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Sacramento State vs Idaho State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 83-65
0-0 46-29 0-0 37-36
Position#324
Record9-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game83.1
Sacramento State 🏆
USA
vs
Idaho State
USA
Position#284
Record12-18
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game76.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sacramento State v Idaho State
02 Mar 2026
SACR83
IDAH65
23 Jan 2025
SACR75
IDAH71
13 Jan 2024
SACR66
IDAH64
18 Feb 2023
SACR70
IDAH65
27 Jan 2022
SACR61
IDAH60
04 Jan 2020
SACR68
IDAH49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Idaho State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#144
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H30/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H01/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
104-90
104
90
+14
H03/02
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
79-95
79
95
-16
A13/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A15/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
94-102
94
102
-8
H20/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A27/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
45-38
0-0
38-42
0-0
49-32
0-0
37-47
0-0
53-32
0-0
51-58
0-0
31-32
0-0
42-42
0-0
37-51
0-0
42-44
0-0
25-38
0-0
49-41
0-0
39-57
0-0
55-45
0-0
40-42
0-0
40-44
0-0
32-42
0-0
41-39
0-0
33-37
0-0
28-45
165.5Avg total
80.7Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.683.1161.7-4.431%
Season at home (13)86.978.8165.7+8.269%
Season away (16)71.986.6158.4-14.70%
Last 10 (10)80.784.8165.5-4.130%
Last 5 (5)76.486.0162.4-9.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)76.286.0162.3-9.819%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.780.7158.3-3.033%
vs Weaker (2)98.562.5161.0+36.0100%
This opponent (Idaho State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Idaho StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#186
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A24/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A31/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A03/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H06/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H07/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A13/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
69-99
69
99
-30
A14/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H20/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H21/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
30-35
0-0
30-34
0-0
38-33
0-0
41-48
0-0
32-43
0-0
33-45
0-0
34-40
0-0
39-39
0-0
34-36
0-0
27-33
0-0
38-45
0-0
37-43
0-0
30-60
0-0
39-39
0-0
39-37
0-0
34-32
0-0
50-30
0-0
41-46
0-0
32-38
0-0
41-45
152.0Avg total
71.9Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.876.0150.8-1.240%
Season at home (16)80.474.8155.2+5.656%
Season away (14)68.477.4145.7-9.021%
Last 10 (10)71.980.1152.0-8.220%
Last 5 (5)76.283.0159.2-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)71.579.1150.6-7.617%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.876.4156.1+3.462%
vs Weaker (2)78.555.0133.5+23.5100%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -4.2-4.2
Sacramento StateIdaho State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#144
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H30/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H01/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H03/02
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A13/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A15/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H20/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A27/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A28/02
NCAA
78.5Avg total
38.4Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.540.777.2-4.223%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.937.877.7+2.246%-
Last 30 away (17)33.942.976.9-9.06%-
Last 10 (10)38.440.178.5-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)33.843.277.0-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)37.141.878.9-4.719%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)31.741.573.2-9.80%-
vs Weaker (2)45.031.076.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Idaho State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Idaho StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#186
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A31/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A03/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H06/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H07/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A13/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
30-60
30
60
-30
A14/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H21/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H28/02
NCAA
75.4Avg total
35.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.236.770.9-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.935.772.6+1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)31.137.968.9-6.821%-
Last 10 (10)35.739.775.4-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.079.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)33.138.171.2-5.128%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.235.071.2+1.262%-
vs Weaker (2)32.530.563.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sacramento State wins
4
Idaho State wins
DateGameScore
02/01/26Idaho State v Sacramento State97-84
23/02/25Idaho State v Sacramento State83-66
24/01/25Sacramento State v Idaho State75-71
09/02/24Idaho State v Sacramento State68-40
14/01/24Sacramento State v Idaho State66-64
19/02/23Sacramento State v Idaho State70-65
20/01/23Idaho State v Sacramento State65-61
20/02/22Idaho State v Sacramento State75-80
28/01/22Sacramento State v Idaho State61-60
18/01/21Idaho State v Sacramento State65-70
Sacramento Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26AMontana State61-82
27/02/26AMontana73-81
22/02/26HIdaho80-86
20/02/26HEast. Washington94-102
15/02/26ANorthern Arizona74-79
13/02/26ANorthern Colorado79-95
08/02/26HPortland State73-74
03/02/26HWeber State104-90
01/02/26HMontana86-79
30/01/26HMontana State83-80
Idaho Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HWeber State73-83
21/02/26HMontana State91-76
20/02/26HMontana73-69
14/02/26AIdaho69-99
13/02/26AEast. Washington75-88
07/02/26HNorthern Colorado61-69
06/02/26HNorthern Arizona73-79
03/02/26APortland State65-88
31/01/26AWeber State79-81
24/01/26AMontana60-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeWWLLL69%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %31%69%0%
Points / game78.686.971.9
Allowed / game83.178.886.6
Point differential-4.4+8.2-14.7
Avg total161.7165.7158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %3%8%0%
Idaho State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLLWWL56%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %40%56%21%
Points / game74.880.468.4
Allowed / game76.074.877.4
Point differential-1.2+5.6-9.0
Avg total150.8155.2145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado31201165%82.375.9+6.4
2 Portland State28181064%76.270.2+6.0
3 Montana State31181358%78.071.2+6.8
4 Idaho31171455%79.073.8+5.2
5 Weber State30161453%82.076.9+5.1
6 Montana31161552%77.174.1+3.0
7 East. Washington31131842%78.278.9-0.7
8 Idaho State30121840%74.876.0-1.2
9 Northern Arizona31102132%71.576.5-5.0
10 Sacramento State2992031%78.683.1-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sacramento State04603783
Idaho State02903665
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