Syracuse faces Central Connecticut State on 5 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model designates Syracuse as the clear favourite with an 88% chance of victory, reflecting their undefeated 1-0 record, 74.0 points scored per game and only 58.0 points allowed, placing them 147th in the league, while Central Connecticut State sits at 274th with a 0-1 record, 56.0 points per game and 68.0 allowed. Syracuse's sole game was a 74-58 home win, and they have a 1-4 record over their last five games, including a 74-58 victory over New Haven Chargers and losses to SMU Mustangs and Pittsburgh; Central Connecticut State's recent five games include two wins and three losses, with a 69-64 home win over St. Francis (PA) and defeats to Temple and Wagner. The teams have not met before, so no head-to-head history is available. Pythia projects a score of 81-67, a total of 147.6 points, and a 24% chance that Syracuse covers the -21.5 spread; the over on the 138.5 total has a 71% probability, and there is a 3% chance of overtime. Syracuse's dominant defensive numbers and recent home win set the tone for the matchup.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Syracuse winWon
88.2%fair 1.13
Best odds1.01
Implied95.4%
Edge-7.2pp
Central Connecticut State winLost
11.8%fair 8.47
Best odds26.00
Implied4.6%
Edge+7.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 04 Nov 06:58 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Syracuse) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 132.5Actual: Over 132.5
Over 132.5
82.2%
@ 1.50+17.9pp
Under 132.5
17.8%
@ 2.80-17.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.38
Under
Bet365
2.80
Betano
2.40
Over/Under 137.5 · main lineActual: Over 137.5
Over 137.5
73.0%
@ 1.93+23.3pp
Under 137.5
27.0%
@ 2.00-23.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.93
Betano
1.91
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Over/Under 142.5Actual: Over 142.5
Over 142.5
61.9%
@ 2.50+24.2pp
Under 142.5
38.1%
@ 1.52-24.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.50
Bet365
2.40
Under
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.45
📊 3. Team Totals
Syracuse total 76Actual: Syracuse over 76
Over 76
68.5%
Under 76
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Syracuse total 80 · main lineActual: Syracuse over 80
Over 80
52.4%
@ 1.85+2.4pp
Under 80
47.6%
@ 1.85-2.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Syracuse total 84Actual: Syracuse over 84
Over 84
35.9%
Under 84
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Central Connecticut State total 54.5Actual: Central Connecticut State under 54.5
Over 54.5
89.1%
@ 1.78+36.2pp
Under 54.5
10.9%
@ 2.45-36.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.44
Under
Betano
2.45
Pinnacle
2.00
Central Connecticut State total 58.5 · main lineActual: Central Connecticut State under 58.5
Over 58.5
79.8%
@ 2.38+30.8pp
Under 58.5
20.2%
@ 1.85-30.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.38
Betano
1.95
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.75
Central Connecticut State total 62.5Actual: Central Connecticut State under 62.5
Over 62.5
66.8%
@ 3.25+36.4pp
Under 62.5
33.2%
@ 1.34-36.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.25
Betano
2.80
Under
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.29
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Syracuse -24.5Actual: Syracuse -24.5
SYRA -24.5
16.8%
@ 2.30-28.8pp
CENT +24.5
83.2%
@ 1.76+28.8pp
Best 5 market prices
SYRA
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.27
Pinnacle
2.08
CENT
Marathon Be
1.76
Pinnacle
1.74
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.55
Spread Syracuse -21.5 · main lineActual: Syracuse -21.5
SYRA -21.5
24.0%
@ 1.93-26.0pp
CENT +21.5
76.0%
@ 1.92+26.0pp
Best 5 market prices
SYRA
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
CENT
Marathon Be
1.92
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.87
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Spread Syracuse -18.5Actual: Syracuse -18.5
SYRA -18.5
32.8%
@ 1.57-26.5pp
CENT +18.5
67.2%
@ 2.30+26.5pp
Best 5 market prices
SYRA
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.55
CENT
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.25
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
SyracuseCentral Connecticut State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Central Connecticut State over 56.5
85.0%
1.89
Pinnacle
2.04
Betano
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
-
+38.8pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State over 61.5
70.4%
2.86
1xBet
3.20
Betano
2.52
-
-
-
+37.9pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State over 55.5
87.2%
1.87
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.86
Betano
1.83
-
-
+37.6pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State over 56
86.9%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
-
-
-
-
+36.9pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State over 57.5
82.5%
1.88
Pinnacle
2.04
Betano
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.84
WilliamHill
1.80
+36.3pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State over 59.5
76.9%
2.29
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.07
-
-
-
+36.3pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State over 54.5
89.1%
1.61
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.44
-
-
-
+36.2pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State over 57
84.6%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+34.7pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State +22
78.1%
1.94
Pinnacle
2.17
Marathon Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.80
-
-
+34.4pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State over 60.5
73.7%
2.27
Betano
2.27
-
-
-
-
+33.9pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State +22.5
78.6%
1.89
Pinnacle
2.09
1xBet
2.00
Betano
1.90
Marathon Bet
1.81
BetVictor
1.80
+33.3pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State +23
80.6%
1.87
Pinnacle
2.00
Marathon Bet
1.94
Bet365
1.68
-
-
+33.2pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State +24
82.9%
1.76
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Bet
1.82
Bet365
1.58
-
-
+32.3pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State over 58
82.0%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.84
-
-
-
+31.9pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State over 58.5
79.8%
1.96
1xBet
2.38
Betano
1.95
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
+30.8pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State +23.5
81.0%
1.81
Betano
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.87
BetVictor
1.80
Bet365
1.64
+30.0pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State +24.5
83.2%
1.65
Marathon Bet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.74
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
+28.8pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State +25
85.0%
1.59
Pinnacle
1.67
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+28.3pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State +21
75.3%
1.96
Marathon Bet
1.98
Bet365
1.95
-
-
-
+28.0pp
Lost
Over 134.5
78.8%
1.71
Marathon Bet
1.82
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.50
-
-
+27.7pp
Won
Over 135
78.4%
1.77
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.87
Bet365
1.55
-
-
+27.6pp
Won
Central Connecticut State +20
72.4%
2.05
Bet365
2.05
-
-
-
-
+27.4pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State +20.5
73.2%
2.00
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
-
-
-
+26.4pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State +19.5
70.3%
2.09
Bet365
2.12
Betano
2.07
-
-
-
+26.3pp
Lost
Central Connecticut State +21.5
76.0%
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.92
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.87
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.83
+26.0pp
Lost
Over 137
74.5%
1.84
Pinnacle
1.94
Marathon Bet
1.88
Bet365
1.71
-
-
+25.3pp
Won
Over 139
70.3%
1.98
Pinnacle
2.06
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Bet
1.94
-
-
+24.4pp
Won
Central Connecticut State over 53.5
90.9%
1.38
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.29
-
-
+24.2pp
Lost
Over 138
72.4%
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.97
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
1.80
-
-
+24.0pp
Won
Over 138.5
70.9%
1.92
Betano
2.02
Pinnacle
2.01
WilliamHill
2.00
Marathon Bet
2.00
Bet365
1.90
+23.8pp
Won
Over 137.5
73.0%
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.93
Betano
1.91
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
+23.3pp
Won
Over 136
76.5%
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.76
Bet365
1.62
-
-
+22.8pp
Won
Over 136.5
75.0%
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.99
Betano
1.90
SBO
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
WilliamHill
1.80
+22.6pp
Won
Over 135.5
77.0%
1.74
Marathon Bet
1.92
1xBet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.72
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.57
+22.1pp
Won
Over 133.5
80.5%
1.57
Marathon Bet
1.72
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.44
-
-
+18.6pp
Won
Over 132.5
82.2%
1.44
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
+17.9pp
Won
Over 134
80.2%
1.62
Marathon Bet
1.77
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+16.8pp
Won
Over 131.5
83.8%
1.39
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
+16.7pp
Won
Over 133
81.9%
1.53
Marathon Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+15.9pp
Won
Over 130.5
85.3%
1.33
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
+15.8pp
Won
Over 132
83.5%
1.36
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
-
+15.4pp
Won
Over 131
85.0%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+14.1pp
Won
Over 128.5
87.9%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+11.8pp
Won
Over 123.5
93.1%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+7.0pp
Won
Syracuse over 74.5
73.0%
1.33
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.30
-
-
-
+3.9pp
Won
Syracuse over 73.5
76.3%
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
Syracuse over 69.5
86.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Won
Syracuse over 70.5
84.5%
1.13
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
+2.2pp
Won
Syracuse over 71.5
82.0%
1.15
Bet365
1.16
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
+1.5pp
Won
Syracuse under 89.5
81.7%
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Lost
Syracuse under 90.5
84.2%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-0.2pp
Lost
Syracuse under 88.5
78.9%
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
-
-
-
-0.5pp
Lost
Syracuse under 86.5
72.6%
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
-
-
-
-1.1pp
Lost
Syracuse (regulation)
86.6%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
-3.2pp
Won
Syracuse -1.5
86.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-7.0pp
Won
Syracuse win
88.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-7.2pp
Won
Under 163.5
83.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-10.0pp
Won
Under 158.5
75.1%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-15.1pp
Won
Syracuse -6.5
73.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-15.5pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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