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San Diego State vs Boise State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 52-62
33-28 19-34
Position#65
Record21-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game63.7
vs
Position#55
Record22-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game66.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · San Diego State v Boise State
03 Jan 2026
SAN 110
BOIS107
13 Mar 2025
SAN 52
BOIS62
15 Feb 2025
SAN 64
BOIS47
08 Mar 2024
SAN 77
BOIS79
03 Feb 2023
SAN 72
BOIS52
22 Jan 2022
SAN 37
BOIS42
27 Feb 2021
SAN 62
BOIS58
25 Feb 2021
SAN 78
BOIS66
06 Mar 2020
SAN 81
BOIS68
11 Jan 2020
SAN 83
BOIS65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#306
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H02/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H16/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H19/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A23/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A02/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A05/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-25
35-36
35-38
28-30
20-37
49-29
28-18
36-29
43-23
40-37
26-33
45-46
33-29
40-36
33-34
39-35
34-32
33-42
43-21
37-40
135.5Avg total
70.5Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)71.563.7135.2+7.872%
Season at home (17)72.661.8134.4+10.876%
Season away (12)70.066.4136.4+3.667%
Last 10 (10)70.565.0135.5+5.570%
Last 5 (5)72.669.6142.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.872.5136.2-8.850%
vs Similar ◀ (12)68.763.2131.8+5.558%
vs Weaker (14)74.862.9137.7+11.986%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#358
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A05/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
79-52
79
52
+27
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A16/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H20/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H27/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A02/03
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
80-57
80
57
+23
A05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
44-26
38-34
33-29
38-33
37-25
42-27
18-28
29-36
42-39
44-39
34-32
36-37
37-31
45-34
27-26
39-35
38-21
42-36
34-34
39-49
138.7Avg total
73.6Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)76.066.3142.3+9.771%
Season at home (18)80.563.6144.1+16.983%
Season away (13)69.870.1139.8-0.354%
Last 10 (10)73.665.1138.7+8.580%
Last 5 (5)74.267.0141.2+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)73.275.7148.9-2.442%
vs Weaker (17)75.961.2137.1+14.788%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +3.2+3.2
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +3.2+3.2
San Diego StateBoise State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#306
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H02/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
20-37
20
37
-17
A12/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
28-18
28
18
+10
H16/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H19/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A23/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A02/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A05/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H09/03
NCAA
61.3Avg total
32.3Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.929.461.3+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.927.861.7+6.176%-
Last 30 away (13)29.331.560.8-2.246%-
Last 10 (10)32.329.061.3+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)33.829.863.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.833.060.8-5.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.229.361.6+2.967%-
vs Weaker (14)32.828.561.3+4.371%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#358
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A05/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
18-28
18
28
-10
A16/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H20/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H27/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A02/03
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
38-21
38
21
+17
A05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H08/03
NCAA
63.5Avg total
34.4Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.630.565.1+4.170%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.029.567.5+8.582%-
Last 30 away (13)30.131.861.9-1.854%-
Last 10 (10)34.429.163.5+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)34.028.862.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.835.368.1-2.650%-
vs Weaker (17)34.927.262.1+7.882%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
San Diego State wins
6
Boise State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HNevada80-61
05/03/25AUNLV67-74
02/03/25AWyoming72-69
26/02/25HNew Mexico73-65
23/02/25AUtah State71-79
19/02/25HFresno State83-60
16/02/25HBoise State64-47
12/02/25ASan Jose State69-66
09/02/25AColorado State63-68
02/02/25HWyoming63-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HColorado State73-83
05/03/25AAir Force80-57
02/03/25AFresno State66-61
27/02/25HUtah State82-65
22/02/25ANevada70-69
20/02/25HNew Mexico86-78
16/02/25ASan Diego State47-64
08/02/25HSan Jose State79-52
05/02/25AUNLV71-62
01/02/25HFresno State82-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW72%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayLWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %72%76%67%
Points / game71.572.670.0
Allowed / game63.761.866.4
Point differential+7.8+10.8+3.6
Avg total135.2134.4136.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%47%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)75% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %7%0%17%
Boise State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWLWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %71%83%54%
Points / game76.080.569.8
Allowed / game66.363.670.1
Point differential+9.7+16.9-0.3
Avg total142.3144.1139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%72%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico3226681%81.670.7+10.9
2 Utah State3125681%81.569.9+11.6
3 Grand Canyon3124777%79.068.8+10.2
4 San Diego State2921872%71.563.7+7.8
5 Boise State3122971%76.066.3+9.7
6 Colorado State3122971%75.567.5+7.9
7 UNLV32181456%69.668.1+1.5
8 Nevada32171553%72.768.2+4.6
9 San Jose State34151944%72.273.4-1.2
10 Wyoming32122038%67.271.2-4.0
11 Fresno State3262619%70.880.7-9.9
12 Air Force3242812%61.973.7-11.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Diego State331952
Boise State283462
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