San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 63-58

18-14 17-18 15-14 13-12

Position#1

Record5-0

FormWWWLW

Points / game94.8

Allowed / game73.2

San Lorenzo 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#9

Record2-5

FormLLWWW

Points / game73.9

Allowed / game83.1

Liga A

Other2018-19

Meetings · San Lorenzo v Estudiantes

SAN 101

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Lorenzo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Lorenzo Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

#11

96-92

A15/11

Torneo Super 20

Ferro

#11

100-77

100

+23

H18/11

Torneo Super 20

San Martin

85-84

H26/11

Super Cup

Libertad

#14

81-78

A06/12

Liga A

Estudiantes

92-61

+31

A08/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

82-63

+19

A10/12

Liga A

Quilmes

#20

105-87

105

+18

H17/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

88-81

H21/12

Torneo Super 20

Quimsa

70-76

-6

A23/12

Torneo Super 20

San Martin

#10

114-77

114

+37

H08/01

Liga A

29-27

18-21

28-21

21-23

26-12

26-19

23-22

25-24

23-18

23-19

17-33

22-14

28-13

20-24

15-27

18-14

21-11

24-20

22-7

25-23

20-18

10-14

28-16

24-15

27-17

21-21

29-27

28-22

23-17

22-25

21-17

22-22

15-25

17-13

14-27

24-11

25-22

19-11

36-24

34-20

168.9Avg total

91.3Scored

77.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	94.8	73.2	168.0	+21.6	100%
Season at home (2)	109.5	82.0	191.5	+27.5	100%
Season away (3)	85.0	67.3	152.3	+17.7	100%
Last 10 (10)	91.3	77.6	168.9	+13.7	90%
Last 5 (5)	91.8	76.8	168.6	+15.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	79.7	73.7	153.4	+6.0	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	89.9	76.3	166.2	+13.6	89%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

65-74

-9

H10/12

Liga A

Obradoiro CAB

#15

81-91

-10

A15/12

ACB

Gimnasia

78-89

-11

A17/12

Liga A

Ferro

67-86

-19

A19/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

60-78

-18

A21/12

Liga A

Valencia

79-83

-4

H23/12

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#10

82-96

-14

A29/12

ACB

Murcia

#14

88-73

+15

A03/01

ACB

Real Madrid

93-88

H06/01

ACB

Hispano Americano

#15

90-78

+12

A09/01

Liga A

17-16

13-15

18-22

17-21

14-19

16-27

26-29

25-16

17-20

26-21

24-27

11-21

20-21

20-18

16-19

11-28

17-18

19-16

12-23

12-21

19-13

15-25

24-19

21-26

21-30

18-23

18-20

25-23

23-23

21-20

24-18

20-12

25-25

21-24

20-15

27-24

26-24

21-14

21-23

22-17

161.9Avg total

78.3Scored

83.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	73.9	83.1	157.0	-9.3	29%
Season at home (3)	74.0	83.7	157.7	-9.7	33%
Season away (4)	73.8	82.8	156.5	-9.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	78.3	83.6	161.9	-5.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	83.6	170.0	+2.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	74.8	87.6	162.4	-12.8	20%
vs Similar (19)	78.6	79.8	158.4	-1.2	42%
vs Weaker (1)	84.0	89.0	173.0	-5.0	0%

This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

San LorenzoEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.0	38.9	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	16.9	37.9	+4.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	21.0	39.9	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	18.0	41.7	+5.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.8	41.8	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	17.8	17.5	35.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.2	58%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.8	18.9	36.6	-1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	23.0	45.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.8	21.2	39.0	-3.4	30%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	32%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	26.0	47.0	-5.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	17.7	38.6	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	18.2	40.9	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	17.2	36.3	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.8	34.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	20.9	16.7	37.6	+4.2	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.8	18.2	38.9	+2.6	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	21.1	39.9	-2.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	19.9	39.2	-0.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	20.3	39.3	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.6	22.6	39.2	-6.0	10%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.3	19.5	39.7	+0.8	63%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	0%	-

San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

#11

47-48

-1

A15/11

Torneo Super 20

Ferro

#11

52-31

+21

H18/11

Torneo Super 20

San Martin

46-37

H26/11

Super Cup

Libertad

#14

48-37

+11

A06/12

Liga A

Estudiantes

45-31

+14

A08/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

30-32

-2

A10/12

Liga A

Quilmes

#20

48-38

+10

H17/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

45-42

H21/12

Torneo Super 20

Quimsa

32-38

-6

A23/12

Torneo Super 20

San Martin

#10

44-33

+11

H08/01

Liga A

80.4Avg total

43.7Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	36.7	77.5	+4.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	35.1	78.9	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.0	38.2	76.2	-0.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	36.7	80.4	+7.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	36.6	76.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	38.7	34.2	72.9	+4.5	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	41.7	37.9	79.7	+3.8	53%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

30-31

-1

H10/12

Liga A

Obradoiro CAB

#15

30-46

-16

A15/12

ACB

Gimnasia

43-41

A17/12

Liga A

Ferro

40-39

A19/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

36-34

A21/12

Liga A

Valencia

34-38

-4

H23/12

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#10

39-53

-14

A29/12

ACB

Murcia

#14

44-43

A03/01

ACB

Real Madrid

46-49

-3

H06/01

ACB

Hispano Americano

#15

47-38

A09/01

Liga A

80.1Avg total

38.9Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	40.5	78.0	-3.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.5	40.0	76.5	-3.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.5	41.1	79.6	-2.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	41.2	80.1	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	44.2	86.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	34.4	43.8	78.2	-9.4	10%	-
vs Similar (19)	38.9	38.5	77.4	+0.4	58%	-
vs Weaker (1)	40.0	47.0	87.0	-7.0	0%	-

This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	19.8	42.4	+2.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	20.6	44.9	+3.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	19.1	39.9	+1.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	22.1	45.4	+1.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	22.2	47.8	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	24.1	18.7	42.7	+5.4	84%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	21.1	40.0	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	20.1	39.4	-0.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.5	41.8	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	40%	-
vs Similar (19)	19.1	21.3	40.3	-2.2	26%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	24.0	47.0	-1.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	19.2	42.1	+3.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.4	20.6	45.0	+3.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	17.7	39.1	+3.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	18.8	43.1	+5.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	18.0	44.4	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	20.7	18.8	39.5	+1.9	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	24.1	19.6	43.7	+4.5	74%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	21.7	44.2	+0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	20.6	39.4	-1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.4	43.4	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	21.6	24.8	46.4	-3.2	30%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+0.9	47%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.5	39.0	84.5	+6.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.7	41.2	89.9	+7.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	36.8	79.1	+5.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.6	40.9	88.5	+6.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.0	40.2	92.2	+11.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	41.0	39.5	80.5	+1.5	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	48.2	38.3	86.5	+9.8	89%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	41.8	81.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.4	42.8	84.2	-1.3	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	40.6	78.8	-2.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	42.4	81.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	39.4	83.8	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	40.4	43.8	84.2	-3.4	30%	-
vs Similar (19)	39.4	40.7	80.1	-1.3	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	44.0	42.0	86.0	+2.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

San Lorenzotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 81.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	20.9	50.9%	53.8%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.5	8.4	35.7%	32.9%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.2	71.7%	71.7%	14.2

They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.6	19.3	52.7%	53.8%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	10.1	37.8%	32.9%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	22.3	17.1	76.7%	71.7%	17.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	19.5	51.0%	53.8%	39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	9.2	33.4%	32.9%	27.5
🏀 Free throws	20.1	14.9	74.0%	71.7%	14.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	21.2	52.1%	53.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.9	35.9%	32.9%	26.6
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.0	73.8%	71.7%	15.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

San Lorenzo wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
08/12/18	Estudiantes v San Lorenzo	61-92
25/03/18	San Lorenzo v Estudiantes	101-78
19/03/18	San Lorenzo v Estudiantes	88-76
03/12/17	Estudiantes v San Lorenzo	82-83
16/02/17	Estudiantes v San Lorenzo	69-80
20/01/17	San Lorenzo v Estudiantes	99-79
06/01/17	San Lorenzo v Estudiantes	83-78
08/04/16	San Lorenzo v Estudiantes	77-81
12/01/16	Estudiantes v San Lorenzo	80-76

San Lorenzolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/01/19	H	San Martin	114-77
23/12/18	A	Quimsa	70-76
21/12/18	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	88-81
17/12/18	H	Quilmes	105-87
10/12/18	A	Comunicaciones Mercedes	82-63
08/12/18	A	Estudiantes	92-61
06/12/18	A	Libertad	81-78
26/11/18	H	San Martin	85-84
18/11/18	H	Ferro	100-77
15/11/18	A	Ferro	96-92

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/01/19	A	Hispano Americano	90-78
06/01/19	H	Real Madrid	93-88
03/01/19	A	Murcia	88-73
29/12/18	A	MoraBanc Andorra	82-96
23/12/18	H	Valencia	79-83
21/12/18	A	Boca Juniors	60-78
19/12/18	A	Ferro	67-86
17/12/18	A	Gimnasia	78-89
15/12/18	A	Obradoiro CAB	81-91
10/12/18	H	Ferro	65-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Lorenzo

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	94.8	109.5	85.0
Allowed / game	73.2	82.0	67.3
Point differential	+21.6	+27.5	+17.7
Avg total	168.0	191.5	152.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	80%	100%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	29%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	LLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	29%	33%	25%
Points / game	73.9	74.0	73.8
Allowed / game	83.1	83.7	82.8
Point differential	-9.3	-9.7	-9.0
Avg total	157.0	157.7	156.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	33%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	5	5	0	100%	94.8	73.2	+21.6
2	Quimsa	5	4	1	80%	94.6	84.2	+10.4
3	Gimnasia	7	5	2	71%	82.1	74.6	+7.6
4	Regatas	7	5	2	71%	87.0	79.6	+7.4
5	Boca Juniors	7	5	2	71%	77.0	70.6	+6.4
6	Ferro	6	4	2	67%	81.8	79.3	+2.5
7	Obras Sanitarias	6	4	2	67%	84.8	82.8	+2.0
8	Libertad	8	5	3	62%	76.8	76.6	+0.1
9	San Martin	7	4	3	57%	78.6	84.4	-5.9
10	Olimpico	4	2	2	50%	80.0	75.2	+4.8
11	La Union	6	3	3	50%	90.8	87.8	+3.0
12	Instituto de Cordoba	4	2	2	50%	92.5	90.8	+1.8
13	Comunicaciones Mercedes	5	2	3	40%	87.4	84.2	+3.2
14	Hispano Americano	6	2	4	33%	78.0	85.8	-7.8
15	Penarol	7	2	5	29%	82.6	87.1	-4.6
16	Estudiantes	7	2	5	29%	73.9	83.1	-9.3
17	Argentino	5	1	4	20%	82.6	93.0	-10.4
18	Weber Bahia	5	1	4	20%	66.6	78.8	-12.2
19	Quilmes	6	1	5	17%	75.3	83.8	-8.5
20	Atenas	5	0	5	0%	74.6	84.4	-9.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
San Lorenzo	18	17	15	13	63
Estudiantes	14	18	14	12	58

← all games of the day

San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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