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Samford vs Belmont Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 99-93
44-36 55-57
Position#12
Record8-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game75.6
Samford 🏆
USA
vs
Belmont
USA
Position#128
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game78.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Samford v Belmont
16 Dec 2023
SAMF99
BELM93
05 Dec 2021
SAMF73
BELM85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belmont winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#8
L
45-98
45
98
-53
A06/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A11/11
NCAA
Mississippi Coll.
#589
W
96-52
96
52
+44
H15/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H18/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
W
99-67
99
67
+32
H23/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H24/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
101-83
101
83
+18
H25/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H01/12
NCAA
La Grange
#612
W
128-82
128
82
+46
H03/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
118-91
118
91
+27
H12/12
NCAA
1H
2H
17-51
28-47
34-31
31-44
52-23
44-29
48-32
41-40
41-27
58-40
33-30
46-41
58-33
43-50
42-26
46-39
61-29
67-53
64-45
54-46
166.4Avg total
90.8Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)90.875.6166.4+15.280%
Season at home (8)99.872.9172.6+26.9100%
Season away (2)55.086.5141.5-31.50%
Last 10 (10)90.875.6166.4+15.280%
Last 5 (5)102.878.4181.2+24.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)73.579.2152.6-5.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)83.770.5154.2+13.288%
This opponent (Belmont) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#191
L
76-99
76
99
-23
A11/11
NCAA
Berry
#525
W
93-59
93
59
+34
H15/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
68-100
68
100
-32
A18/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#187
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A24/11
NCAA
Penn
#295
W
84-79 OT
84
79
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#316
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A30/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H02/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H07/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-46
45-53
55-34
38-25
35-56
33-44
37-51
47-42
37-27
35-45
38-28
41-41
37-31
53-39
43-34
34-34
44-26
28-45
38-30
37-35
157.1Avg total
79.8Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.678.2158.8+2.573%
Season at home (5)82.070.8152.8+11.2100%
Season away (6)79.584.3163.8-4.850%
Last 10 (10)79.877.3157.1+2.570%
Last 5 (5)78.668.6147.2+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.381.0153.3-8.743%
vs Similar (9)74.876.0150.8-1.256%
vs Weaker (13)81.569.2150.7+12.292%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +12.3+12.31st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -1.2-1.2
-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +12.3+12.31st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -1.2-1.2
SamfordBelmont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#8
L
17-51
17
51
-34
A06/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A11/11
NCAA
Mississippi Coll.
#589
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H15/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H18/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H23/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H24/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H25/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H01/12
NCAA
La Grange
#612
W
61-29
61
29
+32
H03/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
64-45
64
45
+19
H12/12
NCAA
77.7Avg total
45.0Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.933.871.6+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.932.974.8+9.078%-
Last 30 away (12)31.835.166.9-3.350%-
Last 10 (10)45.032.777.7+12.390%-
Last 5 (5)51.632.684.2+19.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)31.738.169.8-6.427%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)39.631.971.5+7.888%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#191
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A11/11
NCAA
Berry
#525
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H15/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A18/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#187
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A24/11
NCAA
Penn
#295
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A25/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#316
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A30/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H02/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H07/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A10/12
NCAA
75.8Avg total
39.5Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.336.775.0+1.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.636.177.7+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)35.137.372.3-2.253%-
Last 10 (10)39.536.375.8+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.029.869.8+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.745.479.1-11.70%-
vs Similar (9)36.835.472.2+1.367%-
vs Weaker (13)40.633.073.6+7.692%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Samford wins
2
Belmont wins
DateGameScore
22/12/22Belmont v Samford79-56
05/12/21Samford v Belmont73-85
05/12/20Belmont v Samford83-96
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/23HAlabama A&M Bulldogs118-91
03/12/23HLa Grange128-82
01/12/23HLouisiana Lafayette88-65
25/11/23HN. Carolina A&T101-83
24/11/23HMerrimack Warriors79-71
23/11/23HAlabama State99-67
18/11/23HSouth Carolina St89-72
15/11/23HMississippi Coll.96-52
11/11/23AVCU Rams65-75
06/11/23APurdue45-98
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23AMiddle Tenn. St.75-65
07/12/23HLipscomb72-71
02/12/23HValparaiso77-68
30/11/23ANorthern Iowa90-70
26/11/23HLafayette79-69
25/11/23APenn84-79 OT
24/11/23AMonmouth84-93
18/11/23AArizona68-100
15/11/23HBerry93-59
11/11/23AFurman76-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %80%100%0%
Points / game90.899.855.0
Allowed / game75.672.986.5
Point differential+15.2+26.9-31.5
Avg total166.4172.6141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%88%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Belmont
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%100%50%
Points / game80.682.079.5
Allowed / game78.270.884.3
Point differential+2.5+11.2-4.8
Avg total158.8152.8163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC Greensboro98189%80.170.7+9.4
2 Samford108280%90.875.6+15.2
3 Western Carolina97278%77.270.4+6.8
4 Chattanooga Mocs96367%79.967.0+12.9
5 East Tennessee St106460%71.867.3+4.5
6 Citadel116555%71.266.4+4.8
7 Wofford105550%79.180.2-1.1
8 Furman115645%86.582.0+4.5
9 Mercer104640%65.472.3-6.9
10 VMI112918%70.372.9-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1110191%88.071.0+17.0
2 Drake1110191%77.566.9+10.6
3 Evansville97278%82.271.4+10.8
4 Belmont118373%80.678.2+2.5
5 Southern Illinois96367%77.165.9+11.2
6 Illinois (Chi.)117464%73.462.5+10.8
7 Bradley106460%72.371.3+1.0
8 Illinois State106460%66.265.6+0.6
9 Valparaiso104640%67.870.0-2.2
10 Northern Iowa114736%75.974.0+1.9
11 Murray State93633%74.372.4+1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford445599
Belmont365793
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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