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Samford vs Chattanooga Mocs Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 89-74
46-43 43-31
Position#12
Record11-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game75.0
Samford 🏆
USA
vs
Position#103
Record8-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game71.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Samford v Chattanooga Mocs
24 Jan 2026
SAMF75
CHAT64
12 Feb 2025
SAMF68
CHAT82
03 Jan 2024
SAMF89
CHAT74
04 Mar 2023
SAMF82
CHAT85
14 Jan 2023
SAMF75
CHAT74
02 Feb 2022
SAMF80
CHAT72
20 Jan 2021
SAMF64
CHAT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chattanooga Mocs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#266
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H18/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
W
99-67
99
67
+32
H23/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H24/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
101-83
101
83
+18
H25/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H01/12
NCAA
La Grange
#612
W
128-82
128
82
+46
H03/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
118-91
118
91
+27
H12/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
99-93
99
93
+6
H16/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
79-61
79
61
+18
A19/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
87-65
87
65
+22
A22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
48-32
41-40
41-27
58-40
33-30
46-41
58-33
43-50
42-26
46-39
61-29
67-53
64-45
54-46
44-36
55-57
35-27
44-34
41-21
46-44
171.7Avg total
96.7Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)90.275.0165.2+15.285%
Season at home (9)99.775.1174.8+24.6100%
Season away (4)69.074.8143.8-5.850%
Last 10 (10)96.775.0171.7+21.7100%
Last 5 (5)102.278.4180.6+23.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)75.279.2154.4-4.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.371.4156.7+13.989%
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chattanooga MocsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H19/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
77-85 OT
77
85
-8
H24/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H26/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A29/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A03/12
NCAA
Wesleyan Univ.
#687
W
112-51
112
51
+61
H10/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
88-72
88
72
+16
A17/12
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#195
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H20/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#157
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A22/12
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
66-101
66
101
-35
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-34
39-29
40-36
30-34
35-25
37-31
27-41
41-41
36-40
44-47
52-21
60-30
39-34
49-38
26-34
43-32
23-33
49-39
27-49
39-52
153.1Avg total
78.3Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.871.3150.2+7.562%
Season at home (7)79.961.3141.1+18.686%
Season away (6)77.783.0160.7-5.333%
Last 10 (10)78.374.8153.1+3.550%
Last 5 (5)83.675.0158.6+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)70.486.4156.8-16.00%
vs Similar (10)74.277.9152.1-3.730%
vs Weaker (13)76.769.0145.7+7.777%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-20-10+0+10+201st half1st half: +16.1+16.11st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: +5.8+5.8
-20-10+0+10+201st half1st half: +16.1+16.11st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: +5.8+5.8
SamfordChattanooga Mocs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#266
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H18/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H23/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H24/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H25/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H01/12
NCAA
La Grange
#612
W
61-29
61
29
+32
H03/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
64-45
64
45
+19
H12/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H16/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A19/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A22/12
NCAA
77.3Avg total
46.7Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.833.372.1+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.332.975.3+9.478%-
Last 30 away (12)33.533.867.3-0.358%-
Last 10 (10)46.730.677.3+16.1100%-
Last 5 (5)49.031.680.6+17.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)32.338.170.4-5.830%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)40.431.471.9+9.089%-
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chattanooga MocsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#322
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H19/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H24/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A29/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A03/12
NCAA
Wesleyan Univ.
#687
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H10/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A17/12
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#195
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H20/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#157
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A22/12
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A31/12
NCAA
68.1Avg total
33.4Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.934.070.0+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.932.769.7+4.260%-
Last 30 away (15)34.935.370.3-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)33.434.768.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)33.434.267.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)32.841.874.6-9.00%-
vs Similar (10)35.437.572.9-2.140%-
vs Weaker (13)35.830.566.3+5.477%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Samford wins
4
Chattanooga Mocs wins
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23ATexas Southern87-65
19/12/23AValparaiso79-61
16/12/23HBelmont99-93
12/12/23HAlabama A&M Bulldogs118-91
03/12/23HLa Grange128-82
01/12/23HLouisiana Lafayette88-65
25/11/23HN. Carolina A&T101-83
24/11/23HMerrimack Warriors79-71
23/11/23HAlabama State99-67
18/11/23HSouth Carolina St89-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/23AAuburn66-101
22/12/23AWisc. Milwaukee83-85 OT
20/12/23HGardner Webb69-66
17/12/23AAlabama A&M Bulldogs88-72
10/12/23HWesleyan Univ.112-51
03/12/23AMorehead State80-87
29/11/23ALipscomb68-82
26/11/23HSoutheast Missouri State72-56
24/11/23HEvansville77-85 OT
19/11/23HTennessee Tech68-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %85%100%50%
Points / game90.299.769.0
Allowed / game75.075.174.8
Point differential+15.2+24.6-5.8
Avg total165.2174.8143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%78%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chattanooga Mocs
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%86%33%
Points / game78.879.977.7
Allowed / game71.361.383.0
Point differential+7.5+18.6-5.3
Avg total150.2141.1160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %15%14%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Carolina1412286%77.466.4+11.0
2 Samford1311285%90.275.0+15.2
3 NC Greensboro1410471%78.669.9+8.6
4 East Tennessee St149564%72.867.8+5.0
5 Chattanooga Mocs138562%78.871.3+7.5
6 Citadel148657%73.266.5+6.7
7 Wofford148657%80.676.6+4.0
8 Mercer147750%69.970.9-1.0
9 Furman146843%83.580.1+3.4
10 VMI1431121%70.673.0-2.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford464389
Chattanooga Mocs433174
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