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Sandringham Sabres vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 May 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 106-87
25-26 20-15 33-24 28-22
Position#3
Record2-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game92.2
vs
Position#5
Record6-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game89.9
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Sandringham Sabres v Ballarat
17 May 2025
SAND106
BALL87
03 Aug 2024
SAND101
BALL103
01 May 2022
SAND89
BALL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sandringham Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sandringham SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#5
L
101-103
101
103
-2
H03/08
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
80-103
80
103
-23
A29/03
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
69-100
69
100
-31
A30/03
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H05/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
64-89
64
89
-25
A11/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
77-94
77
94
-17
H17/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
89-90
89
90
-1
H26/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
104-97
104
97
+7
A27/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H03/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
103-104
103
104
-1
H10/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-24
22-32
21-19
26-28
15-29
24-25
21-25
20-24
8-35
22-31
18-20
21-14
23-21
12-22
25-20
16-17
11-17
25-26
19-21
9-25
20-17
22-25
16-28
19-24
19-27
23-23
29-21
18-19
27-29
34-20
26-30
17-18
25-20
12-11
21-20
27-22
21-25
34-29
27-25
21-25
178.1Avg total
84.8Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.092.2175.2-9.222%
Season at home (5)86.088.2174.2-2.220%
Season away (4)79.297.2176.5-18.025%
Last 10 (10)84.893.3178.1-8.520%
Last 5 (5)91.691.6183.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)64.089.0153.0-25.00%
vs Similar (8)84.987.0171.9-2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)93.880.5174.3+13.367%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H10/08
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
109-75
109
75
+34
H29/03
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
72-98
72
98
-26
A05/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
94-88
94
88
+6
A11/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A12/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
71-105
71
105
-34
A26/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
100-90
100
90
+10
H03/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H04/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
78-103
78
103
-25
H10/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
104-94
104
94
+10
H11/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
15-20
21-32
10-15
38-24
18-19
19-16
34-16
21-24
23-21
17-25
11-28
16-28
24-21
27-12
27-27
19-22
14-14
20-23
28-19
12-22
21-32
20-24
18-27
31-23
27-21
23-22
19-24
25-18
22-12
14-21
20-27
24-24
16-22
12-29
26-28
20-29
20-31
34-17
30-17
174.8Avg total
86.0Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.889.9177.7-2.167%
Season at home (5)94.488.0182.4+6.480%
Season away (4)79.592.2171.8-12.850%
Last 10 (10)86.088.8174.8-2.860%
Last 5 (5)86.894.0180.8-7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.792.5173.2-11.840%
vs Similar (7)88.785.1173.9+3.671%
vs Weaker (13)91.983.8175.8+8.185%
This opponent (Sandringham Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
Sandringham SabresBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sandringham SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#5
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H03/08
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A29/03
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
30-66
30
66
-36
A30/03
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H05/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A11/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H17/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H26/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A27/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H03/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H10/05
NBL1 South
91.9Avg total
43.1Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.142.788.8+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.141.986.9+3.250%-
Last 30 away (16)47.043.490.4+3.662%-
Last 10 (10)43.148.891.9-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)47.445.292.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.043.079.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (8)43.845.289.0-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)47.541.789.1+5.862%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H10/08
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H29/03
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A05/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A11/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A12/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A26/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H03/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H04/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H10/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
40-60
40
60
-20
H11/05
NBL1 South
86.9Avg total
43.0Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.043.487.4+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.441.386.7+4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)42.545.588.1-3.047%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.986.9-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.646.890.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.545.585.0-6.040%-
vs Similar (7)44.442.186.6+2.343%-
vs Weaker (13)47.242.589.7+4.662%-
This opponent (Sandringham Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sandringham Sabres wins
2
Ballarat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25HWaverley103-104
03/05/25HGeelong85-73
27/04/25ARingwood104-97
26/04/25HKilsyth89-90
17/04/25HKnox77-94
11/04/25AMt Gambier64-89
05/04/25HHobart Chargers76-80
30/03/25AMelbourne Tigers69-100
29/03/25AFrankston80-103
03/08/24HBallarat101-103
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25HDiamond Valley104-94
10/05/25HMelbourne Tigers78-103
04/05/25HNW Tasmania81-78
03/05/25HWaverley100-90
26/04/25AEltham71-105
12/04/25AHobart Chargers81-78
11/04/25ANW Tasmania94-88
05/04/25AGeelong72-98
29/03/25HBendigo Braves109-75
10/08/24HEltham70-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sandringham Sabres
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL22%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%20%25%
Points / game83.086.079.2
Allowed / game92.288.297.2
Point differential-9.2-2.2-18.0
Avg total175.2174.2176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game87.894.479.5
Allowed / game89.988.092.2
Point differential-2.1+6.4-12.8
Avg total177.7182.4171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox98189%91.477.0+14.4
2 Frankston86275%93.485.2+8.1
3 Mt Gambier96367%94.784.0+10.7
4 Casey Cavaliers96367%87.181.7+5.4
5 Bendigo Braves96367%90.292.2-2.0
6 Ballarat96367%87.889.9-2.1
7 Kilsyth95456%83.382.1+1.2
8 Nunawading95456%86.187.6-1.4
9 Melbourne Tigers84450%84.678.5+6.1
10 Hobart Chargers105550%84.282.9+1.3
11 Eltham94544%86.387.4-1.1
12 Waverley94544%91.295.8-4.6
13 Geelong94544%81.686.7-5.1
14 Ringwood83538%93.087.8+5.2
15 NW Tasmania93633%85.684.2+1.3
16 Diamond Valley93633%85.294.4-9.2
17 Keilor Thunder93633%82.992.4-9.6
18 Sandringham Sabres92722%83.092.2-9.2
19 Dandenong81712%86.995.4-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sandringham Sabres25203328106
Ballarat2615242287
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