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Salon Vilpas vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 90-72
23-19 26-21 26-21 15-11
Position#17
Record1-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game87.0
Salon Vilpas 🏆
vs
Bakken Bears
Position#28
Record1-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Semi-finals· Arena SamElyon
European cup2026Neutral venue
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Salon Vilpas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bakken Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Salon VilpasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A26/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H28/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H02/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A05/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
82-45
82
45
+37
H09/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A12/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H14/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
59-75
59
75
-16
A16/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
100-69
100
69
+31
H19/05
Korisliiga
Levice
#42
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A16/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
15-26
25-19
21-24
23-24
22-11
19-29
20-13
11-25
25-19
17-25
22-15
22-12
19-22
12-26
17-15
17-15
22-11
20-16
23-3
22-26
19-21
21-14
24-18
26-15
22-23
20-20
22-23
14-14
19-18
11-24
15-19
20-29
31-17
23-9
26-14
30-19
18-26
21-23
21-19
157.5Avg total
81.3Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)90.087.0177.0+3.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)90.087.0177.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.376.2157.5+5.160%
Last 5 (5)85.078.2163.2+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)85.776.6162.3+9.166%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#5
L
86-89
86
89
-3
H16/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A20/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H27/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
103-64
103
64
+39
A30/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
110-67
110
67
+43
H04/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
H14/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A18/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
98-86
98
86
+12
H21/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A25/05
Basketligaen
Zwolle
#46
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H16/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
22-17
19-26
24-27
19-20
13-21
19-27
18-17
30-23
19-15
22-19
18-22
31-18
21-24
20-15
31-7
26-20
30-11
28-12
26-24
22-24
21-18
14-19
20-16
21-22
36-15
20-18
14-26
26-21
24-28
29-13
19-24
18-17
19-21
29-22
21-21
22-33
21-12
22-16
24-17
171.7Avg total
91.4Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.078.0167.0+11.0100%
Season at home (1)89.078.0167.0+11.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.480.3171.7+11.170%
Last 5 (5)91.483.8175.2+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (29)96.180.7176.8+15.376%
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
Salon VilpasBakken Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Salon VilpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A26/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H28/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H02/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A05/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H09/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A12/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H14/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A16/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H19/05
Korisliiga
Levice
#42
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A16/09
Champions League
80.7Avg total
41.3Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.038.282.2+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.636.683.1+10.075%-
Last 30 away (14)41.040.181.1+0.957%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.480.7+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.685.8+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)43.838.081.8+5.966%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H16/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A20/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H27/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A30/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H04/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H14/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A18/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H21/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A25/05
Basketligaen
Zwolle
#46
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H16/09
Champions League
86.1Avg total
46.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.939.688.5+9.377%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.938.988.8+10.987%-
Last 30 away (15)47.940.388.1+7.667%-
Last 10 (10)46.239.986.1+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)46.042.288.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (29)49.139.488.5+9.779%-
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Salon Vilpastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Salon Vilpas: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.7
50.9%
53.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.710.7
33.8%
35.3%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.713.8
70.1%
72.1%13.8
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.7
57.5%
53.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.611.0
32.7%
35.3%33.0
🏀 Free throws25.016.8
67.2%
72.1%16.8
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Salon Vilpas
WWLWWWLLWL
Bakken Bears
WWWWLWWWLL
#17
League position
#28
+5.9
Net rating
+11.9
94.8
Offensive rating
96.9
88.8
Defensive rating
85.0
50.8%
Effective FG%
53.4%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
13.5%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.8%
3-point %
32.7%
52.5%
Assist %
58.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.8 · 96.9Defence88.8 · 85.0Shooting50.8% · 53.4%3-point %33.8% · 32.7%Ball care13.5% · 14.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Salon Vilpas   ■ Bakken Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Salon Vilpas wins
0
Bakken Bears wins
No previous meetings.
Salon Vilpaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/09/26ALevice90-87
19/05/26HKataja100-69
16/05/26AKataja59-75
14/05/26HKataja90-81
12/05/26AKataja86-79
09/05/26HKataja82-45
05/05/26AKataja70-75
02/05/26HKataja75-84
28/04/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki84-77
26/04/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki77-90
Bakken Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/09/26HZwolle89-78
25/05/26ATeam FOG Naestved87-81
21/05/26HTeam FOG Naestved98-86
18/05/26ATeam FOG Naestved91-81
14/05/26HTeam FOG Naestved92-93 OT
04/05/26HHorsens110-67
30/04/26AHorsens103-64
27/04/26HHorsens89-79
20/04/26ASvendborg69-85
16/04/26HHorsens86-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Salon Vilpas
Champions League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game90.0-90.0
Allowed / game87.0-87.0
Point differential+3.0-+3.0
Avg total177.0-177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Bakken Bears
Champions League 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game89.089.0-
Allowed / game78.078.0-
Point differential+11.0+11.0-
Avg total167.0167.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Breogan220100%115.582.0+33.5
2 Dziki Warszawa220100%109.097.0+12.0
3 Bakken Bears110100%89.078.0+11.0
4 CSM Oradea110100%95.087.0+8.0
5 Vechta220100%99.593.0+6.5
6 Promitheas220100%93.087.5+5.5
7 Salon Vilpas110100%90.087.0+3.0
8 Batumi110100%86.085.0+1.0
9 Korfez Basket21150%92.086.5+5.5
10 VEF Riga21150%100.095.0+5.0
11 Benfica21150%87.588.0-0.5
12 Manchester Basketball21150%79.089.0-10.0
13 Fribourg Olympic1010%85.086.0-1.0
14 Wurzburg1010%73.074.0-1.0
15 Denizli Basket1010%98.0101.0-3.0
16 Levice1010%87.090.0-3.0
17 AEK Larnaca1010%87.095.0-8.0
18 Geneva Lions1010%78.087.0-9.0
19 Vienna Basket1010%82.092.0-10.0
20 Zwolle1010%78.089.0-11.0
21 Kolossos Rhodes1010%79.091.0-12.0
22 Absheron Lions1010%88.0105.0-17.0
23 Opava1010%99.0116.0-17.0
24 Rilski Sportist1010%80.0126.0-46.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Salon Vilpas2326261590
Bakken Bears1921211172
← all games of the day
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