The SB League showdown on 14 November 2026 pits SAM Massagno against Fribourg Olympic, with the model favouring Fribourg Olympic because of their 7-1 record, 86.6 points per game and only 66.8 points allowed, a stark contrast to Massagno's 6-2 record, 89.8 points scored and 81.5 allowed. Massagno has gone 4-0 at home, averaging 94.0 points and 77.5 allowed, but their last five games show a 3-2 split and a recent loss to Geneva Lions 76-103. Fribourg Olympic has a 3-1 road record, 79.0 points per game and 63.2 allowed, yet their last five road outings were 2-3, including a defeat to CSM Oradea 80-86. Historically, Fribourg Olympic has dominated the 10 meetings, winning nine times, most recently 98-51 on 21 March 2026. Pythia projects a 12% chance for Massagno to win versus 88% for Fribourg Olympic, with a predicted score of 78-91 and a total of 168.3 points. The home team faces an 11.5-point line, with a 44% probability of covering, and the 167.5-point total line has a 51% over probability, while the game has a 3% chance of overtime. The next game will see Fribourg Olympic extend its winning streak against Massagno.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 89.8 | 81.5 | 171.2 | +8.2 | 75% |
| Season at home (4) | 94.0 | 77.5 | 171.5 | +16.5 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 85.5 | 85.5 | 171.0 | +0.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.1 | 83.3 | 172.4 | +5.8 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.6 | 84.0 | 170.6 | +2.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (19) | 79.4 | 98.3 | 177.7 | -18.9 | 21% |
| vs Similar (6) | 88.3 | 84.5 | 172.8 | +3.8 | 67% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 95.8 | 74.2 | 170.0 | +21.6 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 86.6 | 66.8 | 153.4 | +19.9 | 88% |
| Season at home (4) | 94.2 | 70.2 | 164.5 | +24.0 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 79.0 | 63.2 | 142.2 | +15.8 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.7 | 75.3 | 160.0 | +9.4 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.0 | 83.8 | 164.8 | -2.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 71.7 | 85.0 | 156.7 | -13.3 | 14% |
| vs Similar | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (22) | 93.5 | 67.0 | 160.6 | +26.5 | 95% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.8 | 44.7 | 87.4 | -1.9 | 37% | 70% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 45.4 | 43.3 | 88.7 | +2.1 | 47% | 73% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 40.1 | 46.0 | 86.1 | -5.9 | 27% | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.2 | 40.6 | 85.8 | +4.6 | 50% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.6 | 36.2 | 80.8 | +8.4 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (19) | 40.8 | 47.8 | 88.6 | -7.0 | 21% | 79% |
| vs Similar (6) | 43.3 | 43.0 | 86.3 | +0.3 | 33% | 67% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 49.6 | 34.8 | 84.4 | +14.8 | 100% | 40% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.4 | 36.5 | 80.9 | +7.9 | 70% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 45.6 | 37.9 | 83.5 | +7.6 | 65% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 42.9 | 34.6 | 77.5 | +8.3 | 77% | 38% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.2 | 36.4 | 78.6 | +5.8 | 60% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.6 | 43.0 | 82.6 | -3.4 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 36.1 | 43.3 | 79.4 | -7.1 | 29% | 29% |
| vs Similar | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (22) | 47.5 | 34.0 | 81.5 | +13.5 | 86% | 50% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fribourg Olympic -7 | 72.0% | 1.56 | 1.58 | 1.54 | - | - | - | +13.4pp | Lost |
| Fribourg Olympic (regulation) | 86.0% | 1.20 | 1.21 | 1.21 | 1.19 | - | - | +12.4pp | Lost |
| Fribourg Olympic -5.5 | 75.9% | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.39 | - | - | - | +11.3pp | Lost |
| Fribourg Olympic over 83.5 | 76.7% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +11.2pp | Lost |
| Fribourg Olympic -4.5 | 78.8% | 1.33 | 1.34 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +10.9pp | Lost |
| Fribourg Olympic -6.5 | 72.9% | 1.46 | 1.51 | 1.47 | 1.46 | 1.41 | - | +10.4pp | Lost |
| Fribourg Olympic -3.5 | 81.4% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +10.2pp | Lost |
| Fribourg Olympic over 82.5 | 79.7% | 1.30 | 1.31 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Lost |
| Fribourg Olympic over 85.5 | 70.2% | 1.47 | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | +9.4pp | Lost |
| Fribourg Olympic over 80.5 | 84.8% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Lost |
| Fribourg Olympic over 78.5 | 89.0% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Lost |
| Fribourg Olympic over 79.5 | 87.0% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +8.2pp | Lost |
| Fribourg Olympic over 76.5 | 92.3% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Lost |
| Fribourg Olympic over 84.5 | 73.6% | 1.40 | 1.41 | 1.40 | 1.39 | - | - | +7.9pp | Lost |
| Fribourg Olympic -1.5 | 86.1% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Lost |
| Fribourg Olympic win | 87.6% | 1.17 | 1.21 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.18 | 1.17 | +7.2pp | Lost |
| Fribourg Olympic over 74.5 | 94.7% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Lost |
| Fribourg Olympic over 72.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Lost |
| Fribourg Olympic over 70.5 | 97.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Lost |
| SAM Massagno under 84.5 | 75.8% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic over 69.5 | 98.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Lost |
| Fribourg Olympic over 68.5 | 98.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Lost |
| Fribourg Olympic +8.5 | 96.3% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Lost |
| SAM Massagno under 83.5 | 72.7% | 1.35 | 1.37 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic +13.5 | 98.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Lost |
| SAM Massagno under 97.5 | 96.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| SAM Massagno under 88.5 | 85.9% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 97.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| SAM Massagno under 85.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| SAM Massagno under 95.5 | 95.5% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic +3.5 | 91.7% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Lost |
| SAM Massagno under 93.5 | 93.7% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| SAM Massagno under 87.5 | 83.7% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| SAM Massagno under 89.5 | 87.9% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| SAM Massagno under 91.5 | 91.1% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Over 142.5 | 94.3% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Over 152.5 | 83.2% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Lost |
| Under 192.5 | 92.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Over 147.5 | 89.8% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Lost |
| SAM Massagno +20.5 | 74.2% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Over 157.5 | 74.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Lost |
| Under 187.5 | 88.0% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| SAM Massagno +19.5 | 71.3% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| SAM Massagno over 68.5 | 81.1% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| Under 182.5 | 81.0% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +1.5pp | Won |
| SAM Massagno over 67.5 | 83.7% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| SAM Massagno over 69.5 | 78.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Won |
| Under 177.5 | 71.8% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Won |
| SAM Massagno over 71.5 | 72.0% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | -0.4pp | Won |
| SAM Massagno +21.5 | 77.0% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -0.8pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 47.3 | 26.2 | 52.7% | 52.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.9 | 7.8 | 31.5% | 23.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.7 | 13.9 | 70.3% | 13.9 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.8 | 18.6 | 52.7% | 37.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.9 | 10.7 | 31.5% | 32.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 15.7 | 11.7 | 70.3% | 11.7 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 | Fribourg Olympic v SAM Massagno | 98-51 |
| 24/01/26 | SAM Massagno v Fribourg Olympic | 85-112 |
| 08/11/25 | Fribourg Olympic v SAM Massagno | 121-85 |
| 10/05/25 | SAM Massagno v Fribourg Olympic | 78-90 |
| 07/05/25 | Fribourg Olympic v SAM Massagno | 96-82 |
| 03/05/25 | Fribourg Olympic v SAM Massagno | 96-76 |
| 12/04/25 | Fribourg Olympic v SAM Massagno | 117-69 |
| 01/02/25 | SAM Massagno v Fribourg Olympic | 91-88 OT |
| 09/11/24 | Fribourg Olympic v SAM Massagno | 107-76 |
| 07/05/24 | SAM Massagno v Fribourg Olympic | 77-91 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Geneva Lions | 76-103 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Zurich | 85-68 |
| 24/10/26 | H | BBC Monthey | 97-83 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Lugano Tigers | 102-72 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Sdent BBC Nyon | 73-94 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Neuchatel | 104-75 |
| 30/09/26 | H | Lausanne Basket | 90-84 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Regio Basel | 91-73 |
| 25/04/26 | H | Regio Basel | 86-89 |
| 22/04/26 | A | Regio Basel | 87-92 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | CSM Oradea | 80-86 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Lausanne Basket | 92-75 |
| 04/11/26 | H | VEF Riga | 65-97 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Sdent BBC Nyon | 85-66 |
| 28/10/26 | A | Lok. Plovdiv | 83-95 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Regio Basel | 94-58 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Neftchi IK | 78-73 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Zurich | 89-43 |
| 13/10/26 | H | Mykonos | 65-80 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Lugano Tigers | 116-80 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWL | 75% |
| Home | WWWW | 100% |
| Away | WLWL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 89.8 | 94.0 | 85.5 |
| Allowed / game | 81.5 | 77.5 | 85.5 |
| Point differential | +8.2 | +16.5 | +0.0 |
| Avg total | 171.2 | 171.5 | 171.0 |
| Over 167 | 62% | 75% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 62% | 75% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 88% |
| Home | WWWW | 100% |
| Away | WLWW | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 88% | 100% | 75% |
| Points / game | 86.6 | 94.2 | 79.0 |
| Allowed / game | 66.8 | 70.2 | 63.2 |
| Point differential | +19.9 | +24.0 | +15.8 |
| Avg total | 153.4 | 164.5 | 142.2 |
| Over 167 | 12% | 25% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 62% | 75% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 95.4 | 61.2 | +34.1 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 86.6 | 66.8 | +19.9 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 89.8 | 81.5 | +8.2 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 84.0 | 76.5 | +7.5 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 83.6 | 78.5 | +5.1 | |
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 68.1 | 76.9 | -8.8 | |
| 7 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 79.9 | 88.4 | -8.5 | |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 74.0 | 84.9 | -10.9 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 70.5 | 87.8 | -17.2 | |
| 10 | Zurich | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0% | 59.0 | 88.5 | -29.5 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 22 | 18 | 81 | |
| 7 | 25 | 13 | 21 | 66 |
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