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Salzburg vs Mistelbach Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#8
Record3-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game96.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game70.0
AustriaZweite LigaRound 21· Sporthalle Alpenstrasse
Other2026-27
Meetings · Salzburg v Mistelbach
06 Mar 2027
SALZ v MIST
upcoming
22 Mar 2025
SALZ63
MIST75
14 Dec 2024
SALZ55
MIST70
01 Oct 2023
SALZ73
MIST67
25 Feb 2023
SALZ83
MIST92
08 Feb 2020
SALZ73
MIST63
18 Nov 2018
SALZ85
MIST61
08 Oct 2017
SALZ70
MIST72
15 Apr 2017
SALZ80
MIST98
28 Oct 2016
SALZ83
MIST95
12 Dec 2015
SALZ95
MIST81
20 Dec 2014
SALZ65
MIST59
29 Nov 2013
SALZ66
MIST91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Salzburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mistelbach win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SalzburgAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSalzburg
Date
Competition
Steiermark
#14
L
80-98
80
98
-18
no box
A22/02
Zweite Liga
Worthersee Piraten
#4
L
73-98
73
98
-25
no box
H28/02
Zweite Liga
Mattersburg
#8
L
73-93
73
93
-20
68avg 61
A07/03
Zweite Liga
Upper Austrian Ballers
#16
W
72-67
72
67
+5
51avg 61
H14/03
Zweite Liga
Traiskirchen Young Lions
#9
L
71-108
71
108
-37
40avg 61
A03/10
Zweite Liga
Upper Austrian Ballers
#12
W
87-84
87
84
+3
63avg 61
H17/10
Zweite Liga
Worthersee Piraten
#3
L
81-105
81
105
-24
63avg 61
A24/10
Zweite Liga
Raiders Tirol
#2
L
88-94
88
94
-6
77avg 61
H31/10
Zweite Liga
Radenthein
#13
W
119-104
119
104
+15
no box
A07/11
Zweite Liga
Celovec
#6
W
94-84
94
84
+10
no box
H14/11
Zweite Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
18-25
23-23
26-26
7-29
15-23
30-21
21-25
21-22
16-24
18-25
18-22
15-19
29-14
16-22
12-12
17-31
13-23
23-27
18-27
36-23
13-16
23-19
15-26
22-35
19-24
14-23
26-23
24-30
20-21
28-30
16-13
30-30
39-31
32-26
18-17
21-24
23-18
28-20
22-22
177.3Avg total
83.8Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.096.5186.5-6.550%
Season at home (3)89.787.3177.0+2.367%
Season away (3)90.3105.7196.0-15.333%
Last 10 (10)83.893.5177.3-9.740%
Last 5 (5)93.894.2188.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)75.289.5164.7-14.320%
vs Similar (3)78.084.3162.3-6.367%
vs Weaker (7)86.182.4168.6+3.757%
This opponent (Mistelbach) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MistelbachAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMistelbach
Date
Competition
Vienna United
#5
W
103-72
103
72
+31
111avg 83
H25/04
Zweite Liga
Wagram
#3
W
87-60
87
60
+27
82avg 83
H02/05
Zweite Liga
Wagram
#3
L
53-96
53
96
-43
40avg 83
A09/05
Zweite Liga
Wagram
#3
L
67-74
67
74
-7
58avg 83
H14/05
Zweite Liga
Vienna United
#11
W
77-63
77
63
+14
75avg 83
H03/10
Zweite Liga
Gussing Blackbirds
#7
W
97-56
97
56
+41
102avg 83
H10/10
Zweite Liga
Wagram
#5
W
81-80
81
80
+1
80avg 83
H17/10
Zweite Liga
Traiskirchen Young Lions
#9
W
90-83
90
83
+7
94avg 83
A25/10
Zweite Liga
Celovec
#6
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 83
A31/10
Zweite Liga
Mattersburg
#10
W
65-63
65
63
+2
no box
H14/11
Zweite Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
26-18
35-17
22-25
21-19
18-25
17-6
31-10
13-30
15-17
15-26
10-23
16-21
22-11
16-25
13-17
18-22
20-14
22-15
17-12
27-24
30-11
15-10
25-11
23-15
25-21
11-17
22-27
25-17
17-21
23-22
25-23
18-20
27-14
16-26
19-15
19-18
16-21
16-7
14-17
152.2Avg total
80.0Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.770.0151.7+11.7100%
Season at home (4)80.065.5145.5+14.5100%
Season away (2)85.079.0164.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.072.2152.2+7.880%
Last 5 (5)82.671.4154.0+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)78.081.0159.0-3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)85.471.2156.6+14.182%
This opponent (Salzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
SalzburgMistelbach
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SalzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Steiermark
#14
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A22/02
Zweite Liga
Worthersee Piraten
#4
L
22-52
22
52
-30
H28/02
Zweite Liga
Mattersburg
#8
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A07/03
Zweite Liga
Upper Austrian Ballers
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H14/03
Zweite Liga
Traiskirchen Young Lions
#9
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A03/10
Zweite Liga
Upper Austrian Ballers
#12
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H17/10
Zweite Liga
Worthersee Piraten
#3
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A24/10
Zweite Liga
Raiders Tirol
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H31/10
Zweite Liga
Radenthein
#13
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A07/11
Zweite Liga
Celovec
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H14/11
Zweite Liga
89.7Avg total
41.1Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.144.383.4-5.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.541.580.0-3.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.847.086.8-7.227%-
Last 10 (10)41.148.689.7-7.540%-
Last 5 (5)49.450.499.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.344.882.1-7.525%-
vs Similar (3)40.043.083.0-3.067%-
vs Weaker (7)44.043.387.3+0.757%-
This opponent (Mistelbach) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MistelbachLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vienna United
#5
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H25/04
Zweite Liga
Wagram
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H02/05
Zweite Liga
Wagram
#3
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A09/05
Zweite Liga
Wagram
#3
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H14/05
Zweite Liga
Vienna United
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H03/10
Zweite Liga
Gussing Blackbirds
#7
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H10/10
Zweite Liga
Wagram
#5
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H17/10
Zweite Liga
Traiskirchen Young Lions
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A25/10
Zweite Liga
Celovec
#6
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A31/10
Zweite Liga
Mattersburg
#10
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H14/11
Zweite Liga
78.7Avg total
41.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.836.380.1+7.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.034.877.8+8.275%-
Last 30 away (14)44.638.182.7+6.664%-
Last 10 (10)41.637.178.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)45.436.481.8+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)45.541.086.5+4.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)43.636.079.6+7.671%-
This opponent (Salzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Salzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Salzburg: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.1
53.6%
54.3%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.16.1
26.4%
31.4%18.3
🏀 Free throws24.316.0
65.8%
64.1%16.0
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mistelbachtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mistelbach: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.4
55.6%
54.3%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.2
31.9%
31.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.218.7
77.3%
64.1%18.7
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Salzburg
WWLLWLWLLL
Mistelbach
WWWWWWLLWW
#8
League position
#1
-20.0
Net rating
+14.6
80.7
Offensive rating
94.8
100.8
Defensive rating
80.3
48.3%
Effective FG%
52.3%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
18.0%
Turnover %
18.9%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.40
26.4%
3-point %
31.9%
42.7%
Assist %
67.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence80.7 · 94.8Defence100.8 · 80.3Shooting48.3% · 52.3%3-point %26.4% · 31.9%Ball care18.0% · 18.9%Free throws0.40 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Salzburg   ■ Mistelbach
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Salzburg wins
7
Mistelbach wins
DateGameScore
17/01/26Mistelbach v Salzburg81-55
22/03/25Salzburg v Mistelbach63-75
15/03/25Mistelbach v Salzburg89-58
14/12/24Salzburg v Mistelbach55-70
11/11/23Mistelbach v Salzburg90-51
01/10/23Salzburg v Mistelbach73-67
25/02/23Salzburg v Mistelbach83-92
06/11/21Mistelbach v Salzburg86-56
26/09/20Mistelbach v Salzburg77-79
08/02/20Salzburg v Mistelbach73-63
Salzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCelovec94-84
07/11/26ARadenthein119-104
31/10/26HRaiders Tirol88-94
24/10/26AWorthersee Piraten81-105
17/10/26HUpper Austrian Ballers87-84
03/10/26ATraiskirchen Young Lions71-108
14/03/26HUpper Austrian Ballers72-67
07/03/26AMattersburg73-93
28/02/26HWorthersee Piraten73-98
22/02/26ASteiermark80-98
Mistelbachlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMattersburg65-63
31/10/26ACelovec80-75
25/10/26ATraiskirchen Young Lions90-83
17/10/26HWagram81-80
10/10/26HGussing Blackbirds97-56
03/10/26HVienna United77-63
14/05/26HWagram67-74
09/05/26AWagram53-96
02/05/26HWagram87-60
25/04/26HVienna United103-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Salzburg
Zweite Liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game90.089.790.3
Allowed / game96.587.3105.7
Point differential-6.5+2.3-15.3
Avg total186.5177.0196.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mistelbach
Zweite Liga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.780.085.0
Allowed / game70.065.579.0
Point differential+11.7+14.5+6.0
Avg total151.7145.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mistelbach660100%81.770.0+11.7
2 Raiders Tirol76186%99.679.7+19.9
3 Worthersee Piraten76186%88.669.1+19.4
4 Vienna Timberwolves75271%92.379.6+12.7
5 Wagram75271%87.775.3+12.4
6 Celovec74357%86.983.3+3.6
7 Gussing Blackbirds63350%73.877.0-3.2
8 Salzburg63350%90.096.5-6.5
9 Traiskirchen Young Lions73443%87.087.1-0.1
10 Mattersburg73443%70.371.7-1.4
11 Vienna United62433%77.280.2-3.0
12 Upper Austrian Ballers62433%82.890.3-7.5
13 Radenthein71614%79.799.3-19.6
14 BK Rapid Wien7070%79.797.1-17.4
15 Steiermark5050%72.6103.6-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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