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Sacramento State vs Idaho Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 80-86
40-42 40-44
Position#324
Record9-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Idaho 🏆
USA
Position#136
Record14-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game73.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sacramento State v Idaho
21 Feb 2026
SACR80
IDAH86
09 Jan 2025
SACR67
IDAH80
05 Feb 2024
SACR45
IDAH61
04 Feb 2023
SACR76
IDAH82
09 Mar 2022
SACR57
IDAH54
24 Feb 2022
SACR83
IDAH51
05 Dec 2020
SACR73
IDAH57
03 Dec 2020
SACR77
IDAH55
03 Feb 2020
SACR53
IDAH67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Idaho winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#97
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
H18/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A23/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H30/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H01/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
104-90
104
90
+14
H03/02
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
79-95
79
95
-16
A13/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A15/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
94-102
94
102
-8
H20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-43
51-39
38-53
38-33
33-38
34-37
45-38
38-42
49-32
37-47
53-32
51-58
31-32
42-42
37-51
42-44
25-38
49-41
39-57
55-45
167.8Avg total
82.9Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.583.1162.5-3.635%
Season at home (12)87.578.2165.7+9.375%
Season away (14)72.687.3159.9-14.70%
Last 10 (10)82.984.9167.8-2.040%
Last 5 (5)84.888.0172.8-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)74.184.0158.1-9.919%
vs Similar (6)77.780.7158.3-3.033%
vs Weaker (2)98.562.5161.0+36.0100%
This opponent (Idaho) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IdahoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#201
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A18/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H23/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H24/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A30/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
79-62
79
62
+17
A01/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A06/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A07/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H13/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
99-69
99
69
+30
H14/02
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-29
34-38
53-38
33-38
26-33
40-36
37-36
46-55
47-23
32-39
26-36
40-37
29-19
39-54
21-44
51-39
60-30
39-39
27-41
40-36
150.1Avg total
76.1Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.073.8152.8+5.252%
Season at home (13)85.271.8157.1+13.469%
Season away (14)73.275.6148.8-2.436%
Last 10 (10)76.174.0150.1+2.140%
Last 5 (5)74.475.0149.4-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.574.0141.5-6.550%
vs Similar (14)72.877.9150.6-5.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.171.4154.5+11.769%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -1.7-1.7
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -1.7-1.7
Sacramento StateIdaho
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#97
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H18/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A23/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H30/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H01/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H03/02
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A13/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A15/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H20/02
NCAA
79.5Avg total
38.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.840.376.2-4.527%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.737.575.2+0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)34.242.877.0-8.612%-
Last 10 (10)38.141.479.5-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.042.079.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.141.277.3-5.124%-
vs Similar (6)31.741.573.2-9.80%-
vs Weaker (2)45.031.076.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Idaho) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IdahoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#201
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A18/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H23/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H24/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A30/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
47-23
47
23
+24
A01/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A06/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
29-19
29
19
+10
A07/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
21-44
21
44
-23
H13/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
60-30
60
30
+30
H14/02
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A20/02
NCAA
69.6Avg total
36.7Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.333.770.0+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.135.575.6+4.554%-
Last 30 away (17)33.432.265.6+1.247%-
Last 10 (10)36.732.969.6+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)32.634.066.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.029.560.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (14)32.336.869.1-4.536%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.431.372.7+10.162%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sacramento State wins
6
Idaho wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26HEast. Washington94-102
15/02/26ANorthern Arizona74-79
13/02/26ANorthern Colorado79-95
08/02/26HPortland State73-74
03/02/26HWeber State104-90
01/02/26HMontana86-79
30/01/26HMontana State83-80
24/01/26AEast. Washington67-75
23/01/26AIdaho76-86
18/01/26HNorthern Colorado93-89 OT
Idaholast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26APortland State67-77
14/02/26HIdaho State99-69
13/02/26HWeber State72-83
07/02/26AMontana68-73
06/02/26AMontana State66-73
01/02/26ANorthern Arizona79-62
30/01/26ANorthern Colorado83-91
24/01/26HPortland State66-69
23/01/26HSacramento State86-76
18/01/26AWeber State75-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL35%
HomeWWWLL75%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %35%75%0%
Points / game79.587.572.6
Allowed / game83.178.287.3
Point differential-3.6+9.3-14.7
Avg total162.5165.7159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Idaho
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL52%
HomeWWLLW69%
AwayLWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %52%69%36%
Points / game79.085.273.2
Allowed / game73.871.875.6
Point differential+5.2+13.4-2.4
Avg total152.8157.1148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%54%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State2618869%76.869.5+7.3
2 Northern Colorado28181064%82.876.7+6.1
3 Montana State28151354%77.871.9+5.9
4 Idaho27141352%79.073.8+5.2
5 Weber State29151452%81.977.0+4.9
6 Montana28141450%77.874.0+3.9
7 Idaho State29121741%74.875.8-0.9
8 East. Washington28111739%77.679.7-2.1
9 Northern Arizona28101836%72.876.1-3.3
10 Sacramento State2691735%79.583.1-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Sacramento State404080
Idaho424486
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