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San German vs Capitanes de Arecibo Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-99
19-16 15-25 21-30 22-28
Position#11
Record2-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game87.5
vs
Position#1
Record7-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game83.6
Puerto RicoBSN· Arquelio Torres Ramirez Coliseum
Other2024
Meetings · San German v Capitanes de Arecibo
09 Jun 2025
SAN 102
CAPI66
02 May 2025
SAN 96
CAPI92
28 Apr 2024
SAN 77
CAPI99
19 Apr 2024
SAN 79
CAPI80
29 May 2023
SAN 85
CAPI81
21 Apr 2023
SAN 95
CAPI90
30 Jul 2022
SAN 83
CAPI67
26 Jul 2022
SAN 89
CAPI88
18 May 2022
SAN 78
CAPI75
25 Apr 2022
SAN 80
CAPI72
25 Aug 2021
SAN 88
CAPI100
06 Aug 2021
SAN 80
CAPI90
10 Nov 2020
SAN 84
CAPI83
10 May 2020
SAN v CAPI
upcoming
29 Mar 2019
SAN 82
CAPI80
08 Mar 2019
SAN 91
CAPI92
20 Jun 2018
SAN 85
CAPI79
30 May 2018
SAN 83
CAPI72
21 May 2017
SAN 79
CAPI81
12 May 2017
SAN 98
CAPI86
11 Apr 2016
SAN 76
CAPI74
28 Feb 2016
SAN 80
CAPI68
21 May 2015
SAN 89
CAPI79
14 Mar 2015
SAN 94
CAPI89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San German winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Capitanes de Arecibo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San GermanPuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGerman
Date
Competition
Criollos de Caguas
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
84avg 76
H04/04
BSN
Osos de Manati
#4
L
97-99
97
99
-2
97avg 76
A06/04
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#10
L
85-92 OT
85
92
-7
73avg 76
A07/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
62avg 76
H10/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#1
L
76-97
76
97
-21
67avg 76
A14/04
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#9
W
87-74
87
74
+13
86avg 76
H18/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#1
L
79-80
79
80
-1
67avg 76
H20/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#7
L
80-82
80
82
-2
72avg 76
A21/04
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#10
L
77-80
77
80
-3
70avg 76
H25/04
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#2
L
92-102
92
102
-10
85avg 76
A27/04
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
21-28
25-16
25-22
11-30
30-16
26-30
30-23
26-25
13-19
16-19
21-13
21-26
8-14
22-21
24-23
24-18
15-26
13-27
24-26
19-10
16-22
24-22
28-20
14-29
27-16
21-19
17-16
23-18
20-28
15-18
22-18
12-23
17-17
27-17
21-23
23-26
17-25
26-25
26-26
171.2Avg total
83.7Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.787.5171.2-3.820%
Season at home (5)81.480.6162.0+0.840%
Season away (5)86.094.4180.4-8.40%
Last 10 (10)83.787.5171.2-3.820%
Last 5 (5)83.083.6166.6-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.089.0172.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (26)85.286.3171.5-1.231%
vs Weaker (2)91.588.5180.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capitanes de AreciboPuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArecibo
Date
Competition
Mets de Guaynabo
#3
L
96-111
96
111
-15
no box
A25/06
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#3
L
86-92
86
92
-6
no box
H27/06
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#9
W
87-84
87
84
+3
81avg 87
H07/04
BSN
Osos de Manati
#4
W
105-88
105
88
+17
109avg 87
A11/04
BSN
San German
#11
W
97-76
97
76
+21
93avg 87
H14/04
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#2
L
90-92
90
92
-2
74avg 87
A17/04
BSN
San German
#11
W
80-79
80
79
+1
78avg 87
A20/04
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#9
W
86-76
86
76
+10
82avg 87
A23/04
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#12
W
102-97
102
97
+5
99avg 87
H25/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#7
W
87-77
87
77
+10
79avg 87
H27/04
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-32
25-18
34-31
24-30
31-28
20-17
20-24
15-23
28-22
15-23
21-19
23-20
31-23
25-17
20-23
29-25
18-24
26-15
27-13
26-24
21-22
11-21
25-24
33-25
29-14
16-27
19-21
16-17
23-10
23-21
23-20
17-25
26-20
26-25
27-31
23-21
32-24
16-19
15-24
24-10
178.8Avg total
91.6Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.883.6175.4+8.188%
Season at home (4)93.283.5176.8+9.8100%
Season away (4)90.283.8174.0+6.575%
Last 10 (10)91.687.2178.8+4.470%
Last 5 (5)89.084.2173.2+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (24)89.590.0179.5-0.542%
vs Weaker (6)101.587.0188.5+14.583%
This opponent (San German) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
San GermanCapitanes de Arecibo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San GermanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Criollos de Caguas
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H04/04
BSN
Osos de Manati
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A06/04
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A07/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#8
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H10/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A14/04
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#9
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H18/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H20/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#7
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A21/04
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#10
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H25/04
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A27/04
BSN
81.0Avg total
37.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.582.7-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.741.581.3-1.847%-
Last 30 away (15)40.543.584.1-3.020%-
Last 10 (10)37.543.581.0-6.010%-
Last 5 (5)37.642.880.4-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.540.577.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (26)40.442.883.3-2.435%-
vs Weaker (2)40.040.580.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capitanes de AreciboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mets de Guaynabo
#3
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A25/06
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#3
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H27/06
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H07/04
BSN
Osos de Manati
#4
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A11/04
BSN
San German
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/04
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A17/04
BSN
San German
#11
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A20/04
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#9
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A23/04
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#12
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H25/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H27/04
BSN
87.7Avg total
45.5Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.142.287.3+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.241.687.8+4.673%-
Last 30 away (15)43.942.886.7+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)45.542.287.7+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.685.2+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (24)43.942.886.7+1.258%-
vs Weaker (6)49.740.089.7+9.783%-
This opponent (San German) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Germantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San German: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.723.6
51.6%
53.4%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.7
31.0%
35.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.812.4
73.8%
74.6%12.4
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Capitanes de Arecibotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capitanes de Arecibo: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.5
56.4%
53.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.012.2
38.3%
35.9%36.8
🏀 Free throws14.911.0
73.9%
74.6%11.0
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 29 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San German
LLLLWLLLLW
Capitanes de Arecibo
WWWWLWWWLL
#11
League position
#1
-4.9
Net rating
+10.2
104.2
Offensive rating
113.5
109.2
Defensive rating
103.4
49.9%
Effective FG%
56.9%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
15.6%
Turnover %
17.4%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.21
31.0%
3-point %
38.3%
61.7%
Assist %
63.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 113.5Defence109.2 · 103.4Shooting49.9% · 56.9%3-point %31.0% · 38.3%Ball care15.6% · 17.4%Off. rebounds27.3% · 29.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ San German   ■ Capitanes de Arecibo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

San Germanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24AMets de Guaynabo92-102
25/04/24HIndios de Mayaguez77-80
21/04/24ALeones De Ponce80-82
20/04/24HCapitanes de Arecibo79-80
18/04/24HPiratas de Quebradillas87-74
14/04/24ACapitanes de Arecibo76-97
10/04/24HAguada Santeros75-84
07/04/24AIndios de Mayaguez85-92 OT
06/04/24AOsos de Manati97-99
04/04/24HCriollos de Caguas89-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HLeones De Ponce87-77
25/04/24HVaqueros de Bayamon102-97
23/04/24APiratas de Quebradillas86-76
20/04/24ASan German80-79
17/04/24AMets de Guaynabo90-92
14/04/24HSan German97-76
11/04/24AOsos de Manati105-88
07/04/24HPiratas de Quebradillas87-84
27/06/23HMets de Guaynabo86-92
25/06/23AMets de Guaynabo96-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San German
BSN 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game83.781.486.0
Allowed / game87.580.694.4
Point differential-3.8+0.8-8.4
Avg total171.2162.0180.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Capitanes de Arecibo
BSN 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game91.893.290.2
Allowed / game83.683.583.8
Point differential+8.1+9.8+6.5
Avg total175.4176.8174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Capitanes de Arecibo87188%91.883.6+8.1
2 Mets de Guaynabo87188%89.986.1+3.8
3 Criollos de Caguas108280%90.985.2+5.7
4 Indios de Mayaguez95456%86.886.3+0.4
5 Leones De Ponce84450%76.282.2-6.0
6 Vaqueros de Bayamon94544%83.185.1-2.0
7 Cangrejeros94544%87.189.3-2.2
8 Aguada Santeros125742%82.179.8+2.2
9 Gigantes de Carolina104640%95.493.5+1.9
10 Osos de Manati114736%91.197.5-6.5
11 Piratas de Quebradillas124833%80.981.5-0.6
12 San German102820%83.787.5-3.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San German1915212277
Capitanes de Arecibo1625302899
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