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San Pablo Burgos vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 May 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 100-88
29-20 25-18 17-26 29-24
Position#1
Record31-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game74.0
San Pablo Burgos 🏆
Spain
vs
Estudiantes
Spain
Position#4
Record26-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game79.1
SpainPrimera FEBRound 34· Coliseum Burgos
Other2024-25
Meetings · San Pablo Burgos v Estudiantes
09 May 2025
SPB100
EST88
30 Dec 2023
SPB87
EST91
02 Jun 2023
SPB87
EST85
14 Jan 2023
SPB78
EST86
15 Nov 2020
SPB91
EST71
21 Apr 2019
SPB102
EST82
14 Oct 2017
SPB72
EST87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Pablo Burgos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Pablo BurgosSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBurgos
Date
Competition
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
67avg 82
H12/03
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
83-73
83
73
+10
77avg 82
A16/03
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
88-61
88
61
+27
89avg 82
H22/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
74-60
74
60
+14
68avg 82
A29/03
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
89-73
89
73
+16
84avg 82
H05/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
78-72
78
72
+6
71avg 82
A13/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
85-74
85
74
+11
73avg 82
A19/04
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
78avg 82
H23/04
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
71avg 82
A27/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
85-54
85
54
+31
90avg 82
A03/05
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
20-16
23-23
17-17
16-13
36-15
16-19
15-26
19-11
24-14
23-18
22-18
19-18
14-12
23-14
18-16
22-18
18-13
25-20
24-22
22-18
19-23
15-12
22-19
23-20
17-23
18-18
27-13
24-17
21-20
20-15
22-22
21-11
15-23
21-19
15-19
23-15
22-13
21-14
19-12
152.5Avg total
83.0Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)88.274.0162.2+14.294%
Season at home (16)90.272.6162.8+17.6100%
Season away (17)86.475.4161.7+11.088%
Last 10 (10)83.069.5152.5+13.5100%
Last 5 (5)83.871.0154.8+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)88.674.3162.9+14.393%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Castello
#17
W
89-85
89
85
+4
79avg 78
A11/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
W
104-98
104
98
+6
102avg 78
H16/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
73-90
73
90
-17
63avg 78
A22/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
76-66
76
66
+10
72avg 78
H30/03
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
71-75
71
75
-4
60avg 78
A04/04
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
87-70
87
70
+17
89avg 78
H13/04
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
91-97
91
97
-6
78avg 78
A19/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
101-76
101
76
+25
100avg 78
H22/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
L
77-88
77
88
-11
69avg 78
A27/04
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
105-88
105
88
+17
101avg 78
H04/05
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-33
15-17
26-22
19-13
29-22
30-36
22-18
23-22
21-26
16-21
21-18
15-25
26-20
17-14
18-15
15-17
12-18
26-16
14-15
19-26
25-20
27-17
17-17
18-16
25-16
22-31
21-21
23-29
30-19
21-21
20-20
30-16
24-16
18-24
19-27
16-21
30-26
23-20
24-22
28-20
170.7Avg total
87.4Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)87.379.1166.4+8.279%
Season at home (17)89.978.6168.5+11.488%
Season away (16)84.679.6164.2+4.969%
Last 10 (10)87.483.3170.7+4.160%
Last 5 (5)92.283.8176.0+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)91.095.0186.0-4.00%
vs Similar (7)86.085.7171.7+0.357%
vs Weaker (22)86.775.8162.5+11.091%
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.1+0.1
San Pablo BurgosEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H12/03
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
52-28
52
28
+24
A16/03
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H22/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A29/03
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A13/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A19/04
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H23/04
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A27/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A03/05
Primera FEB
74.2Avg total
41.2Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.037.681.6+6.473%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.536.981.4+7.693%-
Last 30 away (16)43.538.281.8+5.256%-
Last 10 (10)41.233.074.2+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.678.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)44.037.681.6+6.473%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Castello
#17
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A11/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H16/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A22/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H30/03
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A04/04
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H13/04
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A19/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H22/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A27/04
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H04/05
Primera FEB
89.9Avg total
46.6Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.739.283.9+5.677%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.240.087.2+7.293%-
Last 30 away (15)42.338.380.6+3.960%-
Last 10 (10)46.643.389.9+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)49.042.091.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)44.039.083.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (7)46.143.389.4+2.971%-
vs Weaker (22)44.337.982.2+6.577%-
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.3
46.0%
51.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.7
38.2%
33.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws14.611.3
77.4%
73.6%11.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.2
50.1%
51.8%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.1
34.3%
33.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.513.5
69.2%
73.6%13.5
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Pablo Burgos
WWWWWWWWWW
Estudiantes
WLWLWLWLWW
#1
League position
#4
-3.7
Net rating
-13.9
110.0
Offensive rating
107.8
113.7
Defensive rating
121.7
50.4%
Effective FG%
50.7%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
60.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.2%
37.5%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.2%
3-point %
34.3%
50.0%
Assist %
52.5%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 107.8Defence113.7 · 121.7Shooting50.4% · 50.7%3-point %38.2% · 34.3%Ball care17.6% · 16.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)100% · 60%
■ San Pablo Burgos   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
San Pablo Burgos wins
3
Estudiantes wins
DateGameScore
12/01/25Estudiantes v San Pablo Burgos91-95
03/03/24Estudiantes v San Pablo Burgos57-77
30/12/23San Pablo Burgos v Estudiantes87-91
02/06/23San Pablo Burgos v Estudiantes87-85
28/05/23Estudiantes v San Pablo Burgos89-102
26/05/23Estudiantes v San Pablo Burgos87-92
14/05/23Estudiantes v San Pablo Burgos104-96 OT
14/01/23San Pablo Burgos v Estudiantes78-86
21/05/21Estudiantes v San Pablo Burgos82-88
15/11/20San Pablo Burgos v Estudiantes91-71
San Pablo Burgoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25AHestia Menorca85-54
27/04/25AGipuzkoa84-81 OT
23/04/25HFuenlabrada87-74
19/04/25AEstela85-74
13/04/25AOviedo78-72
05/04/25HZamora89-73
29/03/25AOurense74-60
22/03/25HReal Valladolid88-61
16/03/25ACartagena83-73
12/03/25HTizona Burgos77-73
Estudianteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25HTizona Burgos105-88
27/04/25AAlicante77-88
22/04/25HEstela101-76
19/04/25AFuenlabrada91-97
13/04/25HMoron87-70
04/04/25AReal Betis71-75
30/03/25HGipuzkoa76-66
22/03/25AObradoiro CAB73-90
16/03/25HPalencia104-98
11/03/25ACastello89-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Pablo Burgos
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %94%100%88%
Points / game88.290.286.4
Allowed / game74.072.675.4
Point differential+14.2+17.6+11.0
Avg total162.2162.8161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%88%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Estudiantes
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW79%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLLLL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %79%88%69%
Points / game87.389.984.6
Allowed / game79.178.679.6
Point differential+8.2+11.4+4.9
Avg total166.4168.5164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%65%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos3331294%88.274.0+14.2
2 Real Betis3326779%83.974.0+9.9
3 Estudiantes3326779%87.379.1+8.2
4 Fuenlabrada3326779%84.576.7+7.8
5 Obradoiro CAB33221167%81.473.5+7.8
6 Palencia33211264%87.080.9+6.2
7 Cartagena33161748%77.583.5-6.0
8 Gipuzkoa33151845%78.278.9-0.8
9 Tizona Burgos33151845%87.589.8-2.3
10 Ourense33141942%82.483.5-1.2
11 Alicante33132039%79.079.2-0.2
12 Oviedo33132039%78.880.5-1.6
13 Zamora33132039%79.182.4-3.3
14 Estela33122136%76.283.1-6.9
15 Real Valladolid33112233%78.685.8-7.2
16 Hestia Menorca33102330%73.878.6-4.8
17 Castello3392427%79.989.0-9.1
18 Moron3342912%71.782.5-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Pablo Burgos29251729100
Estudiantes2018262488
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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