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Capitanes de Arecibo vs Leones De Ponce Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 87-77
32-24 16-19 15-24 24-10
Position#1
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#7
Record3-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game82.8
Puerto RicoBSN· Coliseo Manuel Petaca Iguina
Other2024
Meetings · Capitanes de Arecibo v Leones De Ponce
28 Apr 2025
CAPI88
LEON94
07 Apr 2025
CAPI94
LEON91
14 May 2024
CAPI101
LEON97
26 Apr 2024
CAPI87
LEON77
26 Apr 2023
CAPI110
LEON107
16 Apr 2023
CAPI99
LEON80
27 Jun 2022
CAPI109
LEON79
02 Jun 2022
CAPI102
LEON90
04 Oct 2021
CAPI83
LEON78
13 Sep 2021
CAPI91
LEON84
18 Nov 2020
CAPI104
LEON78
14 May 2020
CAPI v LEON
upcoming
01 Jun 2019
CAPI94
LEON103
26 Apr 2019
CAPI105
LEON80
02 Sep 2018
CAPI104
LEON95
29 Aug 2018
CAPI99
LEON76
26 Aug 2018
CAPI115
LEON117
23 Aug 2018
CAPI102
LEON90
12 Jul 2018
CAPI92
LEON86
10 May 2018
CAPI86
LEON91
11 Jul 2017
CAPI104
LEON100
08 Jul 2017
CAPI105
LEON103
05 Jul 2017
CAPI92
LEON78
18 May 2017
CAPI92
LEON81
26 Apr 2017
CAPI77
LEON86
15 May 2016
CAPI103
LEON97
12 May 2016
CAPI98
LEON84
07 May 2016
CAPI88
LEON72
29 Mar 2016
CAPI96
LEON90
21 Jul 2015
CAPI81
LEON91
17 Jul 2015
CAPI76
LEON63
12 Jul 2015
CAPI80
LEON79
23 May 2015
CAPI90
LEON83
16 Mar 2015
CAPI86
LEON61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Capitanes de Arecibo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leones De Ponce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Capitanes de AreciboPuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArecibo
Date
Competition
Mets de Guaynabo
#3
L
77-93
77
93
-16
no box
H23/06
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#3
L
96-111
96
111
-15
no box
A25/06
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#3
L
86-92
86
92
-6
no box
H27/06
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#9
W
87-84
87
84
+3
81avg 88
H07/04
BSN
Osos de Manati
#4
W
105-88
105
88
+17
109avg 88
A11/04
BSN
San German
#11
W
97-76
97
76
+21
93avg 88
H14/04
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#2
L
90-92
90
92
-2
74avg 88
A17/04
BSN
San German
#11
W
80-79
80
79
+1
78avg 88
A20/04
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#9
W
86-76
86
76
+10
82avg 88
A23/04
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#12
W
102-97
102
97
+5
99avg 88
H25/04
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-25
25-20
20-29
21-19
13-32
25-18
34-31
24-30
31-28
20-17
20-24
15-23
28-22
15-23
21-19
23-20
31-23
25-17
20-23
29-25
18-24
26-15
27-13
26-24
21-22
11-21
25-24
33-25
29-14
16-27
19-21
16-17
23-10
23-21
23-20
17-25
26-20
26-25
27-31
23-21
179.4Avg total
90.6Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)92.484.6177.0+7.986%
Season at home (3)95.385.7181.0+9.7100%
Season away (4)90.283.8174.0+6.575%
Last 10 (10)90.688.8179.4+1.860%
Last 5 (5)91.084.0175.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (24)90.191.5181.6-1.438%
vs Weaker (6)101.587.0188.5+14.583%
This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leones De PoncePuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPonce
Date
Competition
Mets de Guaynabo
#3
W
96-86
96
86
+10
no box
H13/06
BSN
Cariduros Fajardo
#11
W
129-91
129
91
+38
no box
A14/06
BSN
San German
#4
W
92-88
92
88
+4
no box
A16/06
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#8
L
80-105
80
105
-25
no box
A19/06
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#8
L
70-91
70
91
-21
53avg 68
A07/04
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#9
L
64-99
64
99
-35
51avg 68
A10/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#3
L
72-81
72
81
-9
65avg 68
H14/04
BSN
Osos de Manati
#4
W
86-67
86
67
+19
78avg 68
H19/04
BSN
San German
#11
W
82-80
82
80
+2
79avg 68
H21/04
BSN
Cangrejeros
#6
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 68
A24/04
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
18-22
31-28
27-13
30-23
37-15
35-22
27-31
23-23
18-19
31-23
20-23
18-30
22-21
16-24
24-30
22-23
11-31
16-24
21-13
10-28
21-24
17-31
16-16
16-19
11-14
24-28
21-20
15-13
22-10
22-25
27-19
18-23
28-20
18-15
18-22
26-18
12-21
26-15
20-25
172.2Avg total
85.5Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.382.8159.2-6.550%
Season at home (3)80.076.0156.0+4.067%
Season away (3)72.789.7162.3-17.033%
Last 10 (10)85.586.7172.2-1.260%
Last 5 (5)77.681.2158.8-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.084.2165.2-3.240%
vs Similar ◀ (21)83.387.8171.1-4.443%
vs Weaker (4)110.894.2205.0+16.5100%
This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
Capitanes de AreciboLeones De Ponce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Capitanes de AreciboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mets de Guaynabo
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H23/06
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#3
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A25/06
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#3
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H27/06
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H07/04
BSN
Osos de Manati
#4
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A11/04
BSN
San German
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/04
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A17/04
BSN
San German
#11
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A20/04
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#9
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A23/04
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#12
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H25/04
BSN
86.7Avg total
44.3Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.942.487.3+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.941.987.9+4.067%-
Last 30 away (15)43.942.886.7+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)44.342.486.7+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.883.6+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (24)43.843.086.7+0.854%-
vs Weaker (6)49.740.089.7+9.783%-
This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leones De PonceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mets de Guaynabo
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H13/06
BSN
Cariduros Fajardo
#11
W
67-38
67
38
+29
A14/06
BSN
San German
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A16/06
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#8
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A19/06
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#8
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A07/04
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#9
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A10/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#3
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H14/04
BSN
Osos de Manati
#4
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H19/04
BSN
San German
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H21/04
BSN
Cangrejeros
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/04
BSN
81.8Avg total
39.8Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.383.7-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.940.582.4+1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)40.943.984.8-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)39.842.081.8-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.073.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.845.081.8-8.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)39.641.981.4-2.338%-
vs Weaker (4)56.541.598.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Capitanes de Arecibotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capitanes de Arecibo: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.3 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.122.1
56.6%
53.4%44.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.712.1
38.3%
35.9%36.4
🏀 Free throws14.110.6
74.7%
74.6%10.6
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leones De Poncetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leones De Ponce: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.3 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.2
53.6%
53.4%42.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.26.7
27.6%
35.9%20.0
🏀 Free throws20.014.3
71.7%
74.6%14.3
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/6 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Capitanes de Arecibo
WWWLWWWLLL
Leones De Ponce
WWWLLLLWWW
#1
League position
#7
+9.5
Net rating
-7.0
114.2
Offensive rating
104.1
104.8
Defensive rating
111.1
57.0%
Effective FG%
49.0%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.1%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.3%
3-point %
27.6%
63.7%
Assist %
52.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 104.1Defence104.8 · 111.1Shooting57.0% · 49.0%3-point %38.3% · 27.6%Ball care17.3% · 18.1%Off. rebounds29.5% · 31.3%Free throws0.20 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Capitanes de Arecibo   ■ Leones De Ponce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/24HVaqueros de Bayamon102-97
23/04/24APiratas de Quebradillas86-76
20/04/24ASan German80-79
17/04/24AMets de Guaynabo90-92
14/04/24HSan German97-76
11/04/24AOsos de Manati105-88
07/04/24HPiratas de Quebradillas87-84
27/06/23HMets de Guaynabo86-92
25/06/23AMets de Guaynabo96-111
23/06/23HMets de Guaynabo77-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/24ACangrejeros84-79
21/04/24HSan German82-80
19/04/24HOsos de Manati86-67
14/04/24HCriollos de Caguas72-81
10/04/24APiratas de Quebradillas64-99
07/04/24AAguada Santeros70-91
19/06/23AIndios de Mayaguez80-105
16/06/23ASan German92-88
14/06/23ACariduros Fajardo129-91
13/06/23HMets de Guaynabo96-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Capitanes de Arecibo
BSN 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game92.495.390.2
Allowed / game84.685.783.8
Point differential+7.9+9.7+6.5
Avg total177.0181.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leones De Ponce
BSN 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game76.380.072.7
Allowed / game82.876.089.7
Point differential-6.5+4.0-17.0
Avg total159.2156.0162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Capitanes de Arecibo76186%92.484.6+7.9
2 Mets de Guaynabo76186%88.185.3+2.9
3 Criollos de Caguas97278%90.084.3+5.7
4 Indios de Mayaguez85362%86.084.8+1.2
5 Vaqueros de Bayamon84450%85.087.0-2.0
6 Leones De Ponce63350%76.382.8-6.5
7 Aguada Santeros104640%80.680.1+0.5
8 Osos de Manati104640%91.898.0-6.2
9 Cangrejeros83538%89.292.0-2.8
10 Piratas de Quebradillas114736%80.879.4+1.5
11 Gigantes de Carolina93633%95.794.6+1.1
12 San German92722%82.885.9-3.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Capitanes de Arecibo3216152487
Leones De Ponce2419241077
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