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Valencia vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 75-64
12-20 14-10 22-13 27-21
Position#1
Record14-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game76.1
Valencia 🏆
vs
Rytas
Position#11
Record8-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game78.8
EuropeEurocupEurocup - Quarter-finals
European cup2018
Meetings · Valencia v Rytas
05 Mar 2019
VAL75
RYT64
14 Apr 2012
VAL80
RYT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
92-76
92
76
+16
120avg 108
H16/01
Eurocup
Breogan
#18
W
77-65
77
65
+12
109avg 108
A20/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
82-81
82
81
+1
114avg 108
A23/01
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
94-92
94
92
+2
125avg 108
H26/01
ACB
Unicaja
#6
W
72-69
72
69
+3
101avg 108
A30/01
Eurocup
Manresa
#8
L
66-75
66
75
-9
90avg 108
A03/02
ACB
Limoges
#17
W
91-84
91
84
+7
121avg 108
H06/02
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
87-94
87
94
-7
115avg 108
H09/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
A14/02
Spanish Cup
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
67-66
67
66
+1
93avg 108
A02/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
21-14
25-20
25-19
20-17
15-13
30-19
12-16
21-17
21-27
22-14
18-23
29-21
19-27
30-26
16-18
14-19
21-26
19-15
18-9
9-13
21-21
16-14
20-27
22-19
27-24
21-23
21-18
21-14
25-25
22-25
19-30
21-13
18-24
19-21
21-28
14-14
19-15
15-23
19-14
159.5Avg total
80.7Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.276.1160.2+8.188%
Season at home (8)89.575.6165.1+13.9100%
Season away (8)78.976.5155.4+2.475%
Last 10 (10)80.778.8159.5+1.970%
Last 5 (5)78.081.0159.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.077.0133.0-21.00%
vs Similar (3)77.085.0162.0-8.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)83.976.4160.3+7.484%
This opponent (Rytas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Monaco
#8
L
70-75
70
75
-5
97avg 104
A09/01
Eurocup
Siauliai
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
A12/01
LKL
Alba Berlin
#4
L
86-94 OT
86
94
-8
no box
H16/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
75-96
75
96
-21
no box
H19/01
LKL
Alba Berlin
#4
L
85-87
85
87
-2
114avg 104
A22/01
Eurocup
Partizan
#15
W
78-77
78
77
+1
109avg 104
A30/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
no box
H02/02
LKL
Monaco
#8
W
90-68
90
68
+22
125avg 104
H06/02
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
75-74
75
74
+1
no box
A08/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
99-83
99
83
+16
no box
A02/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
11-15
19-17
19-28
24-22
19-20
21-16
18-17
15-13
21-20
21-22
22-24
21-32
24-21
19-21
11-22
27-25
30-14
13-27
15-21
30-28
14-12
20-17
14-20
31-23
20-21
30-16
12-22
25-14
21-15
26-24
18-15
19-16
14-16
25-20
17-22
29-26
26-20
24-14
20-23
164.4Avg total
83.3Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.678.8158.4+0.850%
Season at home (8)79.476.4155.8+3.062%
Season away (8)79.881.2161.0-1.538%
Last 10 (10)83.381.1164.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)87.076.8163.8+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)82.891.6174.4-8.80%
vs Similar (9)81.179.2160.3+1.956%
vs Weaker (16)86.274.5160.7+11.794%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -4.8-4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -4.8-4.8
ValenciaRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H16/01
Eurocup
Breogan
#18
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A20/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A23/01
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#12
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H26/01
ACB
Unicaja
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A30/01
Eurocup
Manresa
#8
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A03/02
ACB
Limoges
#17
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H06/02
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H09/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A14/02
Spanish Cup
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A02/03
ACB
78.5Avg total
39.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.380.1+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.038.982.9+5.171%-
Last 30 away (16)37.939.877.7-1.844%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.678.5+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.475.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.045.077.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (3)36.045.081.0-9.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.838.580.3+3.264%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#8
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A09/01
Eurocup
Siauliai
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A12/01
LKL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H16/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H19/01
LKL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A22/01
Eurocup
Partizan
#15
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A30/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H02/02
LKL
Monaco
#8
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H06/02
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A08/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A02/03
LKL
83.0Avg total
44.2Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.338.782.0+4.677%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.639.181.6+3.564%-
Last 30 away (16)43.938.482.2+5.588%-
Last 10 (10)44.238.883.0+5.490%-
Last 5 (5)45.838.284.0+7.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)44.438.282.6+6.280%-
vs Similar (9)41.640.081.6+1.667%-
vs Weaker (16)43.938.182.0+5.881%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.4
56.1%
51.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.0
37.6%
36.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws14.311.3
79.0%
74.9%11.3
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.5
49.1%
51.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.8
34.4%
36.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.015.0
75.0%
74.9%15.0
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLLWLWWWWW
Rytas
WWWWWLLLWL
#1
League position
#11
+5.8
Net rating
+2.2
116.2
Offensive rating
108.8
110.4
Defensive rating
106.5
56.2%
Effective FG%
50.0%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.9%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.6%
3-point %
34.4%
65.3%
Assist %
58.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 108.8Defence110.4 · 106.5Shooting56.2% · 50.0%3-point %37.6% · 34.4%Ball care15.9% · 15.9%Off. rebounds30.8% · 32.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Valencia   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valencia wins
0
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
14/04/12Valencia v Rytas80-70
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/19AGipuzkoa67-66
14/02/19ABarcelona79-86
09/02/19HObradoiro CAB87-94
06/02/19HLimoges91-84
03/02/19AManresa66-75
30/01/19AUnicaja72-69
26/01/19HSan Pablo Burgos94-92
23/01/19ACrvena zvezda82-81
20/01/19ABreogan77-65
16/01/19HCrvena zvezda92-76
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/19APieno Zvaigzdes99-83
08/02/19ANevezis75-74
06/02/19HMonaco90-68
02/02/19HJuventus93-82
30/01/19APartizan78-77
22/01/19AAlba Berlin85-87
19/01/19HLietkabelis75-96
16/01/19HAlba Berlin86-94 OT
12/01/19ASiauliai82-75
09/01/19AMonaco70-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game84.289.578.9
Allowed / game76.175.676.5
Point differential+8.1+13.9+2.4
Avg total160.2165.1155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%62%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)-80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rytas
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%62%38%
Points / game79.679.479.8
Allowed / game78.876.481.2
Point differential+0.8+3.0-1.5
Avg total158.4155.8161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %12%12%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan1715288%85.273.8+11.5
2 Valencia1614288%84.276.1+8.1
3 Lokomotiv Kuban1713476%82.575.0+7.5
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne1713476%77.472.1+5.3
5 Alba Berlin1712571%87.681.9+5.6
6 Unicaja1712571%86.480.8+5.6
7 MoraBanc Andorra1711665%83.881.3+2.5
8 Monaco169756%75.975.9+0.0
9 Crvena zvezda168850%82.278.3+3.9
10 Ulm168850%83.481.6+1.8
11 Rytas168850%79.678.8+0.8
12 Tofas104640%90.993.7-2.8
13 Turk Telekom104640%76.681.9-5.3
14 Zenit Petersburg1661038%82.182.6-0.5
15 Partizan1661038%74.977.0-2.1
16 Frankfurt1661038%71.877.9-6.1
17 Limoges1651131%79.282.9-3.7
18 Cedevita1651131%82.986.7-3.8
19 Brescia103730%78.084.2-6.2
20 Galatasaray103730%78.585.3-6.8
21 Trento103730%75.884.0-8.2
22 Mornar Bar102820%77.290.5-13.3
23 Gdynia101910%75.587.0-11.5
24 Torino100100%82.089.8-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1214222775
Rytas2010132164
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