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Geelong vs Bendigo Braves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 89-91
19-23 22-20 21-26 27-22
Position#17
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game92.0
vs
Position#16
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game90.0
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Geelong v Bendigo Braves
12 Apr 2025
GEEL89
BEND91
12 Apr 2024
GEEL81
BEND88
15 Apr 2023
GEEL85
BEND96
01 Jul 2022
GEEL71
BEND79
31 Jul 2021
GEEL90
BEND80
20 Jul 2019
GEEL67
BEND84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bendigo Braves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#8
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A23/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H28/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H06/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A07/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H12/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A13/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
A20/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
58-108
58
108
-50
H29/03
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
98-72
98
72
+26
H05/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A11/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
18-23
19-20
20-10
20-18
21-23
30-22
17-14
14-20
26-17
25-13
13-15
14-28
19-17
21-19
21-24
31-14
36-23
16-19
19-18
23-21
14-15
25-13
21-23
19-11
12-23
19-32
31-20
12-32
19-26
11-23
16-27
24-21
21-23
25-17
28-11
18-22
18-25
32-28
20-21
163.8Avg total
82.6Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.392.0173.3-10.733%
Season at home (2)78.090.0168.0-12.050%
Season away (1)88.096.0184.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)82.681.2163.8+1.460%
Last 5 (5)81.686.8168.4-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.587.2164.6-9.736%
vs Similar (11)87.082.4169.4+4.664%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)83.881.2165.0+2.550%
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo BravesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#7
L
72-97
72
97
-25
A15/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
85-111
85
111
-26
H22/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
91-73
91
73
+18
A28/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H29/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
88-99
88
99
-11
A05/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A06/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A13/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
75-109
75
109
-34
A29/03
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H05/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
81-90
81
90
-9
H06/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
17-23
20-20
14-24
23-21
17-36
26-28
19-26
34-18
14-27
24-11
19-17
25-11
16-19
24-27
15-26
21-33
24-23
18-18
25-25
24-25
22-25
16-19
23-27
21-22
21-22
20-19
10-23
24-38
19-18
16-19
16-34
29-22
19-12
17-15
22-22
23-26
21-18
13-22
24-24
173.1Avg total
81.6Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.090.0171.0-9.033%
Season at home (2)84.080.5164.5+3.550%
Season away (1)75.0109.0184.0-34.00%
Last 10 (10)81.691.5173.1-9.920%
Last 5 (5)80.090.4170.4-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.890.9169.7-12.127%
vs Similar (8)83.885.4169.1-1.650%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -6.1-6.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -6.1-6.1
GeelongBendigo Braves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A23/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H28/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H06/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A07/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
67-37
67
37
+30
H12/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A13/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A20/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
31-58
31
58
-27
H29/03
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H05/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A11/04
NBL1 South
82.0Avg total
39.7Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.643.282.8-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.844.287.0-1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)36.542.178.6-5.727%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.382.0-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.043.879.8-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.044.280.2-8.218%-
vs Similar (11)42.242.784.9-0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.142.483.5-1.250%-
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo BravesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#7
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A15/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H22/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A28/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H29/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A05/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A06/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A13/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A29/03
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H05/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H06/04
NBL1 South
90.4Avg total
43.5Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.244.685.8-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.140.182.2+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.448.588.9-8.119%-
Last 10 (10)43.546.990.4-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)44.645.690.2-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)40.444.685.0-4.236%-
vs Similar (8)43.644.588.1-0.938%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Geelong wins
6
Bendigo Braves wins
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/25AWaverley88-96
05/04/25HBallarat98-72
29/03/25HMt Gambier58-108
20/07/24AEltham81-86
13/07/24ADiamond Valley83-72
12/07/24HWaverley102-74
07/07/24AKnox75-88
06/07/24HDandenong78-65
28/06/24HCasey Cavaliers88-77
23/06/24ANunawading75-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HNW Tasmania81-90
05/04/25HKeilor Thunder87-71
29/03/25ABallarat75-109
13/07/24AKilsyth72-86
06/07/24ANW Tasmania85-96
05/07/24AHobart Chargers88-99
29/06/24HEltham80-83
28/06/24AMelbourne Tigers91-73
22/06/24HKeilor Thunder85-111
15/06/24AKnox72-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game81.378.088.0
Allowed / game92.090.096.0
Point differential-10.7-12.0-8.0
Avg total173.3168.0184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bendigo Braves
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game81.084.075.0
Allowed / game90.080.5109.0
Point differential-9.0+3.5-34.0
Avg total171.0164.5184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox330100%100.778.7+22.0
2 Hobart Chargers330100%84.778.3+6.3
3 Mt Gambier43175%94.269.8+24.5
4 Waverley43175%94.292.2+2.0
5 Melbourne Tigers32167%85.072.0+13.0
6 Ringwood32167%91.381.3+10.0
7 Frankston32167%90.383.3+7.0
8 Ballarat32167%91.787.0+4.7
9 Casey Cavaliers32167%81.079.3+1.7
10 Eltham21150%83.077.0+6.0
11 Kilsyth42250%81.282.0-0.8
12 NW Tasmania31233%88.793.0-4.3
13 Nunawading31233%82.789.0-6.3
14 Bendigo Braves31233%81.090.0-9.0
15 Geelong31233%81.392.0-10.7
16 Dandenong41325%90.897.2-6.5
17 Keilor Thunder41325%86.895.0-8.2
18 Diamond Valley51420%79.494.6-15.2
19 Sandringham Sabres4040%72.293.0-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong1922212789
Bendigo Braves2320262291
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