1%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
14.6%
Turnover %
17.3%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.4%
3-point %
40.2%
64.6%
Assist %
69.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 106.4Defence109.7 · 111.6Shooting54.3% · 53.1%3-point %35.4% · 40.2%Ball care14.6% · 17.3%Off. rebounds32.9% · 27.6%Free throws0.20 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Valencia   ■ Limoges
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valencia wins
2
Limoges wins
DateGameScore
09/01/19Limoges v Valencia74-79
26/01/16Limoges v Valencia82-67
19/01/16Valencia v Limoges72-92
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/19AManresa66-75
30/01/19AUnicaja72-69
26/01/19HSan Pablo Burgos94-92
23/01/19ACrvena zvezda82-81
20/01/19ABreogan77-65
16/01/19HCrvena zvezda92-76
13/01/19HGran Canaria83-67
09/01/19ALimoges79-74
06/01/19AJoventut Badalona74-83
02/01/19HUnicaja85-74
Limogeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/19AFos-sur-Mer72-87
29/01/19HCrvena zvezda72-71
26/01/19HAntibes86-63
23/01/19HUnicaja77-78
20/01/19HElan Bearnais81-68
15/01/19AUnicaja72-79
12/01/19AChalon/Saone77-73
09/01/19HValencia74-79
02/01/19ACrvena zvezda71-83
27/12/18HBoulazac89-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %87%100%75%
Points / game83.789.378.9
Allowed / game75.574.476.5
Point differential+8.2+14.9+2.4
Avg total159.3163.7155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%71%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)-80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Limoges
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%50%14%
Points / game78.981.875.7
Allowed / game82.479.885.4
Point differential-3.5+2.0-9.7
Avg total161.3161.5161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan1614288%85.274.2+10.9
2 Valencia1513287%83.775.5+8.2
3 Lokomotiv Kuban1613381%83.574.3+9.2
4 Alba Berlin1612475%87.481.4+6.1
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne1612475%77.271.9+5.4
6 Unicaja1611569%86.180.2+5.9
7 MoraBanc Andorra1611569%84.381.4+2.9
8 Monaco169756%75.975.9+0.0
9 Crvena zvezda168850%82.278.3+3.9
10 Ulm168850%83.481.6+1.8
11 Rytas168850%79.678.8+0.8
12 Tofas104640%90.993.7-2.8
13 Turk Telekom104640%76.681.9-5.3
14 Zenit Petersburg1661038%82.182.6-0.5
15 Partizan1661038%74.977.0-2.1
16 Frankfurt1661038%71.877.9-6.1
17 Limoges1551033%78.982.4-3.5
18 Cedevita1651131%82.986.7-3.8
19 Brescia103730%78.084.2-6.2
20 Galatasaray103730%78.585.3-6.8
21 Trento103730%75.884.0-8.2
22 Mornar Bar102820%77.290.5-13.3
23 Gdynia101910%75.587.0-11.5
24 Torino100100%82.089.8-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2227212191
Limoges1924231884
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