Salon Vilpas vs KTP Kotka Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Mar 2012

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 57-83

18-21 10-20 20-20 9-22

Position#8

Record16-20

FormWWWWW

Points / game74.6

Allowed / game77.3

Salon Vilpas

KTP Kotka Basket 🏆

Position#6

Record16-21

FormWLWLW

Points / game83.4

Allowed / game85.4

KorisliigaRound 41

Other2011-12

Meetings · Salon Vilpas v KTP Kotka Basket

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Salon Vilpas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

KTP Kotka Basket winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Salon Vilpas Finland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#10

66-56

+10

H01/02

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

69-90

-21

A03/02

Korisliiga

ToPo Helsinki

79-83

-4

A10/02

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

68-76

-8

H18/02

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

79-89

-10

H22/02

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

#11

92-73

+19

A24/02

Korisliiga

Kataja

76-74 OT

H02/03

Korisliiga

Lappeenranta

84-75

A07/03

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

77-69

H10/03

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#10

80-72

A21/03

Korisliiga

22-23

19-10

12-8

13-15

19-17

20-17

19-36

11-20

15-25

29-18

11-22

24-18

10-20

15-18

15-20

28-18

16-20

22-19

21-20

20-30

21-22

22-13

17-21

32-17

17-18

12-18

14-17

21-11

17-30

15-13

32-12

20-20

14-14

23-21

24-15

16-19

17-16

20-23

24-15

19-18

152.7Avg total

77.0Scored

75.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	74.6	77.3	151.9	-2.8	44%
Season at home (18)	75.8	75.1	150.9	+0.7	56%
Season away (18)	73.3	79.6	152.9	-6.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	77.0	75.7	152.7	+1.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	72.6	154.4	+9.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	75.9	80.5	156.3	-4.6	40%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	74.8	73.2	148.0	+1.6	53%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KTP Kotka Basket Finland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Salon Vilpas

90-69

+21

H03/02

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#10

83-99

-16

A06/02

Korisliiga

LoKoKo

82-81

H17/02

Korisliiga

ToPo Helsinki

87-98

-11

H22/02

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

71-82

-11

A24/02

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

99-79

+20

H29/02

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

#11

76-79

-3

A07/03

Korisliiga

Kataja

105-87

105

+18

H09/03

Korisliiga

Lappeenranta

82-84

-2

A17/03

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

91-79

+12

H21/03

Korisliiga

17-19

17-20

36-19

20-11

26-21

14-20

18-25

25-33

31-13

15-22

16-23

20-23

20-28

23-19

17-23

27-28

20-14

18-26

17-12

16-30

25-18

30-13

26-21

18-27

28-20

8-17

19-19

21-23

21-19

28-14

32-33

24-21

22-26

23-16

15-26

22-16

28-25

17-15

23-19

23-20

170.3Avg total

86.6Scored

83.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	83.4	85.4	168.8	-2.0	43%
Season at home (19)	88.8	85.8	174.6	+3.0	63%
Season away (18)	77.7	84.9	162.6	-7.3	22%
Last 10 (10)	86.6	83.7	170.3	+2.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	90.6	81.6	172.2	+9.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	85.1	86.8	171.9	-1.7	40%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	82.4	83.3	165.6	-0.9	43%
vs Weaker (6)	87.3	86.0	173.3	+1.3	33%

This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Salon VilpasKTP Kotka Basket

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	17.7	34.7	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.3	16.8	33.1	-0.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	18.6	36.3	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	20.5	37.3	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.3	17.7	35.0	-0.5	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	16.7	17.7	34.4	-0.9	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.9	41.3	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+1.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	20.3	44.1	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	21.6	46.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.5	19.0	43.5	+5.5	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.5	37.6	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.0	36.7	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.6	36.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.5	21.0	38.5	-3.5	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.7	17.7	36.3	+1.0	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	21.0	43.1	+1.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	19.4	37.6	-1.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.2	37.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	15.0	36.2	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.1	21.0	42.1	+0.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.1	19.3	40.4	+1.8	64%	-
vs Weaker (6)	16.8	21.3	38.2	-4.5	17%	-

Salon VilpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#10

41-33

H01/02

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

39-34

A03/02

Korisliiga

ToPo Helsinki

44-43

A10/02

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

25-38

-13

H18/02

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

38-39

-1

H22/02

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

#11

43-35

A24/02

Korisliiga

Kataja

29-36

-7

H02/03

Korisliiga

Lappeenranta

32-43

-11

A07/03

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

37-35

H10/03

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#10

37-39

-2

A21/03

Korisliiga

74.0Avg total

36.5Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.1	37.0	72.1	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.3	35.9	70.3	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.8	38.1	73.9	-2.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	37.5	74.0	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	37.6	73.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	34.7	38.7	73.5	-4.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	35.4	35.3	70.7	+0.1	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Salon Vilpas

34-39

-5

H03/02

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#10

40-41

-1

A06/02

Korisliiga

LoKoKo

46-35

+11

H17/02

Korisliiga

ToPo Helsinki

43-47

-4

H22/02

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

38-40

-2

A24/02

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

55-31

+24

H29/02

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

#11

36-37

-1

A07/03

Korisliiga

Kataja

49-33

+16

H09/03

Korisliiga

Lappeenranta

45-42

A17/03

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

45-40

H21/03

Korisliiga

81.6Avg total

43.1Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	40.1	81.8	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.8	40.8	84.6	+3.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	39.4	78.5	-0.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	38.5	81.6	+4.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	36.6	82.6	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	43.1	42.2	85.3	+0.9	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	40.7	38.6	79.3	+2.1	64%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.3	40.3	81.7	+1.0	50%	-

This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.9	36.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	16.7	34.3	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	19.1	38.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.6	37.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	16.0	38.2	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.1	19.1	36.1	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.8	16.7	36.5	+3.1	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	22.1	42.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	23.1	45.3	-0.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	20.9	39.9	-2.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	22.0	43.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	23.6	46.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.8	22.1	41.9	-2.3	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.3	22.4	43.6	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.7	21.5	42.2	-0.8	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.6	40.7	-0.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.5	41.3	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.7	40.1	-1.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.0	38.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.5	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.6	21.1	40.7	-1.5	27%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	22.4	44.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	22.9	45.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-0.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	23.2	44.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	22.2	22.5	44.7	-0.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.4	21.6	41.9	-1.2	36%	-
vs Weaker (6)	25.3	24.2	49.5	+1.2	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	38.5	77.0	+0.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	37.1	75.7	+1.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	39.9	78.4	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	37.2	76.5	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	33.0	76.8	+10.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	37.7	39.1	76.8	-1.5	53%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	39.4	37.9	77.3	+1.5	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	44.5	87.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.1	46.0	91.1	-0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	42.8	82.6	-2.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	45.2	88.7	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	45.0	89.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	42.0	44.6	86.6	-2.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	41.6	43.9	85.6	-2.3	36%	-
vs Weaker (6)	46.0	45.7	91.7	+0.3	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Salon Vilpas wins

KTP Kotka Basket wins

Date	Game	Score
03/02/12	KTP Kotka Basket v Salon Vilpas	90-69
14/12/11	Salon Vilpas v KTP Kotka Basket	74-71
26/10/11	KTP Kotka Basket v Salon Vilpas	82-78
18/03/11	KTP Kotka Basket v Salon Vilpas	109-92
06/02/11	Salon Vilpas v KTP Kotka Basket	73-93
13/12/10	KTP Kotka Basket v Salon Vilpas	106-81
27/10/10	Salon Vilpas v KTP Kotka Basket	75-81
17/02/10	KTP Kotka Basket v Salon Vilpas	94-77
06/01/10	Salon Vilpas v KTP Kotka Basket	62-87
11/11/09	KTP Kotka Basket v Salon Vilpas	90-74

Salon Vilpaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/03/12	A	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	80-72
10/03/12	H	Kouvot Kouvola	77-69
07/03/12	A	Lappeenranta	84-75
02/03/12	H	Kataja	76-74 OT
24/02/12	A	Namika Lahti	92-73
22/02/12	H	Kauhajoen Karhu	79-89
18/02/12	H	Pyrinto Tampere	68-76
10/02/12	A	ToPo Helsinki	79-83
03/02/12	A	KTP Kotka Basket	69-90
01/02/12	H	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	66-56

KTP Kotka Basketlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/03/12	H	Kouvot Kouvola	91-79
17/03/12	A	Lappeenranta	82-84
09/03/12	H	Kataja	105-87
07/03/12	A	Namika Lahti	76-79
29/02/12	H	Kauhajoen Karhu	99-79
24/02/12	A	Pyrinto Tampere	71-82
22/02/12	H	ToPo Helsinki	87-98
17/02/12	H	LoKoKo	82-81
06/02/12	A	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	83-99
03/02/12	H	Salon Vilpas	90-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Salon Vilpas

Korisliiga 2011-12

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	44%
Home	WLLWW	56%
Away	LLWWW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	18	18
Win %	44%	56%	33%
Points / game	74.6	75.8	73.3
Allowed / game	77.3	75.1	79.6
Point differential	-2.8	+0.7	-6.2
Avg total	151.9	150.9	152.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	11%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (14)	57% (7)	43% (7)
Overtime %	8%	17%	0%

KTP Kotka Basket

Korisliiga 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	43%
Home	WLWWW	63%
Away	WLLLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	19	18
Win %	43%	63%	22%
Points / game	83.4	88.8	77.7
Allowed / game	85.4	85.8	84.9
Point differential	-2.0	+3.0	-7.3
Avg total	168.8	174.6	162.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	47%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	36% (11)	100% (3)	12% (8)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Kataja	37	29	8	78%	83.6	74.2	+9.4
2	Pyrinto Tampere	36	25	11	69%	82.7	75.9	+6.8
3	LoKoKo	36	24	12	67%	81.3	77.1	+4.2
4	Kauhajoen Karhu	37	21	16	57%	85.4	82.6	+2.7
5	ToPo Helsinki	36	20	16	56%	83.7	80.1	+3.6
6	Salon Vilpas	36	16	20	44%	74.6	77.3	-2.8
7	KTP Kotka Basket	37	16	21	43%	83.4	85.4	-2.0
8	Lappeenranta	36	15	21	42%	78.1	80.9	-2.8
9	Kouvot Kouvola	36	13	23	36%	73.1	76.5	-3.5
10	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	37	12	25	32%	76.5	84.4	-7.9
11	Namika Lahti	38	10	28	26%	78.1	85.5	-7.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Salon Vilpas	18	10	20	9	57
KTP Kotka Basket	21	20	20	22	83

← all games of the day

Salon Vilpas vs KTP Kotka Basket Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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