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Belmont vs Samford Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 79-56
38-26 41-30
Position#79
Record7-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game74.4
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#78
Record6-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Belmont v Samford
21 Dec 2022
BELM79
SAMF56
05 Dec 2020
BELM83
SAMF96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lipscomb
#116
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A15/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H18/11
NCAA
George Mason
#120
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A19/11
NCAA
Howard
#99
W
96-73
96
73
+23
H21/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H02/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A04/12
NCAA
Trevecca Nazarene
#511
W
83-53
83
53
+30
H07/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
75-85 OT
75
85
-10
H10/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
83-79 OT
83
79
+4
A18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-37
41-40
31-44
50-45
30-26
36-36
47-34
49-39
31-29
37-37
33-27
43-37
31-30
46-57
46-26
37-27
30-30
40-40
30-31
38-37
151.5Avg total
78.0Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.074.4151.4+2.658%
Season at home (6)80.272.2152.3+8.067%
Season away (6)73.876.7150.5-2.850%
Last 10 (10)78.073.5151.5+4.560%
Last 5 (5)78.873.6152.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.082.3141.3-23.30%
vs Similar ◀ (10)71.971.7143.6+0.250%
vs Weaker (16)81.966.3148.2+15.694%
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belhaven
#587
W
90-38
90
38
+52
H12/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#254
W
84-64
84
64
+20
A18/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#273
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H20/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
79-49
79
49
+30
H23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H25/11
NCAA
UT Southern
#316
L
82-84
82
84
-2
H27/11
NCAA
DePaul
#332
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
A01/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
A04/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A11/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-21
45-17
40-29
44-35
43-28
35-35
52-22
27-27
35-33
41-46
35-35
47-49
49-50
40-39
31-33
39-37
32-37
26-38
35-40
26-22
148.0Avg total
78.3Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.070.2151.2+10.850%
Season at home (7)84.965.6150.4+19.371%
Season away (5)75.676.8152.4-1.220%
Last 10 (10)78.369.7148.0+8.640%
Last 5 (5)75.280.8156.0-5.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.679.1153.8-4.550%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.073.2145.2-1.250%
vs Weaker (12)83.067.7150.7+15.367%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +2.5+2.5
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +2.5+2.5
BelmontSamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lipscomb
#116
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A15/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H18/11
NCAA
George Mason
#120
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A19/11
NCAA
Howard
#99
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H21/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H02/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A04/12
NCAA
Trevecca Nazarene
#511
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H07/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H10/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A18/12
NCAA
65.7Avg total
34.3Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.532.467.9+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.131.467.5+4.760%-
Last 30 away (15)34.933.568.4+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)34.331.465.7+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)34.028.862.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.740.069.7-10.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.933.965.8-2.030%-
vs Weaker (16)38.729.768.4+9.088%-
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belhaven
#587
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H12/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#254
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A18/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#273
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H20/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
52-22
52
22
+30
H23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H25/11
NCAA
UT Southern
#316
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H27/11
NCAA
DePaul
#332
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A01/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A04/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A11/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A17/12
NCAA
72.5Avg total
39.7Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.734.673.3+4.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.831.471.2+8.471%-
Last 30 away (13)37.238.875.9-1.631%-
Last 10 (10)39.732.872.5+6.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.075.4-2.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.937.070.9-3.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.735.373.0+2.440%-
vs Weaker (12)42.732.475.1+10.275%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Belmont wins
1
Samford wins
DateGameScore
05/12/21Samford v Belmont73-85
05/12/20Belmont v Samford83-96
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22AChattanooga Mocs83-79 OT
10/12/22HMiddle Tenn. St.75-85 OT
07/12/22HTrevecca Nazarene83-53
04/12/22AIllinois State77-87
02/12/22HValparaiso76-64
27/11/22AGeorgia State68-66
21/11/22HHoward96-73
19/11/22AGeorge Mason66-62
18/11/22HTarleton81-89
15/11/22ALipscomb75-77
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/22ASouth Carolina St61-62
11/12/22ALouisiana Lafayette58-75
04/12/22AUCF Knights77-80 OT
01/12/22ADePaul98-103 OT
27/11/22HUT Southern82-84
25/11/22HLouisiana Tech76-79
23/11/22HValparaiso79-49
20/11/22HTexas Southern78-63
18/11/22AAlabama A&M Bulldogs84-64
12/11/22HBelhaven90-38

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game77.080.273.8
Allowed / game74.472.276.7
Point differential+2.6+8.0-2.8
Avg total151.4152.3150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %17%17%17%
Samford
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%71%20%
Points / game81.084.975.6
Allowed / game70.265.676.8
Point differential+10.8+19.3-1.2
Avg total151.2150.4152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %17%0%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake1310377%75.865.0+10.8
2 Indiana State129375%83.572.6+10.9
3 Bradley128467%68.859.8+9.0
4 Southern Illinois128467%68.861.5+7.3
5 Illinois (Chi.)138562%69.567.9+1.5
6 Belmont127558%77.074.4+2.6
7 Murray State127558%72.069.8+2.2
8 Illinois State136746%67.869.5-1.6
9 Valparaiso136746%70.274.2-4.0
10 Northern Iowa125742%70.265.4+4.8
11 Evansville123925%61.171.2-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman139469%82.672.9+9.7
2 Chattanooga Mocs138562%80.568.7+11.8
3 Wofford138562%76.567.2+9.4
4 Western Carolina137654%79.269.0+10.2
5 Mercer137654%77.268.8+8.3
6 Samford126650%81.070.2+10.8
7 NC Greensboro126650%70.865.6+5.2
8 VMI125742%76.874.2+2.7
9 Citadel125742%70.974.4-3.5
10 East Tennessee St124833%71.268.7+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont384179
Samford263056
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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