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Sacramento State vs Idaho State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 70-65
33-34 37-31
Position#253
Record12-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game67.6
vs
Position#299
Record9-18
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game70.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Sacramento State v Idaho State
02 Mar 2026
SACR83
IDAH65
23 Jan 2025
SACR75
IDAH71
13 Jan 2024
SACR66
IDAH64
18 Feb 2023
SACR70
IDAH65
27 Jan 2022
SACR61
IDAH60
04 Jan 2020
SACR68
IDAH49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Idaho State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#309
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H14/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A20/01
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A22/01
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
67-48
67
48
+19
H27/01
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H29/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
L
63-82
63
82
-19
H03/02
NCAA
Idaho
#325
L
76-82 OT
76
82
-6
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
L
55-77
55
77
-22
A10/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
54-70
54
70
-16
A12/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-22
25-34
22-45
39-20
24-21
24-29
35-31
32-17
27-37
38-35
35-34
28-48
32-29
36-39
22-43
33-34
25-35
29-35
20-26
29-26
125.1Avg total
59.7Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)65.867.6133.4-1.944%
Season at home (13)69.666.4136.0+3.262%
Season away (14)62.268.8131.0-6.629%
Last 10 (10)59.765.4125.1-5.720%
Last 5 (5)59.472.6132.0-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.476.4141.7-11.09%
vs Similar ◀ (17)65.764.7130.4+1.065%
vs Weaker (2)65.047.0112.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Idaho State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Idaho StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#159
L
55-84
55
84
-29
A15/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H20/01
NCAA
Portland State
#283
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H22/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A27/01
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
71-72 OT
71
72
-1
H05/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A07/02
NCAA
Montana
#159
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H10/02
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H12/02
NCAA
Portland State
#283
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-42
27-42
45-22
20-39
30-38
35-34
30-28
38-53
36-37
45-44
21-24
31-28
32-38
43-32
34-34
27-35
29-29
23-29
36-34
34-45
141.4Avg total
67.7Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)69.170.9140.0-1.833%
Season at home (13)69.666.2135.8+3.538%
Season away (14)68.675.3143.9-6.629%
Last 10 (10)67.773.7141.4-6.030%
Last 5 (5)65.869.6135.4-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)62.671.0133.6-8.40%
vs Similar ◀ (15)71.272.9144.1-1.747%
vs Weaker (3)80.068.3148.3+11.733%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -4.7-4.71st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: -5.8-5.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -4.7-4.71st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: -5.8-5.8
Sacramento StateIdaho State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#309
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H14/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A20/01
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
24-21
24
21
+3
A22/01
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H29/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H03/02
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A10/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A12/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
20-26
20
26
-6
H17/02
NCAA
59.9Avg total
27.6Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.931.760.5-2.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)29.828.858.6+1.057%-
Last 30 away (16)28.134.262.2-6.144%-
Last 10 (10)27.632.359.9-4.750%-
Last 5 (5)26.833.460.2-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)29.335.264.5-5.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)29.430.659.9-1.259%-
vs Weaker (2)22.521.544.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Idaho State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Idaho StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#159
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A15/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H20/01
NCAA
Portland State
#283
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H22/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A27/01
NCAA
Idaho
#325
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A28/01
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
21-24
21
24
-3
H05/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A07/02
NCAA
Montana
#159
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H10/02
NCAA
Montana State
#54
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H12/02
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A17/02
NCAA
64.7Avg total
32.1Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.031.962.9-0.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.030.463.4+2.629%-
Last 30 away (16)29.333.262.6-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)32.132.664.7-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)30.431.862.2-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.032.662.6-2.627%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)30.832.263.0-1.427%-
vs Weaker (3)39.029.768.7+9.367%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sacramento State wins
2
Idaho State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/23HWeber State49-52
12/02/23ANorthern Colorado54-70
10/02/23ANorthern Arizona55-77
04/02/23HIdaho76-82 OT
03/02/23HEast. Washington63-82
29/01/23HMontana State65-72
27/01/23HMontana67-48
22/01/23AWeber State48-50
20/01/23AIdaho State61-65
14/01/23HNorthern Arizona59-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/23APortland State70-79
12/02/23HMontana State52-58
10/02/23HMontana61-69
07/02/23ANorthern Arizona75-70
05/02/23HWeber State71-72 OT
28/01/23AIdaho95-91 OT
27/01/23AEast. Washington68-81
22/01/23HPortland State65-72
20/01/23HSacramento State65-61
15/01/23AMontana55-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL44%
HomeWLLLL62%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %44%62%29%
Points / game65.869.662.2
Allowed / game67.666.468.8
Point differential-1.9+3.2-6.6
Avg total133.4136.0131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)60% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %15%23%7%
Idaho State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWLLLL38%
AwayLLWWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %33%38%29%
Points / game69.169.668.6
Allowed / game70.966.275.3
Point differential-1.8+3.5-6.6
Avg total140.0135.8143.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%15%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)25% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %19%23%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East. Washington2821775%77.170.4+6.8
2 Montana State2718967%73.865.9+7.9
3 Montana26141254%68.667.7+0.9
4 Weber State27141352%66.267.3-1.1
5 Portland State27121544%76.875.0+1.9
6 Sacramento State27121544%65.867.6-1.9
7 Idaho28101836%74.973.0+1.9
8 Northern Colorado28101836%72.577.1-4.6
9 Idaho State2791833%69.170.9-1.8
10 Northern Arizona2982128%71.773.5-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Sacramento State333770
Idaho State343165
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