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San Francisco vs Oregon State Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 24 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Projected 76-70
Projected total 145.4
Scheduled
Position#140
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game68.5
Vs
69%
31%
■ SAN 69%■ OREG 31%
Pythia win probability
Position#35
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · San Francisco v Oregon State
24 Nov 2026
SAN v OREG
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
SAN 63
OREG90
18 Jan 2025
SAN 81
OREG70
Sections
Game preview & prediction
San Francisco host Oregon State in the NCAA. Pythia makes San Francisco the favourite at 69% and projects 76-70, about 145 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. San Francisco are 3-1 this season (71.5 scored, 68.5 allowed a game), form LWWWL; Oregon State are 4-0 this season (93.2 scored, 69.5 allowed a game), form LWWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Francisco win
69.3%fair 1.44
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oregon State win
30.7%fair 3.25
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 15 Nov 07:37 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San FranciscoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A15/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
59-80
59
80
-21
H19/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H22/02
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
72-61
72
61
+11
A28/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H08/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A09/03
NCAA
Radford
#310
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H03/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Montana
#195
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Portland State
#205
L
68-84
68
84
-16
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-41
56-38
29-41
30-39
38-44
35-50
42-35
30-26
29-29
53-36
32-30
45-48
37-30
39-32
45-31
34-39
26-28
37-30
28-47
40-37
147.2Avg total
74.1Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.568.5140.0+3.075%
Season at home (4)71.568.5140.0+3.075%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.173.1147.2+1.060%
Last 5 (5)72.670.4143.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)66.679.8146.3-13.211%
vs Similar (7)76.175.9152.0+0.357%
vs Weaker (14)76.169.1145.2+6.971%
This opponent (Oregon State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oregon StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#108
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A16/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H22/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
92-82 OT
92
82
+10
H26/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
72-93
72
93
-21
A01/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H09/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A10/03
NCAA
Weber State
#324
W
102-61
102
61
+41
H03/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#321
W
96-68
96
68
+28
H07/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#308
W
94-84
94
84
+10
H10/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#387
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
18-36
32-24
36-42
47-31
35-32
43-46
33-38
39-55
30-32
48-45
24-38
32-27
43-35
59-26
44-34
52-34
49-37
45-47
45-31
36-34
153.2Avg total
80.4Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.269.5162.8+23.8100%
Season at home (4)93.269.5162.8+23.8100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.472.8153.2+7.670%
Last 5 (5)85.868.6154.4+17.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)67.673.2140.8-5.744%
vs Similar (7)78.075.7153.7+2.371%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)91.270.2161.4+21.0100%
This opponent (San Francisco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 141
Over 141
60.3%
Under 141
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 146
Over 146
48.0%
Under 146
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 151
Over 151
35.9%
Under 151
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

San Francisco total 75.5
Over 75.5
50.3%
Under 75.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Francisco total 79.5
Over 79.5
34.8%
Under 79.5
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Francisco total 83.5
Over 83.5
21.6%
Under 83.5
78.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oregon State total 62.5
Over 62.5
76.1%
Under 62.5
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oregon State total 66.5
Over 66.5
62.5%
Under 66.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oregon State total 70.5
Over 70.5
47.1%
Under 70.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread San Francisco -3
SAN -3
61.2%
OREG +3
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
SAN
No market prices yet.
OREG
No market prices yet.
Spread San Francisco 0
SAN 0
69.3%
OREG 0
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
SAN
No market prices yet.
OREG
No market prices yet.
Spread San Francisco +3
SAN +3
77.0%
OREG -3
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
SAN
No market prices yet.
OREG
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +6.4+6.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +6.4+6.4
San FranciscoOregon State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San FranciscoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Toreros
#301
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H19/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A28/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H08/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A09/03
NCAA
Radford
#310
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H03/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Montana
#195
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H11/11
NCAA
Portland State
#205
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H15/11
NCAA
69.8Avg total
34.2Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.134.067.1-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.935.669.5-1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)32.131.863.9+0.246%-
Last 10 (10)34.235.669.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.266.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)29.338.167.4-8.80%-
vs Similar (7)36.735.372.0+1.457%-
vs Weaker (14)33.830.664.4+3.171%-
This opponent (Oregon State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oregon StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#108
L
18-36
18
36
-18
A16/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H22/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H26/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A01/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H09/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A10/03
NCAA
Weber State
#324
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H03/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#321
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H07/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#308
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H10/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#387
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H14/11
NCAA
71.2Avg total
35.7Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.535.870.3-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.434.870.2+0.547%-
Last 30 away (11)33.037.570.5-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)35.735.571.2+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.035.076.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)32.036.068.0-4.028%-
vs Similar (7)34.635.369.9-0.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)43.435.879.2+7.680%-
This opponent (San Francisco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
San Francisco wins
3
Oregon State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HPortland State68-84
11/11/26HMontana63-58
07/11/26HNorth Dakota St79-70
03/11/26HRadford76-62
09/03/26AOregon State77-78
08/03/26HPortland82-65
28/02/26APacific72-61
22/02/26HSanta Clara73-94
19/02/26HGonzaga59-80
15/02/26ASan Diego Toreros92-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMiss. Valley St.81-65
10/11/26HEast. Washington94-84
07/11/26HCalifornia Baptist96-68
03/11/26HWeber State102-61
10/03/26AGonzaga56-65
09/03/26HSan Francisco78-77
01/03/26ASanta Clara72-93
26/02/26HSan Diego Toreros92-82 OT
22/02/26HPepperdine83-73
16/02/26ASeattle50-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Francisco
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWWL75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game71.571.5-
Allowed / game68.568.5-
Point differential+3.0+3.0-
Avg total140.0140.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Oregon State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game93.293.2-
Allowed / game69.569.5-
Point differential+23.8+23.8-
Avg total162.8162.8-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon State440100%93.269.5+23.8
2 Santa Clara550100%86.675.0+11.6
3 St. Marys (CA)43175%93.576.5+17.0
4 San Diego Toreros43175%84.275.5+8.8
5 San Francisco43175%71.568.5+3.0
6 Pacific32167%74.753.7+21.0
7 Pepperdine42250%96.070.0+26.0
8 Portland52340%87.093.6-6.6
9 Gonzaga31233%87.075.7+11.3
10 Seattle31233%70.373.3-3.0
11 Loyola Marymount41325%84.574.8+9.8
12 Washington State41325%81.579.5+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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