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Belmont vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-68
43-34 34-34
Position#128
Record5-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game82.0
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#355
Record4-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Belmont v Valparaiso
13 Jan 2026
BELM78
VALP74
14 Jan 2025
BELM71
VALP64
07 Mar 2024
BELM86
VALP61
02 Dec 2023
BELM77
VALP68
01 Dec 2022
BELM76
VALP64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#248
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A26/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
91-94
91
94
-3
H03/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H07/11
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
76-99
76
99
-23
A11/11
NCAA
Berry
#525
W
93-59
93
59
+34
H15/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
68-100
68
100
-32
A18/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#187
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A24/11
NCAA
Penn
#295
W
84-79 OT
84
79
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#316
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-36
45-39
44-49
47-45
47-45
42-42
31-46
45-53
55-34
38-25
35-56
33-44
37-51
47-42
37-27
35-45
38-28
41-41
37-31
53-39
166.2Avg total
83.7Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.982.0164.9+0.962%
Season at home (3)87.071.7158.7+15.3100%
Season away (5)80.488.2168.6-7.840%
Last 10 (10)83.782.5166.2+1.260%
Last 5 (5)81.082.2163.2-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.381.0153.3-8.743%
vs Similar (11)76.275.7151.9+0.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.569.7152.2+12.791%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#45
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H23/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
50-78
50
78
-28
A03/03
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#695
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H07/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H15/11
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A18/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H25/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
65-83
65
83
-18
H30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-42
36-34
32-33
33-32
25-38
25-40
62-23
38-38
25-21
31-45
26-31
38-28
45-38
19-49
34-27
39-39
31-24
40-35
36-37
29-46
139.7Avg total
68.5Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.468.7139.1+1.757%
Season at home (6)71.565.7137.2+5.867%
Season away (1)64.087.0151.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)68.571.2139.7-2.740%
Last 5 (5)67.470.8138.2-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)65.474.1139.5-8.619%
vs Similar (9)70.772.6143.2-1.956%
vs Weaker (5)81.865.0146.8+16.880%
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: -5.8-5.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: -5.8-5.8
BelmontValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#248
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H03/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H07/11
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A11/11
NCAA
Berry
#525
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H15/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A18/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#187
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A24/11
NCAA
Penn
#295
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A25/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#316
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A30/11
NCAA
80.2Avg total
39.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.436.674.0+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.335.876.1+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)34.537.371.9-2.847%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.380.2-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)36.838.675.4-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.745.479.1-11.70%-
vs Similar (11)35.034.569.5+0.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.633.273.8+7.591%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#45
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H23/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A03/03
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#695
W
62-23
62
23
+39
H07/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H11/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H15/11
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A18/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H25/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H30/11
NCAA
66.0Avg total
34.6Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.233.567.7+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.531.066.5+4.561%-
Last 30 away (12)32.237.269.5-5.042%-
Last 10 (10)34.631.466.0+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.431.465.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.235.266.5-4.038%-
vs Similar (9)34.734.369.0+0.356%-
vs Weaker (5)42.826.469.2+16.4100%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Belmont wins
0
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
11/01/23Valparaiso v Belmont59-74
02/12/22Belmont v Valparaiso76-64
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23ANorthern Iowa90-70
26/11/23HLafayette79-69
25/11/23APenn84-79 OT
24/11/23AMonmouth84-93
18/11/23AArizona68-100
15/11/23HBerry93-59
11/11/23AFurman76-99
07/11/23HGeorgia State89-87
03/03/23HIndiana State91-94
26/02/23ANorthern Iowa83-75
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23HDrake65-83
25/11/23HSouthern Univ.71-59
22/11/23HWestern Illinois73-66
18/11/23AIllinois64-87
15/11/23HWisc. Green Bay64-59
11/11/23HIUPUI56-66
07/11/23HTrinity (IL)100-61
03/03/23AMurray State50-78
26/02/23AMurray State76-77 OT
23/02/23HBradley66-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%100%40%
Points / game82.987.080.4
Allowed / game82.071.788.2
Point differential+0.9+15.3-7.8
Avg total164.9158.7168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %57%67%0%
Points / game70.471.564.0
Allowed / game68.765.787.0
Point differential+1.7+5.8-23.0
Avg total139.1137.2151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Evansville76186%84.965.4+19.4
2 Indiana State76186%87.473.0+14.4
3 Drake76186%80.671.6+9.0
4 Bradley76186%75.069.3+5.7
5 Southern Illinois64267%75.865.5+10.3
6 Illinois (Chi.)85362%74.462.6+11.8
7 Belmont85362%82.982.0+0.9
8 Valparaiso74357%70.468.7+1.7
9 Illinois State74357%66.665.9+0.7
10 Murray State63350%77.873.0+4.8
11 Northern Iowa72529%73.473.0+0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont433477
Valparaiso343468
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