Sacred Heart hosts Central Connecticut State on 12 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Sacred Heart the clear favourite with a 92% chance of winning, driven by their 2-1 record, 88.0 points per game and only 64.7 allowed, placing them 130th in the league, while Central Connecticut State sits 313th with a 1-2 record, 61.0 points per game and 80.3 allowed. Sacred Heart's home slate shows a 1-1 record, 91.5 points per game and 59.0 allowed, and they have won three of their last five games, including an 81-76 victory over New Hampshire Wildcats and a 111-44 rout of Coast Guard, though they fell 72-74 to Maine Black Bears. Central Connecticut State's road record is 1-2, 61.0 points per game and 80.3 allowed, with two wins in five outings, notably a 78-71 win over Dartmouth, but losses to Syracuse and Temple. The teams have met ten times, Sacred Heart winning seven times, but Central Connecticut State edged the last meeting 108-106 on 24 November 2025. Pythia projects a 83-67 score, 149.7 total points, a -5.5 spread with an 83% chance of Sacred Heart covering, a 147.5 total with a 55% over probability, and a 2% chance of overtime. The game ends with Sacred Heart's 83 points.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Sacred Heart winLost
91.6%fair 1.09
Best odds1.48
Implied66.4%
Edge+25.2pp
Central Connecticut State winWon
8.4%fair 11.95
Best odds2.87
Implied33.6%
Edge-25.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:02 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Sacred Heart) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 141.5Actual: Over 141.5
Over 141.5
69.2%
@ 1.50+5.3pp
Under 141.5
30.8%
@ 2.75-5.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.40
Under
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.40
Over/Under 146.5 · main lineActual: Over 146.5
Over 146.5
57.6%
@ 1.91+7.6pp
Under 146.5
42.4%
@ 2.00-7.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.90
Marathon Be
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Under
Bet365
2.00
SBO
1.93
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.85
Over/Under 151.5Actual: Over 151.5
Over 151.5
45.3%
@ 2.45+7.2pp
Under 151.5
54.7%
@ 1.52-7.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Bet365
2.40
Under
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.47
📊 3. Team Totals
Sacred Heart total 72Actual: Sacred Heart over 72
Over 72
87.1%
Under 72
12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sacred Heart total 76 · main lineActual: Sacred Heart under 76
Over 76
76.4%
@ 1.85+26.4pp
Under 76
23.6%
@ 1.85-26.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Sacred Heart total 80Actual: Sacred Heart under 80
Over 80
61.7%
Under 80
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Central Connecticut State total 67Actual: Central Connecticut State over 67
Over 67
49.0%
Under 67
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Central Connecticut State total 71 · main lineActual: Central Connecticut State over 71
Over 71
33.1%
@ 1.87-16.7pp
Under 71
66.9%
@ 1.85+16.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Central Connecticut State total 75Actual: Central Connecticut State over 75
Over 75
20.0%
Under 75
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Sacred Heart -8Actual: Central Connecticut State +8
SACR -8
76.8%
@ 2.35+37.3pp
CENT +8
23.2%
@ 1.54-37.3pp
Best 5 market prices
SACR
Bet365
2.35
CENT
Bet365
1.54
Spread Sacred Heart -5 · main lineActual: Central Connecticut State +5
SACR -5
84.5%
@ 1.90+33.3pp
CENT +5
15.5%
@ 1.97-33.3pp
Best 5 market prices
SACR
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.86
SBO
1.85
CENT
Pinnacle
1.97
Marathon Be
1.85
SBO
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Spread Sacred Heart -2Actual: Central Connecticut State +2
SACR -2
90.3%
@ 1.52+29.1pp
CENT +2
9.7%
@ 2.40-29.1pp
Best 5 market prices
SACR
Bet365
1.52
CENT
Bet365
2.40
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
Sacred HeartCentral Connecticut State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sacred HeartLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Peters
#134
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H15/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A05/03
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A06/03
NCAA
Coast Guard
#523
W
58-15
58
15
+43
H03/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#324
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H06/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#103
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/11
NCAA
67.2Avg total
37.0Scored
30.2Allowed
1st half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 70.5
Last 30 (30)
36.6
34.5
71.1
+2.1
57%
43%
Last 30 at home (13)
37.1
31.7
68.8
+5.4
54%
38%
Last 30 away (17)
36.2
36.6
72.8
-0.4
59%
47%
Last 10 (10)
37.0
30.2
67.2
+6.8
70%
30%
Last 5 (5)
35.4
28.4
63.8
+7.0
60%
20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)
37.9
36.9
74.8
+1.0
62%
50%
vs Similar (12)
36.1
35.7
71.8
+0.4
50%
42%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)
33.8
32.9
66.7
+0.9
56%
33%
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
This opponent (Sacred Heart) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Central Connecticut State win
SACR win
no forecast
@ 1.65
CENT win
no forecast
@ 2.27
2nd half Spread Sacred Heart -1.5 · main lineActual: Central Connecticut State +1.5
SACR -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
CENT +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
2nd half Over/Under 76.5 · main lineActual: Over 76.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Central Connecticut State (regulation)
SACR
no forecast
@ 1.67
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.50
CENT
no forecast
@ 2.32
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Sacred Heart -9
73.9%
2.55
Bet365
2.55
-
-
-
-
+37.3pp
Lost
Sacred Heart -8
76.8%
2.35
Bet365
2.35
-
-
-
-
+37.3pp
Lost
Sacred Heart -10
70.8%
2.75
Bet365
2.75
-
-
-
-
+37.1pp
Lost
Sacred Heart -7
79.6%
2.20
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
2.15
-
-
-
+37.0pp
Lost
Sacred Heart -9.5
71.7%
2.60
Betano
2.60
Bet365
2.60
-
-
-
+36.2pp
Lost
Sacred Heart -8.5
74.7%
2.40
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.40
-
-
-
+36.1pp
Lost
Sacred Heart -7.5
77.5%
2.22
Betano
2.22
Bet365
2.22
-
-
-
+36.0pp
Lost
Sacred Heart -6.5
80.1%
2.09
Pinnacle
2.16
Betano
2.07
Bet365
2.05
-
-
+35.8pp
Lost
Sacred Heart -6
82.1%
2.01
Pinnacle
2.07
Bet365
2.00
Marathon Bet
1.97
-
-
+35.8pp
Lost
Sacred Heart -5.5
82.6%
1.94
Betano
1.98
Pinnacle
1.97
Bet365
1.95
SBO
1.93
Marathon Bet
1.92
+33.9pp
Lost
Sacred Heart -5
84.5%
1.87
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.86
SBO
1.85
-
+33.3pp
Lost
Sacred Heart -4.5
84.9%
1.80
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.79
BetVictor
1.78
+31.2pp
Lost
Sacred Heart -2.5
88.6%
1.61
Pinnacle
1.66
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.57
-
-
+30.8pp
Lost
Sacred Heart -4
86.7%
1.73
SBO
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.75
Bet365
1.71
Pinnacle
1.71
-
+30.8pp
Lost
Sacred Heart (regulation)
90.4%
1.48
Betano
1.50
Marathon Bet
1.47
-
-
-
+29.8pp
Lost
Sacred Heart -2
90.3%
1.52
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
-
+29.1pp
Lost
Sacred Heart -3.5
87.0%
1.68
Betano
1.72
Marathon Bet
1.69
Bet365
1.66
Pinnacle
1.65
-
+29.1pp
Lost
Sacred Heart -3
88.4%
1.60
Bet365
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
-
-
-
+28.7pp
Lost
Sacred Heart -1.5
90.5%
1.50
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+28.4pp
Lost
Sacred Heart over 74.5
80.0%
1.76
Pinnacle
1.80
Betano
1.72
-
-
-
+27.7pp
Won
Sacred Heart over 75.5
77.1%
1.85
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
+27.5pp
Lost
Sacred Heart over 77.5
70.6%
2.10
Betano
2.10
-
-
-
-
+27.3pp
Lost
Sacred Heart over 76.5
73.9%
1.91
Pinnacle
2.01
Betano
2.00
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
+27.0pp
Lost
Sacred Heart -1
91.5%
1.44
Bet365
1.44
-
-
-
-
+26.7pp
Lost
Sacred Heart over 76
76.4%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
-
-
-
+26.4pp
Lost
Sacred Heart win
91.6%
1.44
Bet365
1.48
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
Marathon Bet
1.44
+25.2pp
Lost
Sacred Heart +1.5
92.5%
1.36
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+24.7pp
Lost
Sacred Heart over 72.5
85.2%
1.50
Betano
1.50
-
-
-
-
+24.6pp
Won
Sacred Heart +1
92.5%
1.36
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
-
+24.4pp
Lost
Sacred Heart over 73.5
82.7%
1.54
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+23.4pp
Won
Sacred Heart +2.5
93.7%
1.31
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
+23.3pp
Lost
Sacred Heart +2
93.7%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+22.4pp
Lost
Sacred Heart +3.5
94.5%
1.27
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
+21.3pp
Lost
Sacred Heart over 71.5
87.4%
1.38
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+20.6pp
Won
Sacred Heart +4.5
95.4%
1.23
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
+20.2pp
Won
Sacred Heart +3
94.5%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+20.2pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State under 72.5
71.6%
1.65
Betano
1.65
-
-
-
-
+15.6pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State under 73.5
74.8%
1.52
Betano
1.52
-
-
-
-
+15.4pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State under 74.5
77.8%
1.46
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.44
-
-
-
+14.7pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State under 75.5
80.6%
1.37
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
-
+14.5pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State under 76.5
83.1%
1.32
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
+13.5pp
Lost
Sacred Heart +9.5
98.0%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+11.9pp
Won
Central Connecticut State under 78.5
87.5%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+11.3pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State under 80.5
90.9%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
+9.5pp
Won
Sacred Heart +14.5
99.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+8.9pp
Won
Overtime: no
98.1%
1.04
WilliamHill
1.05
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+7.6pp
Won
Sacred Heart +19.5
99.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.0pp
Won
Over 140.5
71.3%
1.40
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+4.8pp
Won
Over 139.5
73.4%
1.35
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
+4.7pp
Won
Over 141
70.7%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+3.7pp
Won
Over 140
72.8%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Won
Over 122.5
95.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
Over 127.5
91.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+1.8pp
Won
Over 137.5
77.3%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Won
Over 132.5
85.5%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+0.5pp
Won
Under 172.5
91.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+0.4pp
Won
Central Connecticut State over 53.5
90.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.0pp
Won
Under 167.5
86.4%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-2.6pp
Won
Central Connecticut State over 54.5
89.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.2pp
Won
Sacred Heart under 95.5
90.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.7pp
Won
Central Connecticut State over 55.5
87.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-4.1pp
Won
Under 162.5
78.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-5.2pp
Won
Sacred Heart under 93.5
86.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-5.5pp
Won
Central Connecticut State over 56.5
84.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-6.0pp
Won
Central Connecticut State over 57.5
82.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-6.7pp
Won
Central Connecticut State over 58.5
79.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-9.1pp
Won
Sacred Heart under 91.5
81.0%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-9.2pp
Won
Central Connecticut State over 59.5
76.6%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-10.0pp
Won
Central Connecticut State over 61.5
70.1%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
-11.4pp
Won
Central Connecticut State over 60.5
73.5%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-12.6pp
Won
Sacred Heart under 89.5
75.1%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-13.2pp
Won
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Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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