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San German vs Capitanes de Arecibo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 96-92
25-20 25-19 19-28 27-25
Position#8
Record4-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game91.5
vs
Position#6
Record10-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game85.4
Puerto RicoBSN· Arquelio Torres Ramirez Coliseum
Other2025
Meetings · San German v Capitanes de Arecibo
09 Jun 2025
SAN 102
CAPI66
02 May 2025
SAN 96
CAPI92
28 Apr 2024
SAN 77
CAPI99
19 Apr 2024
SAN 79
CAPI80
29 May 2023
SAN 85
CAPI81
21 Apr 2023
SAN 95
CAPI90
30 Jul 2022
SAN 83
CAPI67
26 Jul 2022
SAN 89
CAPI88
18 May 2022
SAN 78
CAPI75
25 Apr 2022
SAN 80
CAPI72
25 Aug 2021
SAN 88
CAPI100
06 Aug 2021
SAN 80
CAPI90
10 Nov 2020
SAN 84
CAPI83
10 May 2020
SAN v CAPI
upcoming
29 Mar 2019
SAN 82
CAPI80
08 Mar 2019
SAN 91
CAPI92
20 Jun 2018
SAN 85
CAPI79
30 May 2018
SAN 83
CAPI72
21 May 2017
SAN 79
CAPI81
12 May 2017
SAN 98
CAPI86
11 Apr 2016
SAN 76
CAPI74
28 Feb 2016
SAN 80
CAPI68
21 May 2015
SAN 89
CAPI79
14 Mar 2015
SAN 94
CAPI89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San German winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Capitanes de Arecibo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San GermanPuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGerman
Date
Competition
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
94-97
94
97
-3
82avg 81
H28/03
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
L
74-80
74
80
-6
54avg 81
H04/04
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#10
L
89-109
89
109
-20
77avg 81
A10/04
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
L
91-101
91
101
-10
88avg 81
A12/04
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#1
L
70-104
70
104
-34
57avg 81
H13/04
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
W
75-72
75
72
+3
66avg 81
A16/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
W
86-84
86
84
+2
75avg 81
H20/04
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
101-95
101
95
+6
101avg 81
H24/04
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
89-107
89
107
-18
76avg 81
H28/04
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
L
92-99
92
99
-7
78avg 81
A01/05
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
24-12
18-30
33-26
24-17
23-16
11-25
16-22
21-32
17-25
30-18
21-34
21-18
24-28
24-30
22-25
13-27
10-25
31-30
16-22
24-19
8-26
14-14
29-13
20-18
25-14
23-25
18-27
27-25
25-20
34-26
15-24
14-26
24-34
14-23
37-24
18-28
12-19
33-23
29-29
180.9Avg total
86.1Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.691.5177.1-5.831%
Season at home (8)87.592.1179.6-4.638%
Season away (5)82.690.4173.0-7.820%
Last 10 (10)86.194.8180.9-8.730%
Last 5 (5)88.691.4180.0-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.0104.0174.0-34.00%
vs Similar ◀ (29)88.390.7178.9-2.438%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capitanes de AreciboPuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArecibo
Date
Competition
Osos de Manati
#12
W
91-89
91
89
+2
87avg 85
A06/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
W
94-91
94
91
+3
88avg 85
H08/04
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
W
94-74
94
74
+20
92avg 85
A11/04
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
L
90-99
90
99
-9
87avg 85
H13/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
89-86
89
86
+3
85avg 85
H15/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
L
75-84
75
84
-9
67avg 85
A18/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
W
99-82
99
82
+17
98avg 85
A24/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
W
91-80
91
80
+11
86avg 85
H27/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
L
88-94
88
94
-6
82avg 85
H29/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
L
71-93
71
93
-22
59avg 85
A01/05
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
16-24
30-22
26-19
22-29
17-13
24-24
31-25
24-12
18-12
23-28
29-22
19-26
17-30
31-25
23-18
20-16
19-22
22-26
28-22
27-22
20-18
17-23
11-21
28-14
21-25
23-24
27-19
24-22
19-15
17-16
31-27
22-18
27-19
19-32
20-25
14-31
13-14
21-21
23-27
175.4Avg total
88.2Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)85.485.4170.8+0.059%
Season at home (8)88.689.8178.4-1.162%
Season away (9)82.681.6164.1+1.056%
Last 10 (10)88.287.2175.4+1.060%
Last 5 (5)84.886.6171.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (28)87.291.1178.3-3.946%
vs Weaker (2)93.089.5182.5+3.5100%
This opponent (San German) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
San GermanCapitanes de Arecibo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San GermanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H28/03
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H04/04
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#10
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A10/04
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A12/04
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#1
L
23-52
23
52
-29
H13/04
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A16/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H20/04
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H24/04
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
38-60
38
60
-22
H28/04
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A01/05
BSN
85.1Avg total
39.3Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.444.084.4-3.643%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.442.583.8-1.153%-
Last 30 away (13)39.246.185.2-6.931%-
Last 10 (10)39.345.885.1-6.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.445.885.2-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)23.052.075.0-29.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (29)41.043.884.8-2.845%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capitanes de AreciboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osos de Manati
#12
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A06/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H08/04
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A11/04
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H13/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H15/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A18/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A24/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H27/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H29/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A01/05
BSN
81.2Avg total
40.6Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.886.0+0.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.941.987.8+3.973%-
Last 30 away (15)40.543.784.2-3.147%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.681.2+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.682.6+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (28)43.143.186.1+0.061%-
vs Weaker (2)45.039.084.0+6.050%-
This opponent (San German) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Germantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San German: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.423.9
52.6%
53.8%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.8
32.6%
36.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.014.3
75.3%
75.6%14.3
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Capitanes de Arecibotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capitanes de Arecibo: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.022.9
58.7%
53.8%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.7
33.8%
36.0%29.1
🏀 Free throws15.412.3
79.9%
75.6%12.3
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San German
LLWWWLLLLL
Capitanes de Arecibo
LLWWLWLWWW
#8
League position
#6
-10.7
Net rating
+1.0
108.9
Offensive rating
112.6
119.6
Defensive rating
111.6
51.4%
Effective FG%
55.3%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
14.6%
Turnover %
17.0%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.6%
3-point %
33.8%
51.7%
Assist %
54.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 112.6Defence119.6 · 111.6Shooting51.4% · 55.3%3-point %32.6% · 33.8%Ball care14.6% · 17.0%Off. rebounds27.0% · 28.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ San German   ■ Capitanes de Arecibo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

San Germanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/25APiratas de Quebradillas92-99
28/04/25HIndios de Mayaguez89-107
24/04/25HPiratas de Quebradillas101-95
20/04/25HLeones De Ponce86-84
16/04/25AIndios de Mayaguez75-72
13/04/25HVaqueros de Bayamon70-104
12/04/25ACangrejeros91-101
10/04/25AMets de Guaynabo89-109
04/04/25HPiratas de Quebradillas74-80
28/03/25HIndios de Mayaguez94-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/25ALeones De Ponce71-93
29/04/25HLeones De Ponce88-94
27/04/25HCriollos de Caguas91-80
24/04/25ALeones De Ponce99-82
18/04/25ACriollos de Caguas75-84
15/04/25HAguada Santeros89-86
13/04/25HGigantes de Carolina90-99
11/04/25AGigantes de Carolina94-74
08/04/25HLeones De Ponce94-91
06/04/25AOsos de Manati91-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San German
BSN 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL31%
HomeLLWWL38%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %31%38%20%
Points / game85.687.582.6
Allowed / game91.592.190.4
Point differential-5.8-4.6-7.8
Avg total177.1179.6173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Capitanes de Arecibo
BSN 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL59%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayWWLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %59%62%56%
Points / game85.488.682.6
Allowed / game85.489.881.6
Point differential+0.0-1.1+1.0
Avg total170.8178.4164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%12%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vaqueros de Bayamon1613381%88.279.6+8.6
2 Indios de Mayaguez1711665%85.182.5+2.6
3 Cangrejeros159660%86.186.5-0.3
4 Capitanes de Arecibo1710759%85.485.4+0.0
5 Gigantes de Carolina137654%89.689.0+0.6
6 Criollos de Caguas168850%87.886.0+1.8
7 Piratas de Quebradillas157847%84.785.9-1.2
8 Leones De Ponce136746%84.285.7-1.5
9 Mets de Guaynabo167944%91.793.8-2.1
10 San German134931%85.691.5-5.8
11 Osos de Manati123925%92.294.9-2.7
12 Aguada Santeros1331023%83.385.8-2.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San German2525192796
Capitanes de Arecibo2019282592
← all games of the day
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