Salon Vilpas vs KTP Kotka Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Oct 2018

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 79-71

23-15 15-15 21-24 20-17

Position#1

Record5-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game93.8

Allowed / game88.2

Salon Vilpas 🏆

KTP Kotka Basket

Position#5

Record2-3

FormWLLWL

Points / game81.2

Allowed / game91.6

Korisliiga

Other2018-19

Meetings · Salon Vilpas v KTP Kotka Basket

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Salon Vilpas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

KTP Kotka Basket winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Salon Vilpas Finland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kauhajoen Karhu

79-83

-4

H12/05

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

75-93

-18

A14/05

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

86-79

H16/05

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

96-99 OT

-3

A18/05

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

112-115 OT

112

115

-3

A07/10

Korisliiga

BC Nokia

75-69

H11/10

Korisliiga

Ura Basket

#11

88-81

A13/10

Korisliiga

Kobrat

94-86

H17/10

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

100-91

100

A24/10

Korisliiga

Kataja

94-87

A27/10

Korisliiga

13-18

25-19

23-23

18-23

17-31

15-27

16-17

27-18

15-18

21-18

24-25

26-18

13-19

19-18

20-21

32-26

24-27

23-21

33-28

22-26

13-14

23-11

18-21

21-23

22-16

20-22

22-22

24-21

27-16

15-19

25-23

27-28

29-29

29-18

23-23

19-21

22-21

14-27

27-25

31-14

178.2Avg total

89.9Scored

88.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	93.8	88.2	182.0	+5.7	83%
Season at home (2)	84.5	77.5	162.0	+7.0	100%
Season away (4)	98.5	93.5	192.0	+5.0	75%
Last 10 (10)	89.9	88.3	178.2	+1.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	90.2	82.8	173.0	+7.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	106.0	103.0	209.0	+3.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	89.8	77.9	167.8	+11.9	75%

This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KTP Kotka Basket Finland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Helsinki Seagulls

72-81

-9

A04/04

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

87-83

A08/04

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

64-95

-31

H10/04

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

69-77

-8

A12/04

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

55-88

-33

H14/04

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

82-78

H10/10

Korisliiga

Ura Basket

#11

65-91

-26

H16/10

Korisliiga

Kobrat

86-102

102

-16

A19/10

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#10

99-89

+10

A23/10

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

74-98

-24

H26/10

Korisliiga

16-20

15-20

20-20

21-21

18-19

21-23

19-18

29-23

7-30

19-22

18-23

20-20

20-19

12-17

13-20

24-21

17-22

11-27

14-18

13-21

17-18

24-15

16-26

25-19

17-26

17-20

15-25

16-20

26-25

21-22

20-25

19-30

22-23

28-29

25-18

24-19

13-24

15-27

20-21

26-26

163.5Avg total

75.3Scored

88.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	81.2	91.6	172.8	-10.4	40%
Season at home (3)	73.7	89.0	162.7	-15.3	33%
Season away (2)	92.5	95.5	188.0	-3.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	75.3	88.2	163.5	-12.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	91.6	172.8	-10.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	77.0	85.5	162.6	-8.5	35%
vs Similar (3)	90.3	83.3	173.7	+7.0	100%
vs Weaker (7)	92.7	94.7	187.4	-2.0	29%

This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Salon VilpasKTP Kotka Basket

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.1	40.6	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	18.6	40.3	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.9	40.4	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.2	41.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	26.5	28.0	54.5	-1.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	21.2	18.5	39.6	+2.7	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	22.1	41.2	-3.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	22.8	41.9	-3.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	21.5	40.4	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	22.6	39.9	-5.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	23.2	42.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.4	21.9	39.2	-4.5	30%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.0	17.7	39.7	+4.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.6	24.7	47.3	-2.1	29%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	17.3	39.3	+4.7	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	16.4	39.3	+6.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+3.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	26.0	19.5	45.5	+6.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	21.8	17.1	38.9	+4.6	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.0	40.1	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	20.7	39.9	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	21.3	40.2	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	22.2	40.5	-3.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.6	43.6	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.6	20.9	38.5	-3.4	30%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.3	15.7	37.0	+5.7	100%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.3	23.6	45.9	-1.3	29%	-

Salon VilpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kauhajoen Karhu

38-37

H12/05

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

32-58

-26

A14/05

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

36-36

H16/05

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

32-37

-5

A18/05

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

47-48

-1

A07/10

Korisliiga

BC Nokia

36-25

+11

H11/10

Korisliiga

Ura Basket

#11

42-38

A13/10

Korisliiga

Kobrat

42-35

H17/10

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

58-47

+11

A24/10

Korisliiga

Kataja

36-48

-12

A27/10

Korisliiga

80.8Avg total

39.9Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	36.4	80.0	+7.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.5	35.0	79.5	+9.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.6	37.8	80.4	+4.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	40.9	80.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	38.6	81.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	52.5	47.5	100.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	42.9	35.6	78.5	+7.3	68%	-

This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Helsinki Seagulls

31-40

-9

A04/04

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

39-42

-3

A08/04

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

26-52

-26

H10/04

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

32-36

-4

A12/04

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

28-49

-21

H14/04

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

41-33

H10/10

Korisliiga

Ura Basket

#11

34-46

-12

H16/10

Korisliiga

Kobrat

47-47

A19/10

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#10

50-52

-2

A23/10

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

28-51

-23

H26/10

Korisliiga

80.4Avg total

35.6Scored

44.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	43.2	81.2	-5.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	43.5	81.9	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.8	42.8	80.6	-5.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	44.8	80.4	-9.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	45.8	85.8	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	34.9	42.9	77.8	-8.0	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	43.3	33.3	76.7	+10.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (7)	44.9	48.3	93.1	-3.4	29%	-

This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	21.3	44.1	+1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.4	20.8	44.2	+2.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	21.9	43.9	+0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	22.8	45.9	+0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.8	45.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	28.0	25.5	53.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.3	43%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.5	43.0	-0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	20.9	43.1	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	22.1	42.8	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	21.4	39.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.0	42.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	20.6	20.9	41.5	-0.2	45%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.3	26.3	48.7	-4.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.4	21.3	44.7	+2.1	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	20.8	44.2	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	20.3	42.8	+2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.3	21.2	45.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	21.8	46.5	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	21.4	45.8	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	20.5	23.5	44.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	23.6	20.6	44.2	+3.0	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.5	43.1	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	21.9	43.9	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	22.0	43.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.8	44.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.2	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.7	23.7	48.3	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.1	42.1	88.2	+4.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.9	41.1	87.0	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.4	43.1	89.5	+3.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.8	44.6	92.4	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	44.2	91.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	48.5	49.0	97.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	46.0	41.6	87.6	+4.4	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	43.0	86.1	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.6	41.9	85.5	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.7	44.1	86.7	-1.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	43.4	83.1	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	45.8	87.0	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	41.8	42.1	83.9	-0.4	45%	-
vs Similar (3)	47.0	50.0	97.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (7)	45.4	42.3	87.7	+3.1	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Salon Vilpas wins

KTP Kotka Basket wins

Date	Game	Score
14/04/18	KTP Kotka Basket v Salon Vilpas	55-88
12/04/18	Salon Vilpas v KTP Kotka Basket	77-69
10/04/18	KTP Kotka Basket v Salon Vilpas	64-95
08/04/18	Salon Vilpas v KTP Kotka Basket	83-87
18/02/18	KTP Kotka Basket v Salon Vilpas	84-98
03/01/18	Salon Vilpas v KTP Kotka Basket	88-68
10/11/17	KTP Kotka Basket v Salon Vilpas	72-98
27/09/17	Salon Vilpas v KTP Kotka Basket	75-70
18/02/17	KTP Kotka Basket v Salon Vilpas	83-92 OT
04/01/17	Salon Vilpas v KTP Kotka Basket	79-70

Salon Vilpaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/10/18	A	Kataja	94-87
24/10/18	A	Pyrinto Tampere	100-91
17/10/18	H	Kobrat	94-86
13/10/18	A	Ura Basket	88-81
11/10/18	H	BC Nokia	75-69
07/10/18	A	Kauhajoen Karhu	112-115 OT
18/05/18	A	Kauhajoen Karhu	96-99 OT
16/05/18	H	Kauhajoen Karhu	86-79
14/05/18	A	Kauhajoen Karhu	75-93
12/05/18	H	Kauhajoen Karhu	79-83

KTP Kotka Basketlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/10/18	H	Pyrinto Tampere	74-98
23/10/18	A	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	99-89
19/10/18	A	Kobrat	86-102
16/10/18	H	Ura Basket	65-91
10/10/18	H	Kouvot Kouvola	82-78
14/04/18	H	Salon Vilpas	55-88
12/04/18	A	Salon Vilpas	69-77
10/04/18	H	Salon Vilpas	64-95
08/04/18	A	Salon Vilpas	87-83
04/04/18	A	Helsinki Seagulls	72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Salon Vilpas

Korisliiga 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	83%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	83%	100%	75%
Points / game	93.8	84.5	98.5
Allowed / game	88.2	77.5	93.5
Point differential	+5.7	+7.0	+5.0
Avg total	182.0	162.0	192.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	17%	0%	25%

KTP Kotka Basket

Korisliiga 2018-19

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	40%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	40%	33%	50%
Points / game	81.2	73.7	92.5
Allowed / game	91.6	89.0	95.5
Point differential	-10.4	-15.3	-3.0
Avg total	172.8	162.7	188.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Salon Vilpas	6	5	1	83%	93.8	88.2	+5.7
2	Kauhajoen Karhu	5	4	1	80%	94.0	88.8	+5.2
3	Pyrinto Tampere	4	3	1	75%	101.8	84.2	+17.5
4	BC Nokia	6	4	2	67%	86.3	80.7	+5.7
5	Helsinki Seagulls	2	1	1	50%	80.0	84.0	-4.0
6	Kobrat	5	2	3	40%	91.0	90.8	+0.2
7	KTP Kotka Basket	5	2	3	40%	81.2	91.6	-10.4
8	Kataja	3	1	2	33%	85.0	89.3	-4.3
9	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	6	2	4	33%	85.0	89.7	-4.7
10	Kouvot Kouvola	4	1	3	25%	83.8	83.8	+0.0
11	Ura Basket	6	1	5	17%	78.8	89.5	-10.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Salon Vilpas	23	15	21	20	79
KTP Kotka Basket	15	15	24	17	71

← all games of the day

Salon Vilpas vs KTP Kotka Basket Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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