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Middle Tenn. St. vs Sam Houston St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 74-70
39-31 35-39
Position#76
Record17-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#283
Record11-16
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game75.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Middle Tenn. St. v Sam Houston St.
07 Jan 2027
MIDD v SAM
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
MIDD68
SAM 67
22 Feb 2025
MIDD74
SAM 70
13 Jan 2024
MIDD51
SAM 60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sam Houston St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#92
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H11/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H19/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A25/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H31/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H01/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A16/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-27
44-37
27-28
44-29
36-38
41-37
30-27
39-48
26-35
31-26
36-33
35-35
34-48
29-29
49-34
27-41
44-39
43-38
33-39
41-46
144.0Avg total
72.6Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.271.5147.7+4.765%
Season at home (13)77.767.8145.5+9.977%
Season away (13)74.675.2149.8-0.654%
Last 10 (10)72.671.4144.0+1.260%
Last 5 (5)74.276.4150.6-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)65.373.9139.1-8.643%
vs Similar (14)73.174.9148.0-1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.765.7150.3+19.0100%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#142
L
69-75 OT
69
75
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A18/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H24/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
61-66 OT
61
66
-5
A01/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H14/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H15/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
78-62
78
62
+16
A21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-29
37-33
32-26
30-44
38-36
37-41
34-36
32-39
30-32
21-19
39-38
35-36
29-33
32-31
29-29
37-32
48-28
30-48
43-25
35-37
140.9Avg total
69.8Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.775.3151.1+0.441%
Season at home (11)81.771.4153.1+10.473%
Season away (16)71.678.1149.7-6.419%
Last 10 (10)69.871.1140.9-1.330%
Last 5 (5)73.069.6142.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)68.677.0145.6-8.415%
vs Similar (12)75.876.0151.8-0.250%
vs Weaker (4)96.266.0162.2+30.2100%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -3.4-3.4
Middle Tenn. St.Sam Houston St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#92
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H11/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H19/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A25/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H31/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H01/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A08/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H21/02
NCAA
70.0Avg total
35.2Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.234.370.5+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.131.867.9+4.371%-
Last 30 away (16)36.336.472.8-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)35.234.870.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.677.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.336.368.6-4.043%-
vs Similar (14)34.334.668.9-0.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.232.174.3+10.167%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#142
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A18/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A01/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A08/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H14/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H15/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A21/02
NCAA
65.9Avg total
34.7Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.933.969.9+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.931.470.2+7.571%-
Last 30 away (16)33.436.269.6-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)34.731.265.9+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.630.668.2+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.836.369.1-3.531%-
vs Similar (12)34.832.967.8+1.958%-
vs Weaker (4)48.232.580.8+15.8100%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Middle Tenn. St. wins
2
Sam Houston St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/25HLouisiana Tech74-85
16/02/25AWestern Kentucky87-77
08/02/25AKennesaw State76-75
07/02/25AJacksonville State63-77
01/02/25HUTEP71-68
31/01/25HNew Mexico State57-61
25/01/25ALouisiana Tech69-75
24/01/25ASam Houston St.77-75
19/01/25HWestern Kentucky71-57
11/01/25HJacksonville State81-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/25AWestern Kentucky78-62
15/02/25HKennesaw State78-76
14/02/25HJacksonville State66-61
08/02/25ALiberty61-64
07/02/25AFlorida International82-85 OT
01/02/25ALouisiana Tech61-66 OT
25/01/25HWestern Kentucky66-75
24/01/25HMiddle Tenn. St.75-77
18/01/25AJacksonville State62-70
17/01/25AKennesaw State69-75 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL65%
HomeWWLWL77%
AwayWLLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %65%77%54%
Points / game76.277.774.6
Allowed / game71.567.875.2
Point differential+4.7+9.9-0.6
Avg total147.7145.5149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%46%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)80% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW41%
HomeWLLWW73%
AwayLLLLW19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271116
Win %41%73%19%
Points / game75.781.771.6
Allowed / game75.371.478.1
Point differential+0.4+10.4-6.4
Avg total151.1153.1149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)75% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %11%0%19%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2722581%75.861.1+14.7
2 Jacksonville State2718967%75.168.7+6.4
3 Louisiana Tech2718967%74.368.7+5.5
4 Middle Tenn. St.2617965%76.271.5+4.7
5 UTEP2617965%72.969.0+3.8
6 Kennesaw State27161159%77.773.1+4.6
7 New Mexico State26141254%70.266.6+3.6
8 Western Kentucky26141254%77.275.8+1.4
9 Delaware28121643%77.177.8-0.7
10 Sam Houston St.27111641%75.775.3+0.4
11 Missouri State2891932%68.970.9-2.1
12 Florida International2781930%69.972.4-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Middle Tenn. St.393574
Sam Houston St.313970
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