PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Saga vs NeoPhoenix Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 61-97
22-27 14-23 15-29 10-18
Position#25
Record0-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game94.5
vs
Position#7
Record2-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game78.5
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Saga v NeoPhoenix
04 Oct 2026
SAGA89
NEOP93
03 Oct 2026
SAGA61
NEOP97
11 Mar 2026
SAGA91
NEOP96
09 Feb 2025
SAGA83
NEOP102
08 Feb 2025
SAGA82
NEOP95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NeoPhoenix winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 77
H15/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
83-74
83
74
+9
74avg 77
A18/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
103-68
103
68
+35
102avg 77
A19/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
71-66
71
66
+5
63avg 77
H22/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
78-92
78
92
-14
70avg 77
A25/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
82avg 77
A26/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
85-72
85
72
+13
78avg 77
A02/05
B League
Akita
#26
W
87-70
87
70
+17
79avg 77
A03/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
87-100
87
100
-13
80avg 77
H25/09
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
61-89
61
89
-28
44avg 77
H27/09
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
31-22
19-16
15-23
14-25
27-24
21-13
21-12
27-20
25-15
29-19
22-14
21-24
17-11
19-19
14-12
23-23
17-25
24-21
14-23
22-26
23-17
19-29
27-24
19-22
23-13
24-13
19-24
24-17
25-14
16-17
22-22
26-29
16-25
29-19
16-27
22-23
12-19
20-20
7-27
163.3Avg total
82.3Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.094.5168.5-20.50%
Season at home (2)74.094.5168.5-20.50%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.381.0163.3+1.350%
Last 5 (5)82.285.4167.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.387.7167.0-8.420%
vs Similar (9)82.284.2166.4-2.044%
vs Weaker (11)87.976.5164.5+11.482%
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeoPhoenix
Date
Competition
Shiga
#18
W
98-91
98
91
+7
103avg 81
A15/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
82-102
82
102
-20
64avg 81
A18/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
86-68
86
68
+18
85avg 81
A19/04
B League
Toyama
#24
W
94-86
94
86
+8
94avg 81
H22/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
67-87
67
87
-20
62avg 81
A25/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
73-76
73
76
-3
69avg 81
A26/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
89-66
89
66
+23
85avg 81
H02/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
93-79
93
79
+14
95avg 81
H03/05
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#13
W
90-82
90
82
+8
81avg 81
A25/09
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#13
W
81-75
81
75
+6
70avg 81
A27/09
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-31
26-23
21-13
22-24
13-23
25-34
24-18
20-27
17-13
21-16
25-24
23-15
27-24
17-28
24-20
26-14
23-21
11-19
20-28
13-19
19-19
19-19
17-14
18-24
21-24
24-13
24-16
20-13
17-20
15-22
29-21
32-16
22-21
27-17
25-21
16-23
20-22
23-16
21-16
17-21
166.5Avg total
85.3Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.578.5164.0+7.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)85.578.5164.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.381.2166.5+4.170%
Last 5 (5)85.275.6160.8+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)90.682.4173.0+8.280%
vs Similar (14)90.986.3177.1+4.679%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.178.5165.5+8.682%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
SagaNeoPhoenix
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H15/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A19/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H22/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A25/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A26/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A02/05
B League
Akita
#26
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A03/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H25/09
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H27/09
B League
84.2Avg total
42.6Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.584.8+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.942.784.5-0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)44.840.385.1+4.573%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.684.2+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.083.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.343.783.0-4.430%-
vs Similar (9)43.940.384.2+3.667%-
vs Weaker (11)46.540.587.0+6.173%-
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#18
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A15/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A18/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A19/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H22/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A25/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A26/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H02/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H03/05
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#13
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A25/09
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#13
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A27/09
B League
84.1Avg total
41.6Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.687.2+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.642.286.8+2.367%-
Last 30 away (18)44.742.887.5+1.861%-
Last 10 (10)41.642.584.1-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.680.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.244.085.2-2.840%-
vs Similar (14)44.843.187.9+1.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.041.387.3+4.782%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.0
51.5%
53.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.3
33.7%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws15.411.6
75.3%
73.8%11.6
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
NeoPhoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NeoPhoenix: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.7
58.6%
53.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.8
33.5%
32.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.817.4
76.3%
73.8%17.4
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLWWLLWWWL
NeoPhoenix
WWWWLLWWLW
#25
League position
#7
-1.0
Net rating
+4.8
96.1
Offensive rating
101.3
97.1
Defensive rating
96.5
51.0%
Effective FG%
55.0%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
11.9%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.7%
3-point %
33.5%
70.6%
Assist %
67.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.1 · 101.3Defence97.1 · 96.5Shooting51.0% · 55.0%3-point %33.7% · 33.5%Ball care11.9% · 14.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Saga   ■ NeoPhoenix
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Saga wins
5
NeoPhoenix wins
DateGameScore
11/03/26Saga v NeoPhoenix91-96
29/10/25NeoPhoenix v Saga73-85
09/02/25Saga v NeoPhoenix83-102
08/02/25Saga v NeoPhoenix82-95
17/12/23NeoPhoenix v Saga108-77
16/12/23NeoPhoenix v Saga105-95
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26HHiroshima D.61-89
25/09/26HHiroshima D.87-100
03/05/26AAkita87-70
02/05/26AAkita85-72
26/04/26ARyukyu91-96
25/04/26ARyukyu78-92
22/04/26HDiamond Dolphins71-66
19/04/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles103-68
18/04/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles83-74
15/04/26HSeaHorses Mikawa77-83
NeoPhoenixlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26AIbaraki Robots81-75
25/09/26AIbaraki Robots90-82
03/05/26HDiamond Dolphins93-79
02/05/26HDiamond Dolphins89-66
26/04/26ASeaHorses Mikawa73-76
25/04/26ASeaHorses Mikawa67-87
22/04/26HToyama94-86
19/04/26ARyukyu86-68
18/04/26ARyukyu82-102
15/04/26AShiga98-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game74.074.0-
Allowed / game94.594.5-
Point differential-20.5-20.5-
Avg total168.5168.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
NeoPhoenix
B League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game85.5-85.5
Allowed / game78.5-78.5
Point differential+7.0-+7.0
Avg total164.0-164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hiroshima D.330100%95.073.7+21.3
2 Diamond Dolphins330100%89.371.3+18.0
3 Gunma220100%83.566.5+17.0
4 NeoPhoenix220100%85.578.5+7.0
5 Shimane32167%82.375.7+6.7
6 Alvark32167%98.796.3+2.3
7 Sendai21150%77.065.0+12.0
8 Tokyo Sunrockers21150%93.588.0+5.5
9 Levanga Hokkaido21150%91.587.5+4.0
10 Utsunomiya Brex21150%79.576.0+3.5
11 Osaka21150%78.576.5+2.0
12 Shinshu21150%92.090.0+2.0
13 Shiga21150%87.586.0+1.5
14 Ryukyu21150%79.079.0+0.0
15 Kyoto21150%86.087.5-1.5
16 Toyama21150%90.092.0-2.0
17 Yokohama21150%76.079.5-3.5
18 SeaHorses Mikawa21150%87.591.5-4.0
19 Akita21150%65.077.0-12.0
20 Chiba31233%102.3108.3-6.0
21 Kobe31233%75.384.3-9.0
22 Ibaraki Robots2020%78.585.5-7.0
23 Nagasaki2020%71.087.0-16.0
24 Altiri Chiba2020%66.583.5-17.0
25 Saga2020%74.094.5-20.5
26 Brave Thunders2020%70.591.5-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2214151061
NeoPhoenix2723291897
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.