San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Mar 2018

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 101-78

24-18 18-18 32-20 27-22

Position#1

Record6-0

FormLWWWL

Points / game88.0

Allowed / game69.5

San Lorenzo 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#7

Record4-2

FormWLLLL

Points / game74.3

Allowed / game75.3

Americas LeagueAmericas League - Semi-finals

Other2018

Meetings · San Lorenzo v Estudiantes

SAN 101

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Lorenzo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San LorenzoLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

#14

73-67

H16/02

Liga A

Salta

#20

70-85

-15

A19/02

Liga A

Fuerza Regia

#11

83-59

+24

H03/03

Americas League

Mogi

68-64

A04/03

Americas League

Ferro

73-65

A05/03

Americas League

Gimnasia

61-83

-22

A08/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

107-96

107

+11

H11/03

Liga A

Ferro

#16

83-78

H15/03

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

88-76

+12

H19/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

88-91

-3

A21/03

Liga A

14-17

24-21

14-16

21-13

16-18

20-21

16-32

18-14

21-24

14-8

29-14

19-13

10-6

21-17

17-25

20-16

18-15

12-15

24-15

19-20

15-17

19-23

23-22

4-21

22-17

22-24

33-25

30-30

17-19

26-29

23-22

17-8

21-21

25-21

27-9

15-25

18-21

8-27

34-26

28-17

155.8Avg total

79.4Scored

76.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	88.0	69.5	157.5	+18.5	100%
Season at home (2)	99.5	55.0	154.5	+44.5	100%
Season away (4)	82.2	76.8	159.0	+5.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	79.4	76.4	155.8	+3.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	84.8	170.2	+0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	83.3	70.7	154.0	+12.7	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	87.0	77.9	164.9	+9.1	85%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unicaja

57-72

-15

H04/03

ACB

Boca Juniors

#14

82-72

+10

A05/03

Liga A

Guaros de Lara

78-73

A09/03

Americas League

Fuenlabrada

#11

81-87

-6

A10/03

ACB

Regatas

61-91

-30

H11/03

Americas League

Bauru

93-88

A11/03

Americas League

Hispano Americano

#12

81-84

-3

H15/03

Liga A

Gipuzkoa

#13

91-101

101

-10

A18/03

ACB

San Lorenzo

76-88

-12

A19/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

73-78

-5

A21/03

Liga A

13-20

15-15

14-12

15-25

22-15

10-15

21-15

29-27

23-16

14-15

16-22

25-20

15-23

21-24

19-20

26-20

18-18

19-28

8-24

16-21

15-25

19-22

31-15

28-26

13-15

16-29

27-19

25-21

24-21

18-23

18-27

31-30

21-21

21-25

9-27

25-15

18-21

10-15

23-22

22-20

160.7Avg total

77.3Scored

83.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	74.3	75.3	149.7	-1.0	67%
Season at home (3)	64.7	75.0	139.7	-10.3	33%
Season away (3)	84.0	75.7	159.7	+8.3	100%
Last 10 (10)	77.3	83.4	160.7	-6.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	87.8	170.6	-5.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	75.2	84.0	159.2	-8.8	25%
vs Similar (19)	80.9	83.2	164.1	-2.3	42%
vs Weaker (3)	77.3	64.7	142.0	+12.7	100%

This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

San LorenzoEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.8	38.7	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	18.0	37.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	17.5	34.7	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	16.0	15.3	31.3	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.0	48%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.6	17.6	39.2	+4.0	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	20.5	40.6	-0.5	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.9	19.5	37.4	-1.6	25%	-
vs Similar (19)	21.4	19.5	40.8	+1.9	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.3	17.3	41.7	+7.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.7	39.7	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	18.3	38.7	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	21.1	40.7	-1.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	24.8	44.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	22.0	19.7	41.7	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	19.9	19.7	39.5	+0.2	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.5	38.0	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.6	19.5	37.1	-1.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	21.1	37.4	-4.8	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	22.8	39.6	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.8	20.9	40.6	-1.1	25%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.3	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.3	16.7	34.0	+0.7	33%	-

San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

#14

38-38

H16/02

Liga A

Salta

#20

36-39

-3

A19/02

Liga A

Fuerza Regia

#11

35-32

H03/03

Americas League

Mogi

31-23

A04/03

Americas League

Ferro

30-30

A05/03

Americas League

Gimnasia

34-40

-6

A08/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

44-41

H11/03

Liga A

Ferro

#16

43-48

-5

H15/03

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

46-42

H19/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

26-48

-22

A21/03

Liga A

74.4Avg total

36.3Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	38.5	78.4	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	37.9	78.4	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	39.1	78.4	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	38.1	74.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	43.8	82.4	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	38.0	35.0	73.0	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	40.1	38.9	79.0	+1.2	52%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unicaja

28-35

-7

H04/03

ACB

Boca Juniors

#14

32-30

A05/03

Liga A

Guaros de Lara

37-31

A09/03

Americas League

Fuenlabrada

#11

36-47

-11

A10/03

ACB

Regatas

37-46

-9

H11/03

Americas League

Bauru

34-47

-13

A11/03

Americas League

Hispano Americano

#12

29-44

-15

H15/03

Liga A

Gipuzkoa

#13

42-44

-2

A18/03

ACB

San Lorenzo

42-46

-4

A19/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

28-36

-8

A21/03

Liga A

75.1Avg total

34.5Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	38.8	78.0	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.2	37.2	78.5	+4.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.6	40.0	77.6	-2.4	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.5	40.6	75.1	-6.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	43.4	78.4	-8.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	37.6	40.4	78.0	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (19)	39.5	38.9	78.4	+0.6	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.7	34.0	75.7	+7.7	100%	-

This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.4	19.6	44.0	+4.7	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.4	17.5	41.9	+6.9	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.3	21.8	46.1	+2.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	20.6	44.6	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	20.8	48.8	+7.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.3	17.0	36.3	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	24.9	19.9	44.9	+5.0	78%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.5	20.2	41.7	+1.2	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.3	38.9	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.1	22.1	39.2	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar (19)	21.7	20.8	42.5	+0.9	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	15.7	15.0	30.7	+0.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	18.8	40.7	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	17.1	40.7	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	20.5	40.7	-0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.7	36.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	21.7	16.0	37.7	+5.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.0	19.1	41.1	+2.9	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	22.2	42.1	-2.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.3	22.0	41.3	-2.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.4	22.3	42.7	-1.9	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	22.5	46.7	+1.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	22.4	48.6	+3.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	19.7	23.5	43.2	-3.8	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	15.7	35.7	+4.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.3	38.4	84.7	+7.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.1	34.5	82.6	+13.5	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.6	42.3	86.9	+2.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	38.3	81.4	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	41.0	87.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	41.0	33.0	74.0	+8.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	46.9	39.0	85.9	+7.9	74%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	42.7	82.6	-2.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.2	43.0	80.2	-5.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.9	42.5	84.4	-0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	42.8	85.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	44.4	92.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	37.6	43.6	81.2	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar (19)	41.4	44.3	85.7	-2.8	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	35.7	30.7	66.3	+5.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

San Lorenzotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 82.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	19.7	55.3%	-	39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	8.3	29.4%	-	24.9
🏀 Free throws	23.2	17.7	76.3%	-	17.7

They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.0	22.4	52.1%	-	44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.4	7.5	32.1%	-	22.5
🏀 Free throws	20.8	15.4	74.0%	-	15.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	19.2	53.5%	-	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.6	8.7	29.3%	-	26.0
🏀 Free throws	20.8	15.6	75.0%	-	15.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.1	22.3	50.5%	-	44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.4	7.5	33.4%	-	22.4
🏀 Free throws	20.5	15.7	76.5%	-	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

San Lorenzo wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
19/03/18	San Lorenzo v Estudiantes	88-76
03/12/17	Estudiantes v San Lorenzo	82-83
16/02/17	Estudiantes v San Lorenzo	69-80
20/01/17	San Lorenzo v Estudiantes	99-79
06/01/17	San Lorenzo v Estudiantes	83-78
08/04/16	San Lorenzo v Estudiantes	77-81
12/01/16	Estudiantes v San Lorenzo	80-76

San Lorenzolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/03/18	A	Boca Juniors	88-91
19/03/18	H	Estudiantes	88-76
15/03/18	H	Ferro	83-78
11/03/18	H	Quilmes	107-96
08/03/18	A	Gimnasia	61-83
05/03/18	A	Ferro	73-65
04/03/18	A	Mogi	68-64
03/03/18	H	Fuerza Regia	83-59
19/02/18	A	Salta	70-85
16/02/18	H	Boca Juniors	73-67

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/03/18	A	Gimnasia	73-78
19/03/18	A	San Lorenzo	76-88
18/03/18	A	Gipuzkoa	91-101
15/03/18	H	Hispano Americano	81-84
11/03/18	A	Bauru	93-88
11/03/18	H	Regatas	61-91
10/03/18	A	Fuenlabrada	81-87
09/03/18	A	Guaros de Lara	78-73
05/03/18	A	Boca Juniors	82-72
04/03/18	H	Unicaja	57-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Lorenzo

Americas League 2018

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	88.0	99.5	82.2
Allowed / game	69.5	55.0	76.8
Point differential	+18.5	+44.5	+5.5
Avg total	157.5	154.5	159.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	-	100% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estudiantes

Americas League 2018

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	67%
Home	LWL	33%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	67%	33%	100%
Points / game	74.3	64.7	84.0
Allowed / game	75.3	75.0	75.7
Point differential	-1.0	-10.3	+8.3
Avg total	149.7	139.7	159.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	33%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	6	6	0	100%	88.0	69.5	+18.5
2	Regatas	7	5	2	71%	83.3	73.3	+10.0
3	Mogi	7	5	2	71%	82.7	76.4	+6.3
4	Guaros de Lara	6	4	2	67%	84.0	76.3	+7.7
5	Ferro	6	4	2	67%	79.7	74.2	+5.5
6	Estudiantes	6	4	2	67%	74.3	75.3	-1.0
7	Bauru	6	3	3	50%	83.0	78.7	+4.3
8	Paulistano	3	1	2	33%	87.3	85.3	+2.0
9	Soles	3	1	2	33%	88.3	86.3	+2.0
10	Leones De Ponce	3	1	2	33%	76.0	80.0	-4.0
11	Fuerza Regia	6	2	4	33%	72.3	79.0	-6.7
12	Correcaminos de Colon	3	1	2	33%	66.3	78.7	-12.3
13	San Salvador	3	0	3	0%	71.3	85.3	-14.0
14	Capitanes de Arecibo	3	0	3	0%	80.3	94.7	-14.3
15	Hebraica y Macabi	3	0	3	0%	65.3	81.7	-16.3
16	Espanol de Talca	3	0	3	0%	67.3	105.0	-37.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
San Lorenzo	24	18	32	27	101
Estudiantes	18	18	20	22	78

← all games of the day

San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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