PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Samobor vs Hermes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-70
26-25 17-13 21-20 11-12
Position#11
Record3-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game82.0
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#6
Record6-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game87.6
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 18
Other2022-23
Meetings · Samobor v Hermes
22 Oct 2024
SAMO83
HERM79
12 Oct 2023
SAMO75
HERM84
20 Apr 2023
SAMO89
HERM92
11 Feb 2023
SAMO75
HERM70
25 Feb 2022
SAMO84
HERM77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#3
L
66-86
66
86
-20
H19/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A26/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H03/12
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
72-103
72
103
-31
A11/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A17/12
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
80-79
80
79
+1
A07/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
63-87
63
87
-24
H14/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A22/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H28/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
48-93
48
93
-45
A05/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
12-21
19-23
15-21
18-20
20-14
21-22
19-18
17-21
17-20
20-19
19-19
15-23
11-30
26-26
20-24
21-22
15-22
20-15
12-17
19-15
15-19
25-26
21-19
12-20
21-18
15-25
15-24
17-17
15-19
12-23
15-17
25-6
9-25
21-24
14-21
11-27
11-19
15-31
11-16
150.5Avg total
67.6Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)69.482.0151.4-12.618%
Season at home (8)70.281.2151.5-11.012%
Season away (9)68.682.7151.2-14.122%
Last 10 (10)67.682.9150.5-15.320%
Last 5 (5)63.882.2146.0-18.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)69.481.9151.3-12.617%
vs Similar (5)82.077.4159.4+4.660%
vs Weaker (7)76.370.9147.1+5.471%
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stoja
#9
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A19/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
78-90
78
90
-12
H27/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A03/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
H10/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
77-101
77
101
-24
H18/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
L
56-80
56
80
-24
H07/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A15/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
102-87
102
87
+15
H21/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
75-107
75
107
-32
A27/01
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H04/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
30-20
18-21
25-20
13-16
26-18
22-24
17-32
16-20
17-17
14-32
18-15
32-15
11-31
13-17
27-20
27-33
16-14
19-24
15-30
7-23
11-19
23-18
15-20
21-26
17-24
16-20
23-13
28-28
20-15
26-19
28-25
18-34
24-22
21-26
12-25
10-21
16-21
34-17
16-27
167.8Avg total
79.0Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.387.6166.9-8.335%
Season at home (9)82.387.1169.4-4.844%
Season away (8)75.988.1164.0-12.225%
Last 10 (10)79.088.8167.8-9.830%
Last 5 (5)77.288.6165.8-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.089.8157.8-21.80%
vs Similar (9)86.391.7178.0-5.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)93.179.3172.4+13.882%
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -3.1-3.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -3.1-3.1
SamoborHermes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H19/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A26/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H03/12
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
26-53
26
53
-27
A11/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A17/12
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A07/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H14/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A22/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H28/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A05/02
Prva Liga
72.0Avg total
32.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.039.274.2-4.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.638.071.6-4.436%-
Last 30 away (16)36.140.376.4-4.225%-
Last 10 (10)32.139.972.0-7.820%-
Last 5 (5)31.037.068.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)33.641.875.4-8.217%-
vs Similar (5)38.038.476.4-0.440%-
vs Weaker (7)36.333.369.6+3.057%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stoja
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A19/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H27/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A03/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H10/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H18/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
L
18-42
18
42
-24
H07/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A15/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H21/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A27/01
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H04/02
Prva Liga
81.1Avg total
37.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.642.982.5-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.041.682.6-0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)38.044.482.4-6.421%-
Last 10 (10)37.643.581.1-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)34.446.681.0-12.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.747.579.2-15.80%-
vs Similar (9)40.943.384.2-2.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.738.484.1+7.473%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Samobor wins
2
Hermes wins
DateGameScore
13/11/22Hermes v Samobor92-79
25/02/22Samobor v Hermes84-77
28/11/21Hermes v Samobor119-87
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/23AOsijek48-93
28/01/23HOmis69-76
22/01/23AKK Zagreb59-76
14/01/23HJazine63-87
07/01/23AStoja80-79
17/12/22AKvarner68-76
11/12/22ADubrovnik72-103
03/12/22HMladost73-79
26/11/22ASonik Puntamika78-74
19/11/22HKastela66-86
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23HDubrovnik76-86
27/01/23AMladost75-107
21/01/23HSonik Puntamika102-87
15/01/23AKastela77-83
07/01/23HKvarner56-80
18/12/22HOsijek77-101
10/12/22HOmis95-91 OT
03/12/22AKK Zagreb65-84
27/11/22HJazine78-90
19/11/22AStoja89-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL18%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %18%12%22%
Points / game69.470.268.6
Allowed / game82.081.282.7
Point differential-12.6-11.0-14.1
Avg total151.4151.5151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hermes
Prva Liga 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL35%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%44%25%
Points / game79.382.375.9
Allowed / game87.687.188.1
Point differential-8.3-4.8-12.2
Avg total166.9169.4164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubrovnik1817194%86.268.1+18.1
2 Osijek1713476%86.071.2+14.8
3 KK Zagreb1712571%79.873.9+5.9
4 Kastela1812667%80.575.4+5.1
5 Kvarner1711665%77.869.1+8.7
6 Omis1810856%79.175.3+3.8
7 Jazine1810856%80.281.1-0.9
8 Mladost1871139%82.184.9-2.8
9 Hermes1761135%79.387.6-8.3
10 Stoja1741324%81.288.9-7.7
11 Samobor1731418%69.482.0-12.6
12 Sonik Puntamika180180%70.394.2-23.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor2617211175
Hermes2513201270
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.