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Tarleton vs California Baptist Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 84-88
28-40 56-48
Position#235
Record8-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game65.2
Tarleton
USA
vs
California Baptist 🏆
USA
Position#173
Record11-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game66.4
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Tarleton v California Baptist
03 Jan 2026
TARL81
CALI76
16 Jan 2025
TARL67
CALI57
24 Feb 2024
TARL82
CALI65
20 Jan 2022
TARL84
CALI88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
California Baptist winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SAGU
#574
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H09/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A15/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H18/12
NCAA
Air Force
#276
W
67-45
67
45
+22
H22/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#258
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A31/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#112
L
55-77
55
77
-22
A01/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H07/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#55
W
77-71 OT
77
71
+6
H09/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#18
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A14/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#42
L
59-80
59
80
-21
A16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-28
35-47
32-28
30-41
27-25
38-27
21-14
46-31
42-31
41-38
23-34
32-43
42-31
33-33
28-32
34-30
29-35
28-38
22-44
37-36
135.6Avg total
68.1Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)64.065.2129.2-1.242%
Season at home (8)71.959.1131.0+12.888%
Season away (11)58.369.6127.9-11.49%
Last 10 (10)68.167.5135.6+0.660%
Last 5 (5)64.673.0137.6-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)63.571.5135.0-7.927%
vs Similar (9)61.663.6125.1-2.044%
vs Weaker (10)72.559.8132.3+12.770%
This opponent (California Baptist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
California BaptistUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#337
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H03/12
NCAA
North Dakota
#351
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H08/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#150
L
54-70
54
70
-16
A13/12
NCAA
Arizona
#5
L
60-84
60
84
-24
A18/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H22/12
NCAA
La Verne
#647
W
96-41
96
41
+55
H29/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A08/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#258
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H13/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#112
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H16/01
NCAA
Seattle
#51
L
85-92 OT
85
92
-7
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
31-23
40-34
49-37
27-37
27-33
33-40
27-44
43-34
41-34
50-21
46-20
28-28
28-30
41-42
35-37
35-35
40-38
41-33
32-40
143.0Avg total
73.9Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.666.4140.9+8.265%
Season at home (13)81.165.2146.3+15.885%
Season away (4)53.570.0123.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)73.969.1143.0+4.850%
Last 5 (5)77.668.6146.2+9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)63.075.4138.4-12.420%
vs Similar (8)72.878.0150.8-5.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)80.565.0145.5+15.575%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +2.0+2.0
TarletonCalifornia Baptist
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SAGU
#574
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H09/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A15/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H18/12
NCAA
Air Force
#276
W
21-14
21
14
+7
H22/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#258
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A31/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#112
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A01/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H07/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#55
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H09/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#18
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A14/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#42
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A16/01
NCAA
61.4Avg total
31.2Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.930.061.9+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.627.863.5+7.873%-
Last 30 away (19)29.831.261.0-1.442%-
Last 10 (10)31.230.261.4+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)28.835.264.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)29.932.061.9-2.145%-
vs Similar (9)29.730.760.3-1.044%-
vs Weaker (10)36.227.163.3+9.170%-
This opponent (California Baptist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
California BaptistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#337
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H03/12
NCAA
North Dakota
#351
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H08/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#150
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A13/12
NCAA
Arizona
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A18/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H22/12
NCAA
La Verne
#647
W
50-21
50
21
+29
H29/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A08/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#258
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H13/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#112
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H16/01
NCAA
Seattle
#51
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H18/01
NCAA
70.7Avg total
37.1Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.234.171.3+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (22)39.833.172.9+6.777%-
Last 30 away (8)29.937.066.9-7.112%-
Last 10 (10)37.133.670.7+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.031.870.8+7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.035.265.2-5.220%-
vs Similar (8)35.138.473.5-3.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)39.831.871.5+8.081%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tarleton wins
2
California Baptist wins
DateGameScore
17/01/21California Baptist v Tarleton73-67
16/01/21California Baptist v Tarleton83-74
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/22AGrand Canyon59-80
14/01/22ANew Mexico State57-73
09/01/22HStephen F. Austin77-71 OT
07/01/22HSam Houston St.75-64
01/01/22AUtah Valley State55-77
31/12/21AUtah Tech83-69
22/12/21HAir Force67-45
18/12/21HSouth Alabama65-52
15/12/21ASouth Alabama62-69
09/12/21HSAGU81-75
California Baptistlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/22HSeattle85-92 OT
16/01/22HUtah Valley State75-73
13/01/22HUtah Tech76-79
08/01/22AChicago State56-58
29/12/21HLa Verne96-41
22/12/21HSoutheast Missouri State84-68
18/12/21AArizona60-84
13/12/21AUC Riverside54-70
08/12/21HNorth Dakota89-71
03/12/21HCal Poly64-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL42%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %42%88%9%
Points / game64.071.958.3
Allowed / game65.259.169.6
Point differential-1.2+12.8-11.4
Avg total129.2131.0127.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%62%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %5%12%0%
California Baptist
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL65%
HomeWWLWL85%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17134
Win %65%85%0%
Points / game74.681.153.5
Allowed / game66.465.270.0
Point differential+8.2+15.8-16.5
Avg total140.9146.3123.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%54%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %6%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Utah1510567%78.972.8+6.1
2 Abilene Christian1711665%77.864.4+13.5
3 Utah Valley State1711665%75.165.9+9.2
4 California Baptist1711665%74.666.4+8.2
5 UT Arlington178947%67.368.6-1.4
6 Utah Tech1881044%77.275.7+1.5
7 Tarleton1981142%64.065.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton285684
California Baptist404888
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