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Sandringham Sabres vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 85-73
25-20 12-11 21-20 27-22
Position#3
Record1-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game93.3
vs
Position#17
Record3-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game87.0
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Sandringham Sabres v Geelong
03 May 2025
SAND85
GEEL73
02 Jul 2022
SAND93
GEEL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sandringham Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sandringham SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
103-67
103
67
+36
H13/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
75-59
75
59
+16
A20/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
101-103
101
103
-2
H03/08
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
80-103
80
103
-23
A29/03
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
69-100
69
100
-31
A30/03
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H05/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
64-89
64
89
-25
A11/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
77-94
77
94
-17
H17/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
89-90
89
90
-1
H26/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
104-97
104
97
+7
A27/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
29-21
30-21
16-9
17-13
18-17
22-18
18-11
32-24
22-32
21-19
26-28
15-29
24-25
21-25
20-24
8-35
22-31
18-20
21-14
23-21
12-22
25-20
16-17
11-17
25-26
19-21
9-25
20-17
22-25
16-28
19-24
19-27
23-23
29-21
18-19
27-29
34-20
26-30
17-18
172.0Avg total
83.8Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.993.3173.1-13.414%
Season at home (3)80.788.0168.7-7.30%
Season away (4)79.297.2176.5-18.025%
Last 10 (10)83.888.2172.0-4.430%
Last 5 (5)82.090.0172.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)64.089.0153.0-25.00%
vs Similar (9)84.288.1172.3-3.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)93.280.0173.2+13.165%
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#7
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A07/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H12/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A13/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
A20/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
58-108
58
108
-50
H29/03
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
98-72
98
72
+26
H05/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A11/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H12/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A25/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A26/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
19-17
21-19
21-24
31-14
36-23
16-19
19-18
23-21
14-15
25-13
21-23
19-11
12-23
19-32
31-20
12-32
19-26
11-23
16-27
24-21
21-23
25-17
28-11
18-22
18-25
32-28
20-21
19-23
22-20
21-26
27-22
17-16
22-23
20-23
27-20
11-15
23-28
21-15
23-15
168.0Avg total
83.8Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.887.0169.8-4.250%
Season at home (3)81.790.3172.0-8.733%
Season away (3)84.083.7167.7+0.367%
Last 10 (10)83.884.2168.0-0.450%
Last 5 (5)87.882.8170.6+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.586.0163.5-8.542%
vs Similar (11)85.480.1165.5+5.373%
vs Weaker (7)82.183.0165.1-0.943%
This opponent (Sandringham Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.2+3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.2+3.2
Sandringham SabresGeelong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sandringham SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H13/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A20/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H03/08
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A29/03
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
30-66
30
66
-36
A30/03
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H05/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A11/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H17/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H26/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A27/04
NBL1 South
90.1Avg total
43.1Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.543.088.5+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.842.686.4+1.136%-
Last 30 away (16)47.043.490.4+3.662%-
Last 10 (10)43.147.090.1-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.488.6-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.043.079.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (9)42.946.389.2-3.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)47.141.588.7+5.655%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A07/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
67-37
67
37
+30
H12/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A13/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A20/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
31-58
31
58
-27
H29/03
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H05/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A11/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H12/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A26/04
NBL1 South
82.0Avg total
39.4Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.542.981.4-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.843.183.9-2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)36.542.679.1-6.119%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.682.0-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.282.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.844.179.9-8.217%-
vs Similar (11)41.741.082.7+0.745%-
vs Weaker (7)38.043.781.7-5.729%-
This opponent (Sandringham Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sandringham Sabres wins
1
Geelong wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25ARingwood104-97
26/04/25HKilsyth89-90
17/04/25HKnox77-94
11/04/25AMt Gambier64-89
05/04/25HHobart Chargers76-80
30/03/25AMelbourne Tigers69-100
29/03/25AFrankston80-103
03/08/24HBallarat101-103
20/07/24AMt Gambier75-59
13/07/24HHobart Chargers103-67
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25AHobart Chargers78-73
25/04/25ANW Tasmania86-82
12/04/25HBendigo Braves89-91
11/04/25AWaverley88-96
05/04/25HBallarat98-72
29/03/25HMt Gambier58-108
20/07/24AEltham81-86
13/07/24ADiamond Valley83-72
12/07/24HWaverley102-74
07/07/24AKnox75-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sandringham Sabres
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%0%25%
Points / game79.980.779.2
Allowed / game93.388.097.2
Point differential-13.4-7.3-18.0
Avg total173.1168.7176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geelong
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game82.881.784.0
Allowed / game87.090.383.7
Point differential-4.2-8.7+0.3
Avg total169.8172.0167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier65183%95.272.0+23.2
2 Knox65183%93.880.5+13.3
3 Casey Cavaliers64267%86.081.8+4.2
4 Hobart Chargers64267%83.380.3+3.0
5 Melbourne Tigers53260%84.074.8+9.2
6 Frankston53260%90.484.6+5.8
7 Ballarat53260%85.488.8-3.4
8 Kilsyth74357%83.683.1+0.4
9 NW Tasmania63350%88.583.7+4.8
10 Geelong63350%82.887.0-4.2
11 Nunawading63350%83.888.0-4.2
12 Waverley63350%89.594.0-4.5
13 Bendigo Braves63350%84.890.0-5.2
14 Diamond Valley73443%81.991.7-9.9
15 Eltham52340%88.481.8+6.6
16 Ringwood62433%87.785.5+2.2
17 Keilor Thunder72529%82.193.9-11.7
18 Dandenong61517%88.395.8-7.5
19 Sandringham Sabres71614%79.993.3-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sandringham Sabres2512212785
Geelong2011202273
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