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Samobor vs Hermes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 75-84
19-25 18-23 20-22 18-14
Position#5
Record0-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Hermes 🏆
Croatia
Position#8
Record0-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game100.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 2· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2023-24
Meetings · Samobor v Hermes
22 Oct 2024
SAMO83
HERM79
12 Oct 2023
SAMO75
HERM84
20 Apr 2023
SAMO89
HERM92
11 Feb 2023
SAMO75
HERM70
25 Feb 2022
SAMO84
HERM77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hermes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Mladost
#8
L
75-109
75
109
-34
no box
H25/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
A01/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
99-90
99
90
+9
no box
A11/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
H15/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
89-92
89
92
-3
no box
H20/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
99-111
99
111
-12
no box
A26/04
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
H29/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
94-73
94
73
+21
no box
H10/05
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
75-84
75
84
-9
no box
A13/05
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
70-91
70
91
-21
61avg 61
A08/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
19-25
18-30
23-26
22-27
24-17
16-18
14-17
24-16
28-25
19-30
28-19
18-26
16-24
25-16
26-20
21-24
25-17
14-29
29-22
26-31
20-29
30-25
23-26
23-22
25-18
21-23
22-16
30-12
16-22
26-18
22-21
16-24
20-21
20-21
19-18
17-21
23-22
17-28
13-20
174.7Avg total
85.3Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)70.091.0161.0-21.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)70.091.0161.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)85.389.4174.7-4.130%
Last 5 (5)85.887.6173.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)74.588.1162.6-13.612%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (4)85.877.5163.2+8.275%
This opponent (Hermes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
W
104-96
104
96
+8
no box
A25/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
128-92
128
92
+36
no box
H02/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
108-112 OT
108
112
-4
no box
H12/04
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
L
97-105 OT
97
105
-8
no box
A16/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
A20/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
98-91
98
91
+7
no box
H26/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
95-49
95
49
+46
no box
A28/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
92-74
92
74
+18
no box
A11/05
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
121-78
121
78
+43
no box
H14/05
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
69-100
69
100
-31
58avg 58
A10/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
26-25
24-24
27-23
33-31
43-22
26-23
26-16
23-32
28-25
28-15
17-24
18-26
15-23
23-25
34-16
24-21
17-25
29-14
22-29
19-22
26-25
32-23
21-21
29-15
20-14
28-13
18-7
29-20
15-19
23-22
25-13
37-25
29-13
25-19
30-21
20-23
15-24
12-32
22-21
189.0Avg total
100.4Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)69.0100.0169.0-31.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)69.0100.0169.0-31.00%
Last 10 (10)100.488.6189.0+11.870%
Last 5 (5)95.078.4173.4+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.091.7163.7-19.70%
vs Similar ◀ (12)92.290.9183.1+1.267%
vs Weaker (12)97.279.8177.0+17.575%
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +5.1+5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +5.1+5.1
SamoborHermes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#8
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H25/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A01/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A11/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H15/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H20/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A26/04
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H29/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H10/05
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A13/05
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A08/10
Prva Liga
87.9Avg total
42.8Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.743.279.8-6.527%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.041.778.7-4.736%-
Last 30 away (16)36.444.480.8-8.119%-
Last 10 (10)42.845.187.9-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.244.487.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)35.744.279.9-8.519%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (4)43.036.279.2+6.875%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A25/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H02/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H12/04
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A16/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A20/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A28/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A11/05
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
66-38
66
38
+28
H14/05
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A10/10
Prva Liga
94.7Avg total
49.3Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.642.886.5+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.342.888.1+2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)41.942.984.8-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)49.345.494.7+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)47.840.087.8+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.346.780.0-13.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.044.288.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker (12)48.439.688.0+8.867%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 68.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.022.0
50.0%
52.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.04.0
14.8%
32.9%12.0
🏀 Free throws16.012.0
75.0%
71.2%12.0
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws4.0 pts a game · 6% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.0
50.0%
52.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.09.0
24.3%
32.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws6.04.0
66.7%
71.2%4.0
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
LLWWLLLWLL
Hermes
LWWWWWLLWW
#5
League position
#8
-29.7
Net rating
-40.2
87.7
Offensive rating
84.0
117.4
Defensive rating
124.2
39.4%
Effective FG%
43.3%
66.4%
Opp. effective FG%
66.0%
20.8%
Turnover %
21.5%
38.6%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.08
14.8%
3-point %
24.3%
57.7%
Assist %
67.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence87.7 · 84.0Defence117.4 · 124.2Shooting39.4% · 43.3%3-point %14.8% · 24.3%Ball care20.8% · 21.5%Off. rebounds38.6% · 26.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.08Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Samobor   ■ Hermes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Samobor wins
4
Hermes wins
DateGameScore
20/04/23Samobor v Hermes89-92
19/03/23Hermes v Samobor95-76
11/02/23Samobor v Hermes75-70
13/11/22Hermes v Samobor92-79
25/02/22Samobor v Hermes84-77
28/11/21Hermes v Samobor119-87
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23AKvarner70-91
13/05/23AJazine75-84
10/05/23HSonik Puntamika94-73
29/04/23HStoja91-79
26/04/23AMladost99-111
20/04/23HHermes89-92
15/04/23HJazine85-86
11/04/23ASonik Puntamika99-90
01/04/23AStoja76-79
25/03/23HMladost75-109
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/23AOsijek69-100
14/05/23HStoja121-78
11/05/23AMladost92-74
28/04/23ASonik Puntamika95-49
26/04/23HJazine98-91
20/04/23ASamobor92-89
16/04/23AStoja97-105 OT
12/04/23HMladost108-112 OT
02/04/23HSonik Puntamika128-92
25/03/23AJazine104-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game70.0-70.0
Allowed / game91.0-91.0
Point differential-21.0--21.0
Avg total161.0-161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Hermes
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game69.0-69.0
Allowed / game100.0-100.0
Point differential-31.0--31.0
Avg total169.0-169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osijek110100%100.069.0+31.0
2 Omis110100%94.065.0+29.0
3 KK Zagreb110100%97.070.0+27.0
4 Kvarner110100%91.070.0+21.0
5 Gorica110100%80.060.0+20.0
6 Mladost110100%90.074.0+16.0
7 Jazine110100%90.089.0+1.0
8 Kastela1010%89.090.0-1.0
9 Crikvenica1010%74.090.0-16.0
10 Marsonia1010%60.080.0-20.0
11 Samobor1010%70.091.0-21.0
12 Stoja1010%70.097.0-27.0
13 Podstrana1010%65.094.0-29.0
14 Hermes1010%69.0100.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor1918201875
Hermes2523221484
← all games of the day
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