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Sakalai vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Feb 2012
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 78-86
10-21 24-15 23-22 21-28
Position#11
Record4-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Nevezis 🏆
Lithuania
Position#7
Record4-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game80.3
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2011-12
Meetings · Sakalai v Nevezis
28 Nov 2012
SAK89
NEV81
10 Oct 2012
SAK83
NEV67
28 Feb 2012
SAK78
NEV86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sakalai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SakalaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#7
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A05/11
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#10
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H18/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#12
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A02/12
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
95-96
95
96
-1
A16/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H17/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
65-106
65
106
-41
A29/12
LKL
KK Baltai
#8
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A08/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-97
71
97
-26
A28/01
LKL
Juventus
#9
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H03/02
LKL
Skycop
#3
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A04/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-16
23-23
14-13
25-13
14-16
17-13
13-20
21-27
18-14
33-19
22-24
17-23
20-29
20-31
23-15
32-21
11-18
16-14
19-19
18-14
27-26
12-34
15-27
11-19
25-21
14-21
12-17
20-19
16-27
22-29
20-25
13-16
28-23
15-20
24-15
18-12
8-19
27-25
23-23
12-13
156.2Avg total
74.9Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)72.181.7153.8-9.625%
Season at home (8)66.077.4143.4-11.412%
Season away (8)78.286.0164.2-7.838%
Last 10 (10)74.981.3156.2-6.430%
Last 5 (5)72.486.2158.6-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.185.7154.8-16.60%
vs Similar ◀ (7)76.076.6152.6-0.657%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#6
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H14/01
Baltic League
Tartu Ulikool
#12
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H15/01
Baltic League
Juventus
#9
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H20/01
LKL
Skycop
#3
L
85-93 OT
85
93
-8
A21/01
LKL
Juventus
#11
W
91-68
91
68
+23
H28/01
Baltic League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
62-86
62
86
-24
H08/02
Baltic League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
60-74
60
74
-14
H11/02
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
105-99 OT
105
99
+6
A14/02
Baltic League
Skycop
#7
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A22/02
Baltic League
LSU Atletas
#13
W
89-60
89
60
+29
H26/02
Baltic League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-7
17-16
10-25
20-10
17-20
24-25
25-15
20-15
19-11
22-24
12-19
20-16
19-21
20-23
22-12
17-22
18-22
25-15
25-12
23-19
19-15
17-16
15-24
11-31
19-22
7-21
18-16
16-15
24-15
18-31
17-19
27-21
15-19
25-17
26-24
27-23
26-11
21-16
27-22
15-11
157.6Avg total
81.0Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.480.3152.7-7.929%
Season at home (9)73.979.3153.2-5.433%
Season away (5)69.882.0151.8-12.220%
Last 10 (10)81.076.6157.6+4.470%
Last 5 (5)81.880.4162.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.382.7152.0-13.59%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.381.2158.5-3.954%
vs Weaker (6)78.366.7145.0+11.783%
This opponent (Sakalai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
SakalaiNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SakalaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#7
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A05/11
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#10
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H18/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#12
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A02/12
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A16/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H17/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A29/12
LKL
KK Baltai
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A08/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A28/01
LKL
Juventus
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H03/02
LKL
Skycop
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A04/02
LKL
81.5Avg total
37.7Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)36.843.179.9-6.225%-
Last 30 at home (8)34.039.873.8-5.825%-
Last 30 away (8)39.646.486.0-6.825%-
Last 10 (10)37.743.881.5-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)38.849.087.8-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.947.383.2-11.411%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.037.675.6+0.443%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#6
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H14/01
Baltic League
Tartu Ulikool
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H15/01
Baltic League
Juventus
#9
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H20/01
LKL
Skycop
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A21/01
LKL
Juventus
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H28/01
Baltic League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H08/02
Baltic League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H11/02
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A14/02
Baltic League
Skycop
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/02
Baltic League
LSU Atletas
#13
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H26/02
Baltic League
75.8Avg total
39.1Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.639.075.6-2.547%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.938.576.4-0.653%-
Last 30 away (11)34.339.974.2-5.636%-
Last 10 (10)39.136.775.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.674.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.341.573.8-9.327%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.838.876.7-1.046%-
vs Weaker (6)41.734.876.5+6.883%-
This opponent (Sakalai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sakalai wins
0
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
05/11/11Nevezis v Sakalai65-73
Sakalailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/12ASkycop70-80
03/02/12HJuventus85-70
28/01/12AZalgiris Kaunas71-97
08/01/12AKK Baltai71-78
29/12/11ARytas65-106
17/12/11HPieno Zvaigzdes64-65
16/12/11ANeptunas95-96
02/12/11ALietkabelis90-80
18/11/11HBC Olimpas Palanga65-76
05/11/11ANevezis73-65
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/12HLSU Atletas89-60
22/02/12ASkycop93-83
14/02/12ASiauliai105-99 OT
11/02/12HZalgiris Kaunas60-74
08/02/12HZenit Petersburg62-86
28/01/12HJuventus91-68
21/01/12ASkycop85-93 OT
20/01/12HJuventus73-70
15/01/12HTartu Ulikool86-75
14/01/12HBC Kalev/Cramo66-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sakalai
LKL 2011-12
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeLLLLW12%
AwayLLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%12%38%
Points / game72.166.078.2
Allowed / game81.777.486.0
Point differential-9.6-11.4-7.8
Avg total153.8143.4164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Nevezis
LKL 2011-12
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL29%
HomeWLWWL33%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %29%33%20%
Points / game72.473.969.8
Allowed / game80.379.382.0
Point differential-7.9-5.4-12.2
Avg total152.7153.2151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%11%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %14%11%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas15150100%86.870.2+16.6
2 Rytas1715288%89.966.9+23.1
3 Skycop1613381%85.276.0+9.2
4 Siauliai1711665%82.980.6+2.4
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes148657%72.672.9-0.2
6 KK Baltai168850%75.177.9-2.8
7 Juventus1761135%74.882.0-7.2
8 Neptunas1551033%80.383.9-3.6
9 Nevezis1441029%72.480.3-7.9
10 Sakalai1641225%72.181.7-9.6
11 Lietkabelis1531220%74.181.0-6.9
12 BC Olimpas Palanga1831517%70.383.6-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sakalai1024232178
Nevezis2115222886
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