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Sacramento State vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 65-72
27-37 38-35
Position#253
Record12-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game66.2
vs
Position#54
Record14-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game66.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Sacramento State v Montana State
29 Jan 2026
SACR83
MONT80
01 Mar 2025
SACR60
MONT87
25 Jan 2024
SACR62
MONT70
28 Jan 2023
SACR65
MONT72
04 Dec 2021
SACR66
MONT68
27 Feb 2020
SACR81
MONT52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Fullerton
#119
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A22/12
NCAA
California State-Stanislaus Warriors
#431
W
72-51
72
51
+21
H29/12
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H31/12
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
85-83 OT
85
83
+2
A06/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A07/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H13/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H14/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A20/01
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A22/01
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
67-48
67
48
+19
H27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-24
22-35
19-27
53-24
26-33
48-30
39-38
38-39
28-49
47-29
33-29
39-35
34-22
25-34
22-45
39-20
24-21
24-29
35-31
32-17
127.9Avg total
66.2Scored
61.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)67.366.2133.6+1.157%
Season at home (9)72.463.9136.3+8.689%
Season away (12)63.568.0131.5-4.533%
Last 10 (10)66.261.7127.9+4.560%
Last 5 (5)61.456.6118.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)65.275.7140.9-10.515%
vs Similar (15)69.763.0132.7+6.787%
vs Weaker (2)65.047.0112.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#16
L
64-85
64
85
-21
A21/12
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H30/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H31/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
77-56
77
56
+21
A06/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
69-54
69
54
+15
A07/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H13/01
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H14/01
NCAA
Idaho
#325
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A22/01
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-44
27-41
34-20
38-38
28-33
39-37
39-20
38-36
40-24
29-30
39-34
42-34
39-19
28-33
29-34
41-40
35-29
32-35
36-34
39-32
135.6Avg total
70.9Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.266.4141.6+8.964%
Season at home (9)85.263.0148.2+22.278%
Season away (13)68.368.7137.0-0.454%
Last 10 (10)70.964.7135.6+6.270%
Last 5 (5)72.064.8136.8+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.097.0159.0-35.00%
vs Similar (10)68.272.0140.2-3.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)78.464.2142.6+14.283%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: +6.5+6.52nd half2nd half: +7.5+7.52nd half: -0.3-0.3
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: +6.5+6.52nd half2nd half: +7.5+7.52nd half: -0.3-0.3
Sacramento StateMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Fullerton
#119
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A22/12
NCAA
California State-Stanislaus Warriors
#431
L
19-27
19
27
-8
H29/12
NCAA
Portland State
#283
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H31/12
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A07/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H13/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H14/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A20/01
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
24-21
24
21
+3
A22/01
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H27/01
NCAA
60.6Avg total
28.7Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.131.861.9-1.753%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.329.459.7+0.954%-
Last 30 away (17)29.933.663.5-3.853%-
Last 10 (10)28.731.960.6-3.260%-
Last 5 (5)29.629.659.2+0.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)30.035.565.5-5.538%-
vs Similar (15)31.129.961.1+1.267%-
vs Weaker (2)22.521.544.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#16
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A21/12
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H30/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H31/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
39-20
39
20
+19
A06/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A07/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H13/01
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
39-19
39
19
+20
H14/01
NCAA
Idaho
#325
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A17/01
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A22/01
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A27/01
NCAA
64.7Avg total
35.6Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.331.067.3+5.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.130.169.2+9.167%-
Last 30 away (15)33.531.965.5+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)35.629.164.7+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)35.630.065.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.052.077.0-27.00%-
vs Similar (10)34.333.567.8+0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)37.628.365.8+9.372%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sacramento State wins
5
Montana State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/23HMontana67-48
22/01/23AWeber State48-50
20/01/23AIdaho State61-65
14/01/23HNorthern Arizona59-56
13/01/23HNorthern Colorado72-64
07/01/23AEast. Washington75-78
06/01/23AIdaho85-83 OT
31/12/22HPortland State74-63
29/12/22HCalifornia State-Stanislaus Warriors72-51
22/12/22ACS Fullerton49-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/23APortland State75-66
22/01/23AMontana67-64
17/01/23AIdaho70-74
14/01/23HWeber State67-52
13/01/23HIdaho State81-68
07/01/23ANorthern Arizona69-54
06/01/23ANorthern Colorado77-56
31/12/22HEast. Washington67-70
30/12/22HIdaho72-58
21/12/22AArizona64-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %57%89%33%
Points / game67.372.463.5
Allowed / game66.263.968.0
Point differential+1.1+8.6-4.5
Avg total133.6136.3131.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%44%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %14%22%8%
Montana State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayWWLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22913
Win %64%78%54%
Points / game75.285.268.3
Allowed / game66.463.068.7
Point differential+8.9+22.2-0.4
Avg total141.6148.2137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%78%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East. Washington2316770%75.970.5+5.4
2 Montana State2214864%75.266.4+8.9
3 Sacramento State2112957%67.366.2+1.1
4 Weber State22111150%66.766.9-0.2
5 Portland State2191243%76.473.4+3.0
6 Montana2191243%68.168.1+0.0
7 Idaho State2281436%69.971.2-1.3
8 Idaho2381535%76.172.7+3.3
9 Northern Colorado2171433%71.278.8-7.6
10 Northern Arizona2261627%72.075.2-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Sacramento State273865
Montana State373572
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