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Salon Vilpas vs ToPo Helsinki Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Dec 2011
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 90-86 (OT)
22-20 15-23 17-15 23-19 13-9
Position#8
Record6-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#5
Record11-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game75.6
FinlandKorisliigaRound 21
Other2011-12
Meetings · Salon Vilpas v ToPo Helsinki
28 Mar 2012
SVI72
TOPO79
28 Dec 2011
SVI90
TOPO86
09 Jan 2011
SVI99
TOPO85
02 Oct 2010
SVI86
TOPO75
20 Jan 2010
SVI59
TOPO92
14 Oct 2009
SVI89
TOPO98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Salon Vilpas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
ToPo Helsinki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Salon VilpasFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ToPo Helsinki
#5
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A02/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#3
W
106-99 OT
106
99
+7
H05/11
Korisliiga
Namika Lahti
#11
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A08/11
Korisliiga
Kauhajoen Karhu
#4
L
84-93
84
93
-9
H11/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#1
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H19/11
Korisliiga
Lappeenranta
#7
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A25/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#9
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H30/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#10
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A06/12
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#6
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H14/12
Korisliiga
LoKoKo
#2
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A16/12
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
23-18
12-12
15-19
19-9
15-29
23-19
22-22
14-26
25-20
19-16
24-16
23-23
28-25
20-27
13-18
13-17
16-23
19-17
21-16
15-15
9-19
16-19
16-19
15-22
27-21
12-12
19-23
25-18
16-19
19-20
18-24
21-9
5-21
21-15
27-26
22-12
9-30
19-24
16-22
155.7Avg total
75.8Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.379.3152.7-6.033%
Season at home (9)76.177.7153.8-1.644%
Season away (9)70.681.0151.6-10.422%
Last 10 (10)75.879.9155.7-4.140%
Last 5 (5)69.478.0147.4-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.386.8161.1-12.519%
vs Similar (14)73.478.9152.3-5.436%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToPo HelsinkiFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#10
W
97-77
97
77
+20
A07/11
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#6
W
105-77
105
77
+28
A09/11
Korisliiga
LoKoKo
#2
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H13/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#3
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A21/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#1
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A23/11
Korisliiga
Kauhajoen Karhu
#4
W
105-83
105
83
+22
H30/11
Korisliiga
Namika Lahti
#11
W
107-89
107
89
+18
A03/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#1
L
62-72
62
72
-10
H07/12
Korisliiga
Lappeenranta
#7
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A14/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#9
W
90-88
90
88
+2
H17/12
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
17-26
32-10
30-23
10-19
38-18
32-24
25-16
31-20
21-29
24-21
14-28
16-20
28-24
16-18
16-26
21-20
14-23
11-16
11-15
26-26
30-18
25-16
24-23
26-18
33-21
28-22
20-28
18-20
15-16
16-17
13-19
16-21
19-15
22-19
19-16
27-22
24-20
17-31
22-15
168.2Avg total
86.5Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.875.6159.4+8.261%
Season at home (9)88.179.1167.2+9.067%
Season away (9)79.672.1151.7+7.456%
Last 10 (10)86.581.7168.2+4.860%
Last 5 (5)88.080.6168.6+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.483.4155.9-11.00%
vs Similar (11)84.978.5163.4+6.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)90.779.0169.7+11.783%
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.5-1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.5-1.5
Salon VilpasToPo Helsinki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Salon VilpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ToPo Helsinki
#5
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A02/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#3
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H05/11
Korisliiga
Namika Lahti
#11
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A08/11
Korisliiga
Kauhajoen Karhu
#4
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H11/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#1
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H19/11
Korisliiga
Lappeenranta
#7
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A25/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#9
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H30/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A06/12
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#6
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H14/12
Korisliiga
LoKoKo
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A16/12
Korisliiga
75.3Avg total
36.0Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.440.377.7-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.438.676.1-1.243%-
Last 30 away (16)37.441.779.1-4.338%-
Last 10 (10)36.039.375.3-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)32.837.270.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.542.681.1-4.144%-
vs Similar (14)36.137.673.8-1.536%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToPo HelsinkiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A07/11
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#6
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A09/11
Korisliiga
LoKoKo
#2
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H13/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A21/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#1
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A23/11
Korisliiga
Kauhajoen Karhu
#4
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H30/11
Korisliiga
Namika Lahti
#11
W
59-39
59
39
+20
A03/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#1
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H07/12
Korisliiga
Lappeenranta
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A14/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#9
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H17/12
Korisliiga
86.2Avg total
44.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.940.984.8+3.041%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.340.586.8+5.857%-
Last 30 away (15)41.741.282.9+0.527%-
Last 10 (10)44.841.486.2+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)46.839.486.2+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.441.981.3-2.414%-
vs Similar (10)45.042.387.3+2.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.639.184.7+6.550%-
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Salon Vilpas wins
6
ToPo Helsinki wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/11ALoKoKo66-88
14/12/11HKTP Kotka Basket74-71
06/12/11AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki78-81
30/11/11HKouvot Kouvola73-78
25/11/11ALappeenranta56-72
19/11/11HKataja69-73
11/11/11HKauhajoen Karhu84-93
08/11/11ANamika Lahti82-78
05/11/11HPyrinto Tampere106-99 OT
02/11/11AToPo Helsinki70-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/11HKouvot Kouvola90-88
14/12/11ALappeenranta76-71
07/12/11HKataja62-72
03/12/11ANamika Lahti107-89
30/11/11HKauhajoen Karhu105-83
23/11/11AKataja57-74
21/11/11APyrinto Tampere76-88
13/11/11HLoKoKo90-98
09/11/11AKTP Kotka Basket105-77
07/11/11AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki97-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Salon Vilpas
Korisliiga 2011-12
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWLLLW44%
AwayWWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %33%44%22%
Points / game73.376.170.6
Allowed / game79.377.781.0
Point differential-6.0-1.6-10.4
Avg total152.7153.8151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %6%11%0%
ToPo Helsinki
Korisliiga 2011-12
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW61%
HomeLLWLW67%
AwayWLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%67%56%
Points / game83.888.179.6
Allowed / game75.679.172.1
Point differential+8.2+9.0+7.4
Avg total159.4167.2151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%44%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kataja1916384%84.571.6+12.8
2 LoKoKo1612475%82.277.8+4.4
3 Pyrinto Tampere1712571%86.481.4+5.0
4 ToPo Helsinki1811761%83.875.6+8.2
5 Kauhajoen Karhu1811761%86.881.2+5.6
6 Kouvot Kouvola178947%77.278.4-1.2
7 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki1881044%80.585.6-5.1
8 Lappeenranta1871139%79.282.2-3.0
9 Salon Vilpas1861233%73.379.3-6.0
10 KTP Kotka Basket1951426%80.490.5-10.1
11 Namika Lahti1821611%76.486.6-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Salon Vilpas221517231390
ToPo Helsinki20231519986
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