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Saga vs NeoPhoenix Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 89-93
19-26 20-25 31-20 19-22
Position#25
Record0-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game95.3
vs
Position#7
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game72.7
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Saga v NeoPhoenix
04 Oct 2026
SAGA89
NEOP93
03 Oct 2026
SAGA61
NEOP97
11 Mar 2026
SAGA91
NEOP96
09 Feb 2025
SAGA83
NEOP102
08 Feb 2025
SAGA82
NEOP95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NeoPhoenix winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
83-74
83
74
+9
74avg 76
A18/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
103-68
103
68
+35
102avg 76
A19/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
71-66
71
66
+5
63avg 76
H22/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
78-92
78
92
-14
70avg 76
A25/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
82avg 76
A26/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
85-72
85
72
+13
78avg 76
A02/05
B League
Akita
#26
W
87-70
87
70
+17
79avg 76
A03/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
87-100
87
100
-13
80avg 76
H25/09
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
61-89
61
89
-28
44avg 76
H27/09
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
61-97
61
97
-36
47avg 76
H03/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
27-24
21-13
21-12
27-20
25-15
29-19
22-14
21-24
17-11
19-19
14-12
23-23
17-25
24-21
14-23
22-26
23-17
19-29
27-24
19-22
23-13
24-13
19-24
24-17
25-14
16-17
22-22
26-29
16-25
29-19
16-27
22-23
12-19
20-20
7-27
22-27
14-23
15-29
10-18
163.1Avg total
80.7Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)69.795.3165.0-25.70%
Season at home (3)69.795.3165.0-25.70%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.782.4163.1-1.750%
Last 5 (5)76.285.6161.8-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.688.5166.2-10.918%
vs Similar (8)80.683.8164.4-3.138%
vs Weaker (11)87.976.5164.5+11.482%
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeoPhoenix
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
82-102
82
102
-20
64avg 81
A18/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
86-68
86
68
+18
85avg 81
A19/04
B League
Toyama
#24
W
94-86
94
86
+8
94avg 81
H22/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
67-87
67
87
-20
62avg 81
A25/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
73-76
73
76
-3
69avg 81
A26/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
89-66
89
66
+23
85avg 81
H02/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
93-79
93
79
+14
95avg 81
H03/05
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
W
90-82
90
82
+8
81avg 81
A25/09
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
W
81-75
81
75
+6
70avg 81
A27/09
B League
Saga
#25
W
97-61
97
61
+36
98avg 81
A03/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
25-34
24-18
20-27
17-13
21-16
25-24
23-15
27-24
17-28
24-20
26-14
23-21
11-19
20-28
13-19
19-19
19-19
17-14
18-24
21-24
24-13
24-16
20-13
17-20
15-22
29-21
32-16
22-21
27-17
25-21
16-23
20-22
23-16
21-16
17-21
27-22
23-14
29-15
18-10
163.4Avg total
85.2Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.372.7162.0+16.7100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)89.372.7162.0+16.7100%
Last 10 (10)85.278.2163.4+7.070%
Last 5 (5)90.072.6162.6+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)90.682.4173.0+8.280%
vs Similar (14)90.986.3177.1+4.679%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.977.8166.7+11.182%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
SagaNeoPhoenix
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A19/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H22/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A25/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A26/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A02/05
B League
Akita
#26
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A03/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H25/09
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H27/09
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/10
B League
84.1Avg total
41.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.884.6+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.943.284.1-2.333%-
Last 30 away (15)44.840.385.1+4.573%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.284.1-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.483.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.044.383.3-5.327%-
vs Similar (8)43.140.183.2+3.062%-
vs Weaker (11)46.540.587.0+6.173%-
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A18/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A19/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H22/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A25/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A26/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H02/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H03/05
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A25/09
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A27/09
B League
Saga
#25
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/10
B League
81.8Avg total
41.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.942.887.7+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.642.286.8+2.367%-
Last 30 away (18)45.143.288.3+1.961%-
Last 10 (10)41.140.781.8+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.282.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.244.085.2-2.840%-
vs Similar (14)44.843.187.9+1.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.741.988.6+4.882%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.4
50.1%
53.6%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.7
32.6%
32.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.813.0
77.4%
73.8%13.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
NeoPhoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NeoPhoenix: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.420.3
57.3%
53.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.2
34.2%
32.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.517.1
76.0%
73.8%17.1
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLLWWLLWWW
NeoPhoenix
WWWWWLLWWL
#25
League position
#7
-4.5
Net rating
+8.4
93.6
Offensive rating
101.2
98.1
Defensive rating
92.8
49.5%
Effective FG%
54.7%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
12.1%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.6%
3-point %
34.2%
69.4%
Assist %
63.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 101.2Defence98.1 · 92.8Shooting49.5% · 54.7%3-point %32.6% · 34.2%Ball care12.1% · 14.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Saga   ■ NeoPhoenix
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Saga wins
6
NeoPhoenix wins
DateGameScore
03/10/26Saga v NeoPhoenix61-97
11/03/26Saga v NeoPhoenix91-96
29/10/25NeoPhoenix v Saga73-85
09/02/25Saga v NeoPhoenix83-102
08/02/25Saga v NeoPhoenix82-95
17/12/23NeoPhoenix v Saga108-77
16/12/23NeoPhoenix v Saga105-95
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26HNeoPhoenix61-97
27/09/26HHiroshima D.61-89
25/09/26HHiroshima D.87-100
03/05/26AAkita87-70
02/05/26AAkita85-72
26/04/26ARyukyu91-96
25/04/26ARyukyu78-92
22/04/26HDiamond Dolphins71-66
19/04/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles103-68
18/04/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles83-74
NeoPhoenixlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26ASaga97-61
27/09/26AIbaraki Robots81-75
25/09/26AIbaraki Robots90-82
03/05/26HDiamond Dolphins93-79
02/05/26HDiamond Dolphins89-66
26/04/26ASeaHorses Mikawa73-76
25/04/26ASeaHorses Mikawa67-87
22/04/26HToyama94-86
19/04/26ARyukyu86-68
18/04/26ARyukyu82-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game69.769.7-
Allowed / game95.395.3-
Point differential-25.7-25.7-
Avg total165.0165.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
NeoPhoenix
B League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
Home--
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %100%-100%
Points / game89.3-89.3
Allowed / game72.7-72.7
Point differential+16.7-+16.7
Avg total162.0-162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%-33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hiroshima D.330100%95.073.7+21.3
2 NeoPhoenix330100%89.372.7+16.7
3 Diamond Dolphins440100%89.573.5+16.0
4 Gunma330100%79.768.0+11.7
5 Tokyo Sunrockers32167%92.379.7+12.7
6 Levanga Hokkaido32167%97.093.3+3.7
7 SeaHorses Mikawa32167%83.780.0+3.7
8 Alvark32167%98.796.3+2.3
9 Ryukyu32167%84.081.7+2.3
10 Toyama32167%85.783.7+2.0
11 Kyoto32167%85.383.7+1.7
12 Yokohama32167%79.079.0+0.0
13 Shimane42250%81.879.2+2.5
14 Sendai31233%86.379.3+7.0
15 Shinshu31233%87.388.3-1.0
16 Utsunomiya Brex31233%75.376.3-1.0
17 Shiga31233%87.388.7-1.3
18 Osaka31233%71.376.3-5.0
19 Chiba31233%102.3108.3-6.0
20 Altiri Chiba31233%77.385.7-8.3
21 Kobe31233%75.384.3-9.0
22 Akita31233%64.381.3-17.0
23 Ibaraki Robots3030%76.081.0-5.0
24 Nagasaki3030%72.786.0-13.3
25 Brave Thunders3030%77.094.0-17.0
26 Saga3030%69.795.3-25.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga1920311989
NeoPhoenix2625202293
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