Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 05 Mar 2018

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 72-82

15-22 15-10 15-21 27-29

Position#14

Record7-13

FormLLLWL

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game81.7

Boca Juniors

Estudiantes 🏆

Position#11

Record8-10

FormLWLLL

Points / game84.6

Allowed / game86.3

Liga A

Other2017-18

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

79-89

-10

H20/01

Liga A

Argentino

83-73

+10

H25/01

Liga A

Salta

#20

79-69

+10

A28/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

90-93 OT

-3

H01/02

Liga A

Penarol

#18

71-76

-5

H05/02

Liga A

Penarol

#18

71-79

-8

A11/02

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

76-98

-22

A13/02

Liga A

San Lorenzo

67-73

-6

A16/02

Liga A

Ferro

#16

77-71

H19/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

59-61

-2

A02/03

Liga A

11-28

27-20

15-23

26-18

26-14

21-10

18-29

18-20

23-14

17-14

16-21

23-20

17-22

22-15

28-20

9-19

20-22

20-10

17-16

14-28

16-17

20-24

24-21

11-17

20-26

13-24

14-26

29-22

17-14

21-24

16-14

13-21

18-17

8-11

22-18

29-25

12-14

14-14

24-18

9-15

153.4Avg total

75.2Scored

78.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	79.3	81.7	161.1	-2.4	35%
Season at home (9)	81.1	79.9	161.0	+1.2	56%
Season away (11)	77.9	83.2	161.1	-5.3	18%
Last 10 (10)	75.2	78.2	153.4	-3.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	70.0	76.4	146.4	-6.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	75.7	79.8	155.5	-4.1	24%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	81.2	81.5	162.7	-0.4	54%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hebraica y Macabi

#15

71-54

+17

H04/02

Americas League

Venezia

#13

91-92

-1

A06/02

Champions League

Quimsa

88-91

-3

A09/02

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

78-86

-8

A11/02

Liga A

Real Betis

#18

89-83

H11/02

ACB

Salta

#20

60-82

-22

A13/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

98-94

H17/02

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

84-85

-1

A01/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

69-87

-18

A02/03

Liga A

Unicaja

57-72

-15

H04/03

ACB

18-18

22-14

19-10

12-12

19-32

27-25

32-24

13-11

15-21

22-20

21-25

30-25

21-22

18-14

22-16

17-34

29-17

17-22

11-21

32-23

12-17

17-21

22-18

9-26

24-24

26-21

26-24

22-25

27-22

17-18

23-14

17-31

20-21

25-17

20-26

4-23

13-20

15-15

14-12

15-25

161.1Avg total

78.5Scored

82.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	84.6	86.3	170.9	-1.7	44%
Season at home (9)	90.9	85.7	176.6	+5.2	78%
Season away (9)	78.3	86.9	165.2	-8.6	11%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	82.6	161.1	-4.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	73.6	84.0	157.6	-10.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	75.7	86.0	161.7	-10.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	83.2	82.2	165.4	+1.1	60%
vs Weaker (4)	82.2	74.0	156.2	+8.2	75%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	18.9	37.2	-0.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	17.6	34.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	16.8	18.9	35.7	-2.2	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+1.0	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	18.4	40.6	+3.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	21.2	40.1	-2.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.7	20.7	37.3	-4.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.7	19.6	41.3	+2.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.4	37.7	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	16.6	36.4	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	16.6	34.9	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	19.4	34.6	-4.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	19.5	18.4	37.9	+1.2	59%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.9	18.5	37.5	+0.4	54%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	18.3	39.2	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.7	39.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.8	14.8	31.5	+2.0	50%	-

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

38-48

-10

H20/01

Liga A

Argentino

47-24

+23

H25/01

Liga A

Salta

#20

40-28

+12

A28/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

39-37

H01/02

Liga A

Penarol

#18

40-32

H05/02

Liga A

Penarol

#18

36-41

-5

A11/02

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

33-50

-17

A13/02

Liga A

San Lorenzo

38-38

A16/02

Liga A

Ferro

#16

26-28

-2

H19/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

26-28

-2

A02/03

Liga A

71.7Avg total

36.3Scored

35.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	37.4	74.9	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	35.5	73.6	+2.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.9	39.1	76.0	-2.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	35.4	71.7	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.8	37.0	68.8	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	36.3	37.3	73.6	-1.0	41%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	39.0	37.6	76.6	+1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hebraica y Macabi

#15

40-32

H04/02

Americas League

Venezia

#13

46-57

-11

A06/02

Champions League

Quimsa

37-41

-4

A09/02

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

39-36

A11/02

Liga A

Real Betis

#18

46-39

H11/02

ACB

Salta

#20

29-38

-9

A13/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

50-45

H17/02

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

44-40

A01/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

45-38

A02/03

Liga A

Unicaja

28-35

-7

H04/03

ACB

80.5Avg total

40.4Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	38.3	78.8	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.1	36.7	79.8	+6.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.5	40.2	77.7	-2.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	40.1	80.5	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	39.2	78.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.3	40.7	78.0	-3.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	41.9	38.6	80.5	+3.2	65%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.2	33.2	71.5	+5.0	75%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	20.5	42.1	+1.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.4	41%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.5	69%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.4	40.8	-0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	20.1	38.2	-1.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.9	20.8	43.6	+2.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.8	22.0	40.8	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.4	20.2	41.7	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.2	18.8	36.0	-1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	21.6	39.9	-3.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	21.6	40.9	-2.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	20.5	38.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.2	20.7	38.9	-2.5	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.7	22.8	42.5	-3.1	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.5	40.8	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	21.0	41.3	-0.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	22.0	40.2	-3.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	23.5	40.6	-6.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	26.0	39.4	-12.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.5	23.3	42.8	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.7	21.9	40.6	-3.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.2	16.2	38.5	+6.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	42.2	82.0	-2.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.0	42.1	82.1	-2.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	42.2	82.0	-2.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	41.1	78.6	-3.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	39.4	77.6	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	38.9	41.8	80.8	-2.9	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	41.1	42.6	83.7	-1.5	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	41.9	81.6	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.5	41.1	79.6	-2.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	42.8	83.9	-1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	42.5	80.6	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	44.8	79.2	-10.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.3	45.3	83.7	-7.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	40.1	42.2	82.3	-2.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.5	35.0	74.5	+4.5	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 79.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	19.3	55.9%	53.8%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.6	8.9	29.1%	32.9%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.5	76.3%	71.7%	14.5

They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.9	21.6	51.6%	53.8%	43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	7.0	31.8%	32.9%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	20.5	15.5	75.6%	71.7%	15.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.3	53.1%	53.8%	38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	8.8	29.1%	32.9%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	19.4	14.5	75.0%	71.7%	14.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.2	22.1	50.0%	53.8%	44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.8	7.2	33.0%	32.9%	21.6
🏀 Free throws	20.4	15.6	76.7%	71.7%	15.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
10/02/17	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	69-74
25/01/17	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	84-76
07/03/16	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	84-46
22/01/16	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	70-61
06/04/15	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	69-89
09/03/15	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	84-86
10/02/14	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	62-57
02/02/14	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	93-57

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/03/18	A	Gimnasia	59-61
19/02/18	H	Ferro	77-71
16/02/18	A	San Lorenzo	67-73
13/02/18	A	Quilmes	76-98
11/02/18	A	Penarol	71-79
05/02/18	H	Penarol	71-76
01/02/18	H	Weber Bahia	90-93 OT
28/01/18	A	Salta	79-69
25/01/18	H	Argentino	83-73
20/01/18	H	Atenas	79-89

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/18	H	Unicaja	57-72
02/03/18	A	Obras Sanitarias	69-87
01/03/18	A	Hispano Americano	84-85
17/02/18	H	Obras Sanitarias	98-94
13/02/18	A	Salta	60-82
11/02/18	H	Real Betis	89-83
11/02/18	A	Olimpico	78-86
09/02/18	A	Quimsa	88-91
06/02/18	A	Venezia	91-92
04/02/18	H	Hebraica y Macabi	71-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2017-18

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	35%
Home	LWLLW	56%
Away	WLLLL	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	9	11
Win %	35%	56%	18%
Points / game	79.3	81.1	77.9
Allowed / game	81.7	79.9	83.2
Point differential	-2.4	+1.2	-5.3
Avg total	161.1	161.0	161.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	11%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	22% (9)	25% (4)	20% (5)
Overtime %	5%	11%	0%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2017-18

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	44%
Home	WWWWW	78%
Away	LLLLL	11%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	44%	78%	11%
Points / game	84.6	90.9	78.3
Allowed / game	86.3	85.7	86.9
Point differential	-1.7	+5.2	-8.6
Avg total	170.9	176.6	165.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	67% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	11%	11%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	18	16	2	89%	87.1	77.7	+9.4
2	San Martin	19	14	5	74%	87.4	80.2	+7.2
3	Quimsa	21	14	7	67%	81.3	78.6	+2.7
4	Atenas	20	13	7	65%	87.0	84.2	+2.9
5	Instituto de Cordoba	22	13	9	59%	83.7	81.3	+2.4
6	Weber Bahia	20	11	9	55%	77.8	80.5	-2.8
7	Obras Sanitarias	22	12	10	55%	85.4	83.5	+1.9
8	La Union	19	10	9	53%	80.1	79.1	+1.0
9	Gimnasia	19	10	9	53%	82.7	84.2	-1.5
10	Argentino	20	10	10	50%	81.2	81.1	+0.1
11	Regatas	21	10	11	48%	82.2	84.7	-2.5
12	Hispano Americano	20	9	11	45%	86.8	88.5	-1.8
13	Estudiantes	18	8	10	44%	84.6	86.3	-1.7
14	Penarol	20	8	12	40%	82.5	83.7	-1.1
15	Ferro	19	7	12	37%	79.8	80.9	-1.2
16	Salta	22	8	14	36%	77.2	79.5	-2.3
17	Boca Juniors	20	7	13	35%	79.3	81.7	-2.4
18	Olimpico	20	7	13	35%	79.0	82.0	-3.0
19	Comunicaciones Mercedes	18	6	12	33%	82.9	86.7	-3.7
20	Quilmes	22	7	15	32%	86.6	89.7	-3.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Boca Juniors	15	15	15	27	72
Estudiantes	22	10	21	29	82

← all games of the day

Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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