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San Diego State vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 80-61
43-21 37-40
Position#65
Record20-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game63.8
San Diego State 🏆
USA
vs
Nevada
USA
Position#189
Record16-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game67.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · San Diego State v Nevada
14 Feb 2026
SAN 71
NEVA57
08 Mar 2025
SAN 80
NEVA61
17 Jan 2024
SAN 71
NEVA59
10 Jan 2023
SAN 74
NEVA65
06 Feb 2022
SAN 65
NEVA63
08 Jan 2022
SAN v NEVA
upcoming
12 Mar 2021
SAN 77
NEVA70
09 Jan 2021
SAN 69
NEVA67
07 Jan 2021
SAN 65
NEVA60
18 Jan 2020
SAN 68
NEVA55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#251
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H02/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H16/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H19/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A23/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A02/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-41
42-27
28-25
35-36
35-38
28-30
20-37
49-29
28-18
36-29
43-23
40-37
26-33
45-46
33-29
40-36
33-34
39-35
34-32
33-42
135.3Avg total
69.6Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)71.263.8135.0+7.471%
Season at home (16)72.161.8133.9+10.375%
Season away (12)70.066.4136.4+3.667%
Last 10 (10)69.665.7135.3+3.970%
Last 5 (5)73.269.4142.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.872.5136.2-8.850%
vs Similar ◀ (12)69.162.8131.9+6.258%
vs Weaker (14)74.862.9137.7+11.986%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#55
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A30/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A05/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H11/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A15/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H26/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A01/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
24-28
32-38
33-30
38-35
30-28
44-32
41-31
53-38
26-27
47-31
36-33
35-46
32-34
37-36
39-28
45-33
26-34
29-34
38-41
29-30
138.1Avg total
71.4Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)72.767.7140.3+5.053%
Season at home (20)74.866.3141.2+8.565%
Season away (10)68.370.3138.6-2.030%
Last 10 (10)71.466.7138.1+4.750%
Last 5 (5)69.269.8139.0-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.471.0140.4-1.625%
vs Similar ◀ (9)69.069.3138.3-0.333%
vs Weaker (13)77.264.5141.7+12.885%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: +4.0+4.02nd half: +3.6+3.6
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: +4.0+4.02nd half: +3.6+3.6
San Diego StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#251
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H02/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
20-37
20
37
-17
A12/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
28-18
28
18
+10
H16/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H19/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A23/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A02/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A05/03
NCAA
61.9Avg total
30.9Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.029.461.4+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.027.861.8+6.276%-
Last 30 away (13)29.331.560.8-2.246%-
Last 10 (10)30.931.061.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.830.264.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.833.060.8-5.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.429.361.8+3.167%-
vs Weaker (14)32.828.561.3+4.371%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#55
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A30/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H02/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A05/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H11/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A15/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A19/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H26/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A01/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H05/03
NCAA
63.9Avg total
32.5Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.032.165.1+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (20)34.832.066.8+2.855%-
Last 30 away (10)29.632.361.9-2.730%-
Last 10 (10)32.531.463.9+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.234.068.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.034.068.0+0.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)31.932.764.6-0.833%-
vs Weaker (13)33.230.563.8+2.762%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
San Diego State wins
2
Nevada wins
DateGameScore
26/01/25Nevada v San Diego State50-69
10/02/24Nevada v San Diego State70-66 OT
18/01/24San Diego State v Nevada71-59
01/02/23Nevada v San Diego State75-66
11/01/23San Diego State v Nevada74-65
06/03/22Nevada v San Diego State78-79
06/02/22San Diego State v Nevada65-63
13/03/21San Diego State v Nevada77-70
10/01/21San Diego State v Nevada69-67
08/01/21San Diego State v Nevada65-60
San Diego Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25AUNLV67-74
02/03/25AWyoming72-69
26/02/25HNew Mexico73-65
23/02/25AUtah State71-79
19/02/25HFresno State83-60
16/02/25HBoise State64-47
12/02/25ASan Jose State69-66
09/02/25AColorado State63-68
02/02/25HWyoming63-61
29/01/25HSan Jose State71-68
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HNew Mexico67-71
01/03/25AUNLV55-68
26/02/25HWyoming84-61
22/02/25HBoise State69-70
19/02/25AColorado State71-79
15/02/25ASan Jose State73-58
11/02/25HFresno State94-69
05/02/25AAir Force74-60
02/02/25HUNLV71-65
30/01/25ABoise State56-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game71.272.170.0
Allowed / game63.861.866.4
Point differential+7.4+10.3+3.6
Avg total135.0133.9136.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)75% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %7%0%17%
Nevada
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL53%
HomeWWLWL65%
AwayLWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games302010
Win %53%65%30%
Points / game72.774.868.3
Allowed / game67.766.370.3
Point differential+5.0+8.5-2.0
Avg total140.3141.2138.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won11% (9)17% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %7%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State3125681%81.569.9+11.6
2 New Mexico3125681%82.271.3+10.9
3 Grand Canyon3023777%78.368.6+9.7
4 San Diego State2820871%71.263.8+7.4
5 Boise State3122971%76.066.3+9.7
6 Colorado State3122971%75.567.5+7.9
7 UNLV31171455%69.668.4+1.3
8 Nevada30161453%72.767.7+5.0
9 San Jose State32141844%73.074.1-1.1
10 Wyoming31121939%67.471.3-4.0
11 Fresno State3162519%70.780.5-9.8
12 Air Force3142713%62.073.8-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Diego State433780
Nevada214061
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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