Salon Vilpas vs KTP Kotka Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Oct 2015

Tip-off: 15:30

Final 79-60

18-14 17-13 23-17 21-16

Position#6

Record1-4

FormLWLLL

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game83.6

Salon Vilpas 🏆

KTP Kotka Basket

Position#9

Record0-5

FormLLLLL

Points / game81.0

Allowed / game90.2

Korisliiga

Other2015-16

Meetings · Salon Vilpas v KTP Kotka Basket

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Salon Vilpas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

KTP Kotka Basket winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Salon Vilpas Finland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kobrat

85-87

-2

A25/03

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

52-91

-39

H27/03

Korisliiga

Honka

#11

86-68

+18

H04/04

Korisliiga

Kataja

74-87

-13

A08/04

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

67-73

-6

A15/04

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

79-84

-5

H03/10

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

97-85

+12

A07/10

Korisliiga

BC Nokia

77-87

-10

A11/10

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

73-81

-8

A14/10

Korisliiga

Kataja

73-81

-8

H17/10

Korisliiga

25-23

13-14

22-24

25-26

11-22

8-26

18-21

15-22

22-24

14-9

23-17

27-18

20-19

12-20

23-28

19-20

21-26

15-14

18-10

13-23

14-20

21-26

18-12

26-26

22-26

27-19

26-16

22-24

17-22

12-26

26-15

21-15

20-21

17-21

15-24

22-16

16-29

18-22

17-14

158.7Avg total

76.3Scored

82.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	79.8	83.6	163.4	-3.8	20%
Season at home (2)	76.0	82.5	158.5	-6.5	0%
Season away (3)	82.3	84.3	166.7	-2.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	76.3	82.4	158.7	-6.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	83.6	163.4	-3.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	70.8	81.6	152.4	-10.8	12%
vs Similar (10)	73.8	78.1	151.9	-4.3	20%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	90.8	80.0	170.8	+10.8	75%

This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KTP Kotka Basket Finland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bisons Loimaa

81-88

-7

H03/05

Korisliiga

Bisons Loimaa

71-59

+12

A05/05

Korisliiga

Bisons Loimaa

73-68

H07/05

Korisliiga

Bisons Loimaa

84-90

-6

A09/05

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

92-79

+13

A12/05

Korisliiga

BC Nokia

76-85

-9

A04/10

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

85-97

-12

H07/10

Korisliiga

Kataja

80-89

-9

A11/10

Korisliiga

Bisons Loimaa

65-75

-10

H14/10

Korisliiga

Kobrat

#10

99-105

105

-6

H16/10

Korisliiga

23-29

14-23

22-18

20-7

19-17

11-14

21-21

16-21

21-15

18-20

18-12

18-18

14-20

20-24

32-28

21-17

23-14

24-34

24-14

19-26

19-15

17-25

21-19

26-22

19-27

16-26

24-22

21-8

21-25

18-34

20-22

14-21

24-16

10-23

17-15

26-18

23-35

20-26

30-26

164.1Avg total

80.6Scored

83.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	81.0	90.2	171.2	-9.2	0%
Season at home (3)	83.0	92.3	175.3	-9.3	0%
Season away (2)	78.0	87.0	165.0	-9.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	80.6	83.5	164.1	-2.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	90.2	171.2	-9.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	82.5	93.0	175.5	-10.5	0%
vs Similar (23)	78.5	79.7	158.2	-1.1	52%
vs Weaker (5)	80.6	77.8	158.4	+2.8	80%

This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Salon VilpasKTP Kotka Basket

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	20.7	38.6	-2.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.5	19.9	37.4	-2.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	21.5	39.6	-3.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	15.5	20.3	35.8	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.8	20.1	39.9	-0.3	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	22.2	24.0	46.2	-1.8	25%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	21.2	40.7	-1.6	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.7	39.1	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	23.5	15.0	38.5	+8.5	100%	-
vs Similar (23)	19.0	19.4	38.5	-0.4	35%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	20%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.1	37.4	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.3	19.6	36.9	-2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	18.8	37.9	+0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	20.0	36.3	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.4	43.6	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	17.8	21.3	39.1	-3.5	38%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.9	16.4	33.3	+0.5	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	23.8	17.2	41.0	+6.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.7	38.9	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.4	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.4	18.9	37.3	-0.6	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.7	40.4	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	23.6	44.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	20.0	26.0	46.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (23)	19.2	19.1	38.3	+0.1	48%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	40%	-

Salon VilpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kobrat

38-37

A25/03

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

19-48

-29

H27/03

Korisliiga

Honka

#11

36-33

H04/04

Korisliiga

Kataja

32-39

-7

A08/04

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

36-40

-4

A15/04

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

35-46

-11

H03/10

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

49-45

A07/10

Korisliiga

BC Nokia

39-46

-7

A11/10

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

41-36

A14/10

Korisliiga

Kataja

38-45

-7

H17/10

Korisliiga

77.8Avg total

36.3Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	39.9	76.0	-3.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.8	39.4	74.2	-4.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.3	40.2	77.6	-2.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	41.5	77.8	-5.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	43.6	84.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	33.3	41.6	74.9	-8.3	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.7	36.5	73.2	+0.2	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	46.0	41.2	87.2	+4.8	75%	-

This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bisons Loimaa

37-52

-15

H03/05

Korisliiga

Bisons Loimaa

39-24

+15

A05/05

Korisliiga

Bisons Loimaa

37-36

H07/05

Korisliiga

Bisons Loimaa

32-38

-6

A09/05

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

44-31

+13

A12/05

Korisliiga

BC Nokia

38-41

-3

A04/10

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

45-49

-4

H07/10

Korisliiga

Kataja

42-33

A11/10

Korisliiga

Bisons Loimaa

38-37

H14/10

Korisliiga

Kobrat

#10

49-53

-4

H16/10

Korisliiga

79.5Avg total

40.1Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	38.8	77.5	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.8	41.8	81.7	-2.0	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.8	36.5	74.3	+1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	39.4	79.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	42.6	85.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	43.5	41.0	84.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	38.3	38.5	76.8	-0.3	48%	-
vs Weaker (5)	38.6	39.4	78.0	-0.8	40%	-

This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.9	38.2	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	18.0	35.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.6	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.4	37.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	17.8	20.8	38.6	-2.9	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.3	18.3	36.6	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.8	39.5	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.0	21.3	39.3	-3.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	24.4	42.0	-6.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	26.8	43.0	-10.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	17.0	30.0	47.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (23)	17.8	20.5	38.3	-2.7	30%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.4	18.6	42.0	+4.8	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.5	40.5	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	17.9	38.3	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	22.7	42.5	-2.9	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.2	41.7	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.7	19.2	38.9	+0.4	44%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.8	23.3	42.1	-4.5	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	24.8	18.2	43.0	+6.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.6	42.3	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.4	21.2	44.6	+2.2	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	19.7	42.6	+3.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.8	43.2	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	65%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.2	20%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	40.4	78.7	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.8	35.9	73.7	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.8	44.2	83.1	-5.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	40.9	80.9	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	40.0	79.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	37.5	40.0	77.5	-2.5	31%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.1	41.6	78.7	-4.5	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	44.8	38.8	83.5	+6.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	41.4	81.9	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.2	40.0	79.2	-0.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.4	42.5	83.9	-1.1	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	44.1	84.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	47.6	86.2	-9.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	39.0	52.0	91.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (23)	40.3	41.1	81.4	-0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.0	38.4	80.4	+3.6	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Salon Vilpas wins

KTP Kotka Basket wins

Date	Game	Score
07/10/15	KTP Kotka Basket v Salon Vilpas	85-97
07/03/15	Salon Vilpas v KTP Kotka Basket	67-69
23/01/15	KTP Kotka Basket v Salon Vilpas	98-81
28/11/14	Salon Vilpas v KTP Kotka Basket	73-85
01/10/14	KTP Kotka Basket v Salon Vilpas	81-74
02/04/14	Salon Vilpas v KTP Kotka Basket	87-72
03/02/14	KTP Kotka Basket v Salon Vilpas	86-77
02/01/14	KTP Kotka Basket v Salon Vilpas	94-81
03/11/13	Salon Vilpas v KTP Kotka Basket	72-88
09/03/13	Salon Vilpas v KTP Kotka Basket	84-76

Salon Vilpaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/10/15	H	Kataja	73-81
14/10/15	A	Kauhajoen Karhu	73-81
11/10/15	A	BC Nokia	77-87
07/10/15	A	KTP Kotka Basket	97-85
03/10/15	H	Pyrinto Tampere	79-84
15/04/15	A	Namika Lahti	67-73
08/04/15	A	Kataja	74-87
04/04/15	H	Honka	86-68
27/03/15	H	Kouvot Kouvola	52-91
25/03/15	A	Kobrat	85-87

KTP Kotka Basketlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/10/15	H	Kobrat	99-105
14/10/15	H	Bisons Loimaa	65-75
11/10/15	A	Kataja	80-89
07/10/15	H	Salon Vilpas	85-97
04/10/15	A	BC Nokia	76-85
12/05/15	A	Kauhajoen Karhu	92-79
09/05/15	A	Bisons Loimaa	84-90
07/05/15	H	Bisons Loimaa	73-68
05/05/15	A	Bisons Loimaa	71-59
03/05/15	H	Bisons Loimaa	81-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Salon Vilpas

Korisliiga 2015-16

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	20%
Home	LL	0%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	20%	0%	33%
Points / game	79.8	76.0	82.3
Allowed / game	83.6	82.5	84.3
Point differential	-3.8	-6.5	-2.0
Avg total	163.4	158.5	166.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	0%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

KTP Kotka Basket

Korisliiga 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	81.0	83.0	78.0
Allowed / game	90.2	92.3	87.0
Point differential	-9.2	-9.3	-9.0
Avg total	171.2	175.3	165.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Kouvot Kouvola	4	4	0	100%	101.0	81.8	+19.2
2	BC Nokia	3	3	0	100%	85.7	78.7	+7.0
3	Kataja	4	3	1	75%	85.5	78.8	+6.8
4	Bisons Loimaa	3	2	1	67%	76.0	82.7	-6.7
5	Pyrinto Tampere	5	3	2	60%	82.0	83.0	-1.0
6	Kauhajoen Karhu	4	2	2	50%	78.5	82.5	-4.0
7	Kobrat	5	2	3	40%	89.6	90.4	-0.8
8	Helsinki Seagulls	4	1	3	25%	79.8	83.5	-3.8
9	Salon Vilpas	5	1	4	20%	79.8	83.6	-3.8
10	KTP Kotka Basket	5	0	5	0%	81.0	90.2	-9.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Salon Vilpas	18	17	23	21	79
KTP Kotka Basket	14	13	17	16	60

← all games of the day

Salon Vilpas vs KTP Kotka Basket Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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