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Breogan vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 65-77
17-20 13-15 19-30 16-12
Position#18
Record6-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Position#4
Record10-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game77.5
SpainACBRound 17
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Breogan v Valencia
24 Jan 2027
BRE v VAL
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
BRE90
VAL113
13 Oct 2024
BRE75
VAL87
15 Oct 2023
BRE59
VAL61
06 Nov 2022
BRE83
VAL88
13 Feb 2022
BRE99
VAL82
20 Jan 2019
BRE65
VAL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Murcia
#14
L
64-76
64
76
-12
86avg 103
A03/11
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
72-78
72
78
-6
106avg 103
A11/11
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
82-86
82
86
-4
109avg 103
H18/11
ACB
Manresa
#8
L
63-72
63
72
-9
86avg 103
A25/11
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
78-100
78
100
-22
105avg 103
A09/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
84-71
84
71
+13
112avg 103
H16/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
109avg 103
H22/12
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
no box
A30/12
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
83-71
83
71
+12
116avg 103
H06/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
80-94
80
94
-14
106avg 103
A13/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
18-17
16-20
11-20
16-22
12-17
20-14
24-25
17-19
22-20
27-18
16-29
15-12
10-13
14-23
24-24
13-18
15-25
23-26
27-31
20-21
25-13
25-13
14-24
20-20
19-13
26-24
20-22
15-17
19-16
26-23
13-17
23-21
24-15
14-13
22-22
20-27
18-23
28-27
14-17
161.1Avg total
78.9Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.481.9159.4-4.538%
Season at home (7)79.774.0153.7+5.771%
Season away (9)75.788.1163.8-12.411%
Last 10 (10)78.982.2161.1-3.340%
Last 5 (5)86.082.0168.0+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.384.9161.2-8.618%
vs Similar (5)80.075.4155.4+4.680%
vs Weaker (14)88.176.1164.1+12.079%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#14
W
97-89
97
89
+8
123avg 108
H11/12
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
87-77
87
77
+10
116avg 108
A15/12
ACB
Trento
#21
W
95-83
95
83
+12
120avg 108
A18/12
Eurocup
Estudiantes
#16
W
83-79
83
79
+4
109avg 108
A23/12
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
89-74
89
74
+15
119avg 108
H29/12
ACB
Unicaja
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
121avg 108
H02/01
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
101avg 108
A06/01
ACB
Limoges
#17
W
79-74
79
74
+5
110avg 108
A09/01
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#11
W
83-67
83
67
+16
108avg 108
H13/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
92-76
92
76
+16
120avg 108
H16/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
20-21
27-22
23-27
18-21
26-16
20-14
23-26
23-18
29-28
26-15
17-22
13-19
25-15
19-24
26-21
21-19
22-15
21-25
25-15
22-13
23-25
21-20
19-16
12-22
19-24
22-19
21-18
28-18
18-19
18-13
15-24
19-21
22-20
16-14
26-12
21-23
21-14
25-20
25-19
164.0Avg total
86.4Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.477.5156.9+1.962%
Season at home (8)83.874.0157.8+9.875%
Season away (8)75.181.0156.1-5.950%
Last 10 (10)86.477.6164.0+8.890%
Last 5 (5)82.674.8157.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.383.7154.0-13.30%
vs Similar (4)76.085.2161.2-9.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.774.9159.6+9.787%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
BreoganValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#14
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A03/11
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A11/11
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H18/11
ACB
Manresa
#8
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A25/11
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A09/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H16/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H22/12
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A30/12
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H06/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A13/01
ACB
72.8Avg total
36.0Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.677.5+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.235.177.3+7.180%-
Last 30 away (15)37.640.277.8-2.640%-
Last 10 (10)36.036.872.8-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.277.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.540.076.5-3.527%-
vs Similar (5)38.632.871.4+5.8100%-
vs Weaker (14)43.137.580.6+5.671%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H11/12
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A15/12
ACB
Trento
#21
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A18/12
Eurocup
Estudiantes
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A23/12
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H29/12
ACB
Unicaja
#6
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H02/01
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A06/01
ACB
Limoges
#17
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A09/01
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H13/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H16/01
Eurocup
81.9Avg total
42.9Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.579.6+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.638.480.0+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)38.440.879.1-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.081.9+3.980%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.880.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.044.380.3-8.30%-
vs Similar (4)35.545.080.5-9.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)41.438.079.3+3.465%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.816.8
44.4%
52.5%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.0
36.4%
36.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws14.811.4
77.0%
74.6%11.4
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.520.1
58.3%
52.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.7
38.8%
36.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.113.3
82.6%
74.6%13.3
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LWWWWLLLLL
Valencia
WWWLWWWWWW
#18
League position
#4
-2.9
Net rating
+12.3
102.9
Offensive rating
122.4
105.8
Defensive rating
110.1
48.7%
Effective FG%
58.2%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
17.1%
Turnover %
14.9%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.4%
3-point %
38.8%
53.7%
Assist %
61.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 122.4Defence105.8 · 110.1Shooting48.7% · 58.2%3-point %36.4% · 38.8%Ball care17.1% · 14.9%Off. rebounds29.8% · 31.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Breogan   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Breogan wins
0
Valencia wins
No previous meetings.
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/19ABarcelona80-94
06/01/19HGipuzkoa83-71
30/12/18AFuenlabrada98-95 OT
22/12/18HMoraBanc Andorra85-79
16/12/18HReal Madrid84-71
09/12/18ABaskonia78-100
25/11/18AManresa63-72
18/11/18HTecnyconta Zaragoza82-86
11/11/18AUnicaja72-78
03/11/18AMurcia64-76
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/19HCrvena zvezda92-76
13/01/19HGran Canaria83-67
09/01/19ALimoges79-74
06/01/19AJoventut Badalona74-83
02/01/19HUnicaja85-74
29/12/18HTecnyconta Zaragoza89-74
23/12/18AEstudiantes83-79
18/12/18ATrento95-83
15/12/18ASan Pablo Burgos87-77
11/12/18HZenit Petersburg97-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL38%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLLLWL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %38%71%11%
Points / game77.479.775.7
Allowed / game81.974.088.1
Point differential-4.5+5.7-12.4
Avg total159.4153.7163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Valencia
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game79.483.875.1
Allowed / game77.574.081.0
Point differential+1.9+9.8-5.9
Avg total156.9157.8156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1614288%88.175.7+12.4
2 Baskonia1612475%84.870.9+13.8
3 Real Madrid1612475%88.879.5+9.3
4 Unicaja1611569%84.480.8+3.6
5 Tenerife1711665%81.675.2+6.4
6 Valencia1610662%79.477.5+1.9
7 Manresa169756%81.580.6+0.9
8 Joventut Badalona169756%77.578.5-1.0
9 Tecnyconta Zaragoza168850%82.284.4-2.2
10 MoraBanc Andorra167944%81.984.1-2.2
11 San Pablo Burgos1661038%80.782.8-2.1
12 Obradoiro CAB1661038%77.181.2-4.1
13 Breogan1661038%77.481.9-4.5
14 Gran Canaria1761135%80.382.4-2.1
15 Estudiantes1761135%80.283.9-3.8
16 Fuenlabrada1761135%77.785.6-7.9
17 Murcia1751229%74.880.4-5.5
18 Gipuzkoa1731418%72.984.4-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan1713191665
Valencia2015301277
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