PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Samford vs East Tennessee St Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 76-69
40-38 36-31
Position#12
Record28-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game74.1
Samford 🏆
USA
vs
East Tennessee St
USA
Position#170
Record19-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game69.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Samford v East Tennessee St
02 Jan 2027
SAMF v EAST
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
SAMF75
EAST76
18 Jan 2025
SAMF60
EAST65
11 Mar 2024
SAMF76
EAST69
24 Feb 2024
SAMF87
EAST71
04 Feb 2023
SAMF73
EAST62
15 Jan 2022
SAMF85
EAST88
22 Feb 2020
SAMF74
EAST80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
East Tennessee St winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#80
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A09/02
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
102-63
102
63
+39
A10/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H15/02
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H22/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H24/02
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
69-91
69
91
-22
A29/02
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
92-80
92
80
+12
H02/03
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H09/03
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-42
43-27
56-35
46-28
38-29
50-33
40-38
44-50
30-26
44-46
53-27
34-44
29-37
40-54
39-37
53-43
37-28
33-29
34-28
50-49
155.8Avg total
82.8Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)86.374.1160.4+12.285%
Season at home (20)93.174.7167.8+18.4100%
Season away (13)75.873.2148.9+2.662%
Last 10 (10)82.873.0155.8+9.880%
Last 5 (5)80.475.2155.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)81.566.5148.0+15.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)87.074.3161.3+12.889%
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East Tennessee StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#191
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H10/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A15/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A17/02
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H22/02
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A24/02
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
81-63
81
63
+18
A29/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H02/03
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
98-66
98
66
+32
H09/03
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A09/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
A10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-30
34-35
30-45
41-39
30-25
35-45
52-30
30-39
27-53
44-34
38-29
43-34
32-23
34-42
42-31
56-35
29-23
44-39
27-38
52-41
147.0Avg total
75.5Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)71.569.0140.5+2.558%
Season at home (15)74.664.4139.0+10.280%
Season away (18)68.972.9141.8-4.039%
Last 10 (10)75.571.5147.0+4.060%
Last 5 (5)80.668.0148.6+12.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)69.579.0148.5-9.512%
vs Similar (16)68.364.8133.1+3.669%
vs Weaker (5)81.870.2152.0+11.6100%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: +3.0+3.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: +3.0+3.0
SamfordEast Tennessee St
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#80
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A09/02
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A10/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H15/02
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/02
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H22/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H24/02
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A29/02
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H02/03
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H09/03
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H10/03
NCAA
71.8Avg total
39.1Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.532.474.8+10.190%-
Last 30 at home (19)45.632.978.5+12.6100%-
Last 30 away (11)37.131.468.5+5.773%-
Last 10 (10)39.132.771.8+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)38.431.469.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)37.529.066.5+8.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)42.132.774.9+9.489%-
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East Tennessee StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#191
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H10/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A15/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A17/02
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H22/02
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A24/02
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A29/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H02/03
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H09/03
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A09/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A10/03
NCAA
66.3Avg total
33.6Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.132.265.3+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.430.065.4+5.464%-
Last 30 away (16)31.034.165.1-3.150%-
Last 10 (10)33.632.766.3+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)33.628.862.4+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)28.539.467.9-10.912%-
vs Similar (16)32.129.361.4+2.869%-
vs Weaker (5)39.832.472.2+7.480%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Samford wins
3
East Tennessee St wins
DateGameScore
24/02/24Samford v East Tennessee St87-71
27/01/24East Tennessee St v Samford72-75
04/02/23Samford v East Tennessee St73-62
19/01/23East Tennessee St v Samford59-69
12/02/22East Tennessee St v Samford73-77
15/01/22Samford v East Tennessee St85-88
22/02/20Samford v East Tennessee St74-80
16/01/20East Tennessee St v Samford88-63
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HFurman84-77
09/03/24HMercer70-57
02/03/24HCitadel92-80
29/02/24AWofford69-91
24/02/24HEast Tennessee St87-71
22/02/24HFurman74-72
17/02/24AMercer84-88
15/02/24HWestern Carolina88-62
10/02/24AVMI102-63
09/02/24ANC Greensboro78-69
East Tennessee Stlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24AChattanooga Mocs85-84 OT
09/03/24ANC Greensboro73-62
09/03/24HVMI98-66
02/03/24HNC Greensboro66-65
29/02/24ACitadel81-63
24/02/24ASamford71-87
22/02/24HVMI82-69
17/02/24AWestern Carolina65-70
15/02/24AChattanooga Mocs71-84
10/02/24HFurman63-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games332013
Win %85%100%62%
Points / game86.393.175.8
Allowed / game74.174.773.2
Point differential+12.2+18.4+2.6
Avg total160.4167.8148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%65%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
East Tennessee St
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW58%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLWWW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331518
Win %58%80%39%
Points / game71.574.668.9
Allowed / game69.064.472.9
Point differential+2.5+10.2-4.0
Avg total140.5139.0141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%47%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)67% (6)50% (8)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford3328585%86.374.1+12.2
2 Western Carolina32221069%76.868.7+8.2
3 NC Greensboro32211166%75.769.8+5.9
4 Chattanooga Mocs32201262%78.171.5+6.6
5 East Tennessee St33191458%71.569.0+2.5
6 Wofford32171553%74.573.8+0.7
7 Furman33171652%79.575.9+3.5
8 Mercer33161748%71.271.8-0.7
9 Citadel32112134%70.671.5-0.9
10 VMI3242812%68.982.6-13.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford403676
East Tennessee St383169
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.