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Kataja vs Salon Vilpas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 May 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 75-59
14-14 18-19 24-11 19-15
Position#5
Record27-21
FormWWLLL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game82.7
Kataja 🏆
Finland
vs
Position#1
Record33-16
FormLLWWW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game79.9
FinlandKorisliigaKorisliiga - Final· Motonet Areena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kataja v Salon Vilpas
06 Mar 2027
KAT v SVI
upcoming
16 May 2026
KAT75
SVI59
12 May 2026
KAT79
SVI86
05 May 2026
KAT75
SVI70
08 Nov 2025
KAT87
SVI83
19 Apr 2025
KAT99
SVI100
28 Feb 2025
KAT105
SVI84
06 Nov 2024
KAT116
SVI114
30 Mar 2024
KAT84
SVI90
30 Dec 2023
KAT81
SVI92
29 Apr 2023
KAT107
SVI96
22 Mar 2023
KAT111
SVI95
10 Dec 2022
KAT104
SVI78
19 Oct 2022
KAT71
SVI69
22 Apr 2022
KAT88
SVI71
18 Apr 2022
KAT84
SVI98
17 Nov 2021
KAT74
SVI95
29 Jan 2021
KAT112
SVI114
08 Jan 2020
KAT89
SVI88
06 Oct 2019
KAT76
SVI78
16 Jan 2019
KAT121
SVI128
27 Oct 2018
KAT87
SVI94
19 Jan 2018
KAT87
SVI85
15 Oct 2017
KAT81
SVI84
13 May 2017
KAT94
SVI65
07 May 2017
KAT96
SVI90
04 May 2017
KAT86
SVI61
01 Feb 2017
KAT65
SVI68
06 Nov 2016
KAT83
SVI90
06 Mar 2016
KAT94
SVI92
29 Nov 2015
KAT89
SVI71
08 Apr 2015
KAT87
SVI74
09 Jan 2015
KAT84
SVI68
05 Mar 2014
KAT82
SVI65
26 Nov 2013
KAT85
SVI63
23 Mar 2013
KAT94
SVI74
06 Feb 2013
KAT96
SVI87
14 Apr 2012
KAT85
SVI68
10 Apr 2012
KAT90
SVI59
10 Jan 2012
KAT75
SVI67
05 Oct 2011
KAT91
SVI68
19 Jan 2011
KAT98
SVI71
18 Oct 2010
KAT95
SVI73
02 Jan 2010
KAT79
SVI74
04 Oct 2009
KAT72
SVI88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Salon Vilpas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
92-72
92
72
+20
A18/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
107-100
107
100
+7
H21/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A24/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H26/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A28/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A02/05
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H05/05
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
45-82
45
82
-37
A09/05
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H12/05
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A14/05
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
30-20
24-12
18-21
31-31
23-22
20-23
33-24
22-19
16-17
18-14
13-14
14-24
29-16
13-18
15-16
22-16
20-13
11-13
12-16
25-11
19-25
25-17
15-22
12-22
22-19
26-12
15-17
15-17
11-22
16-20
3-23
26-22
21-19
14-21
18-24
15-26
23-22
20-20
23-22
153.9Avg total
76.8Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)85.782.7168.4+3.056%
Season at home (23)86.580.8167.3+5.757%
Season away (25)85.084.5169.5+0.556%
Last 10 (10)76.877.1153.9-0.360%
Last 5 (5)72.880.6153.4-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)76.082.0158.0-6.050%
vs Similar (9)82.078.0160.0+4.067%
vs Weaker (15)87.579.9167.3+7.660%
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
107-53
107
53
+54
H18/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A21/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H24/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A26/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H28/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H02/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A05/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
82-45
82
45
+37
H09/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A12/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H14/05
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
32-11
20-13
35-10
27-26
19-16
18-29
17-17
15-18
18-21
15-17
30-15
16-21
15-26
25-19
21-24
23-24
22-11
19-29
20-13
11-25
25-19
17-25
22-15
22-12
19-22
12-26
17-15
17-15
22-11
20-16
23-3
22-26
19-21
21-14
24-18
26-15
22-23
20-20
22-23
157.3Avg total
83.0Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)89.679.9169.4+9.767%
Season at home (26)92.777.3170.0+15.581%
Season away (23)86.082.8168.8+3.252%
Last 10 (10)83.074.3157.3+8.760%
Last 5 (5)80.672.8153.4+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)87.277.3164.5+9.963%
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +7.8+7.8
KatajaSalon Vilpas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A18/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H21/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A24/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H26/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A28/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A02/05
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H05/05
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A09/05
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H12/05
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A14/05
Korisliiga
81.8Avg total
41.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.282.8+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.939.984.8+5.179%-
Last 30 away (16)40.740.481.1+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.281.8+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.841.078.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.741.880.5-3.233%-
vs Similar (9)43.637.781.2+5.989%-
vs Weaker (15)43.741.084.7+2.760%-
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H18/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A21/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H24/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A26/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H28/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H02/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A05/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H09/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A12/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H14/05
Korisliiga
79.4Avg total
41.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.238.282.5+6.067%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.836.883.6+10.076%-
Last 30 away (13)40.840.180.9+0.854%-
Last 10 (10)41.238.279.4+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.878.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)44.238.282.5+6.067%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.117.7
49.0%
2.0%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.3
29.7%
33.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.116.8
79.6%
74.0%16.8
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Salon Vilpastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Salon Vilpas: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.016.9
51.2%
2.0%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.111.7
35.3%
33.1%35.1
🏀 Free throws19.813.9
70.2%
74.0%13.9
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
LLLWWWLWWW
Salon Vilpas
WWWLLWLWLW
#5
League position
#1
+0.2
Net rating
+9.9
90.4
Offensive rating
96.1
90.2
Defensive rating
86.2
47.1%
Effective FG%
52.1%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
13.7%
Turnover %
14.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.7%
3-point %
35.3%
47.3%
Assist %
52.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence90.4 · 96.1Defence90.2 · 86.2Shooting47.1% · 52.1%3-point %29.7% · 35.3%Ball care13.7% · 14.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Kataja   ■ Salon Vilpas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Kataja wins
5
Salon Vilpas wins
DateGameScore
14/05/26Salon Vilpas v Kataja90-81
12/05/26Kataja v Salon Vilpas79-86
09/05/26Salon Vilpas v Kataja82-45
05/05/26Kataja v Salon Vilpas75-70
02/05/26Salon Vilpas v Kataja75-84
14/01/26Salon Vilpas v Kataja89-92
08/11/25Kataja v Salon Vilpas87-83
19/04/25Kataja v Salon Vilpas99-100 OT
28/02/25Kataja v Salon Vilpas105-84
25/01/25Salon Vilpas v Kataja80-78
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/26ASalon Vilpas81-90
12/05/26HSalon Vilpas79-86
09/05/26ASalon Vilpas45-82
05/05/26HSalon Vilpas75-70
02/05/26ASalon Vilpas84-75
28/04/26AHelsinki Seagulls65-58
26/04/26HHelsinki Seagulls71-74
24/04/26AHelsinki Seagulls69-64
21/04/26HHelsinki Seagulls107-100
18/04/26AHelsinki Seagulls92-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/26HKataja90-81
12/05/26AKataja86-79
09/05/26HKataja82-45
05/05/26AKataja70-75
02/05/26HKataja75-84
28/04/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki84-77
26/04/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki77-90
24/04/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki78-71
21/04/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki81-88
18/04/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki107-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeLWLWL57%
AwayWWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482325
Win %56%57%56%
Points / game85.786.585.0
Allowed / game82.780.884.5
Point differential+3.0+5.7+0.5
Avg total168.4167.3169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%35%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)38% (8)71% (7)
Overtime %4%4%4%
Salon Vilpas
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeWWLWW81%
AwayLLLLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492623
Win %67%81%52%
Points / game89.692.786.0
Allowed / game79.977.382.8
Point differential+9.7+15.5+3.2
Avg total169.4170.0168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%46%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)40% (5)0% (4)
Overtime %2%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Salon Vilpas49331667%89.679.9+9.7
2 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki45271860%88.485.9+2.5
3 Karhu Basket36211558%81.883.5-1.7
4 KTP Kotka Basket39221756%84.281.3+2.8
5 Kataja48272156%85.782.7+3.0
6 Honka37201754%88.790.2-1.5
7 Pyrinto Tampere37172046%81.784.2-2.5
8 Helsinki Seagulls47212645%82.983.2-0.3
9 Bisons Loimaa32141844%87.785.7+2.0
10 Lahti Basketball32131941%89.591.4-1.9
11 Kouvot Kouvola32122038%87.493.2-5.8
12 Kobrat3262619%81.995.5-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kataja1418241975
Salon Vilpas1419111559
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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